Cardinals
15–16
ARI @ SF
49ers
Final · Sun, Sep 21, 2025 · 2025 Week 3 · Levi's Stadium
Ground Share
49ers controlled more of the field
Teams with this edge win 86% of the time
ARI 41%59% SF
35.7%GROUND50.3%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.Murray | 36 | -0.02 | -0.6 | 5.1 | 62.9% | 67.3% | -2.6 |
| M.Jones | 41 | +0.04 | +1.6 | 7.7 | 67.5% | 67.8% | +3.3 |
Team Stats
| Metric | ARI | SF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.05 | -0.09 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.06 | +0.04 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.12 | -0.26 |
| Success Rate | 40.0% | 50.8% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 24.6% | 14.3% |
| Yards / Play | 4.00 | 5.65 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.07 | +0.05 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 41.2% | 25.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.2 | 6.9 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.43 | 2.93 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 29.2% | 31.6% |
| Stuff Rate | 25.0% | 26.3% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 13.9% | 9.5% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 27.2 | 29.3 |
| Plays | 65 | 63 |
| Total Yards | 260 | 356 |
| Total EPA | +3.0 | -5.7 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 1 |
Player Stats
ARI
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyler MurrayQB | 40 | 22/35 | 181 | 4.5 | +2.3 | +0.06 | -2.6 | 43% | -0.12 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James ConnerRB | 9 | 22 | 2.4 | +0.3 | +0.03 | 44% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Greg DortchWR | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.0 | +0.01 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Kyler MurrayQB | 2 | 10 | 5.0 | -0.3 | -0.14 | 50% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Trey BensonRB | 10 | 42 | 4.2 | -0.5 | -0.05 | 20% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Emari DemercadoRB | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.5 | -1.24 | 0% | -0.09 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael WilsonWR | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2.5 | +2.4 | +1.21 | 50% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Zay JonesWR | 3 | 2 | 25 | 8.3 | +1.9 | +0.63 | 67% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Marvin Harrison Jr.WR | 6 | 3 | 44 | 7.3 | +1.9 | +0.32 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Elijah HigginsTE | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +1.1 | +1.05 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Trey McBrideTE | 8 | 5 | 43 | 5.4 | +0.7 | +0.08 | 63% | +0.03 | 1 |
| James ConnerRB | 4 | 3 | 15 | 3.8 | -0.1 | -0.01 | 25% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Tip ReimanTE | 3 | 2 | 8 | 2.7 | -0.6 | -0.19 | 33% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Greg DortchWR | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | -1.0 | -0.51 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Emari DemercadoRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.1 | -1.15 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Trey BensonRB | 4 | 3 | 9 | 2.3 | -3.1 | -0.79 | 0% | -0.14 | 0 |
SF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac JonesQB | 41 | 27/40 | 282 | 6.9 | +1.6 | +0.04 | +3.3 | 59% | +0.35 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian RobinsonRB | 2 | 22 | 11.0 | +1.1 | +0.56 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Christian McCaffreyRB | 17 | 52 | 3.1 | -6.0 | -0.35 | 29% | -0.23 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky PearsallWR | 11 | 8 | 117 | 10.6 | +4.0 | +0.37 | 73% | +0.24 | 0 |
| Kyle JuszczykFB | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +0.8 | +0.82 | 100% | +0.08 | 1 |
| Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWR | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.8 | +0.80 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Jake TongesTE | 3 | 2 | 21 | 7.0 | +0.7 | +0.24 | 67% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Skyy MooreWR | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | +0.2 | +0.24 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Kendrick BourneWR | 6 | 4 | 38 | 6.3 | +0.1 | +0.01 | 67% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Christian McCaffreyRB | 15 | 10 | 88 | 5.9 | -2.2 | -0.15 | 47% | -0.01 | 0 |