Buccaneers
20–19
TB @ HOU
Texans
Final · Mon, Sep 15, 2025 · 2025 Week 2 · NRG Stadium
Ground Share
Neither team controlled the field
TB 49%51% HOU
45.2%GROUND47.7%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.Mayfield | 45 | +0.12 | 48.9% | 8.9% | +5.6 | 8.2 | 69.4% | 67.5% | +1.9 |
| C.Stroud | 30 | -0.05 | 43.3% | 10.0% | -1.6 | 7.7 | 56.5% | 66.3% | -9.8 |
Team Stats
| Metric | TB | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.17 | -0.06 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.12 | -0.05 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.24 | -0.11 |
| Success Rate | 54.4% | 40.4% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 24.1% | 21.3% |
| Yards / Play | 4.56 | 5.66 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.18 | +0.27 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 46.7% | 20.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.0 | 7.0 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 4.01 | 2.70 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 63.0% | 40.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 11.1% | 33.3% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 6.3% | 10.6% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 20.4 | 38.0 |
| Plays | 79 | 47 |
| Total Yards | 360 | 266 |
| Total EPA | +13.1 | -3.0 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 0 |
Special Teams
Texans dominated the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 70% of the time
TB 10%90% HOU
1.7 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS15.3 pts won
Biggest swing · C.McLaughlin 38 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright — HOU +3.8
Kickoffs · HOU +0.7Punts · HOU +7.4Kicks · HOU +5.5
Player Stats
TB
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker MayfieldQB | 45 | 25/38 | 224 | 5.0 | +5.6 | +0.12 | +1.9 | 49% | +0.19 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachaad WhiteRB | 10 | 65 | 6.5 | +5.2 | +0.52 | 70% | +0.45 | 1 |
| Bucky IrvingRB | 17 | 71 | 4.2 | +0.0 | +0.00 | 53% | -0.03 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan MillerWR | 1 | 1 | 20 | 20.0 | +2.8 | +2.76 | 100% | +0.08 | 1 |
| Sterling ShepardWR | 4 | 4 | 34 | 8.5 | +2.5 | +0.61 | 100% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Bucky IrvingRB | 6 | 6 | 50 | 8.3 | +2.3 | +0.38 | 67% | +0.17 | 0 |
| Emeka EgbukaWR | 7 | 4 | 29 | 4.1 | +1.9 | +0.27 | 43% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Cade OttonTE | 4 | 3 | 25 | 6.3 | +1.1 | +0.27 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Mike EvansWR | 11 | 5 | 56 | 5.1 | -0.1 | -0.01 | 46% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Payne DurhamTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.78 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Rachaad WhiteRB | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | -1.2 | -0.58 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase McLaughlinK | 0/1(missed 38) | — | 2/2 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley DixonP | 6 | 253 | 42.2 | 27.7 | 60 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kameron JohnsonWR | 2 | 42 | 21.0 | 25 | 0 |
| Sean TuckerRB | 1 | 26 | 26.0 | 26 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kameron JohnsonWR | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 6 | 0 |
HOU
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. StroudQB | 30 | 13/24 | 209 | 7.0 | -1.6 | -0.06 | -9.8 | 43% | -0.17 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick ChubbRB | 12 | 43 | 3.6 | -0.2 | -0.01 | 33% | -0.04 | 1 |
| Woody MarksRB | 3 | 14 | 4.7 | -0.2 | -0.08 | 33% | +0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Woody MarksRB | 1 | 1 | 37 | 37.0 | +2.8 | +2.77 | 100% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Xavier HutchinsonWR | 3 | 2 | 29 | 9.7 | +2.2 | +0.73 | 67% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Nick ChubbRB | 2 | 2 | 29 | 14.5 | +1.9 | +0.93 | 50% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Jayden HigginsWR | 1 | 1 | 28 | 28.0 | +1.6 | +1.58 | 100% | +0.12 | 0 |
| Dalton SchultzTE | 4 | 3 | 29 | 7.3 | +1.2 | +0.31 | 50% | +0.13 | 0 |
| Harrison BryantTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.46 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Justin WatsonWR | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.5 | -1.5 | -0.74 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Nico CollinsWR | 9 | 3 | 52 | 5.8 | -4.0 | -0.44 | 33% | -0.32 | 1 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ka'imi FairbairnK | 2/2(35, 53) | 53 | 1/1 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy TownsendP | 4 | 203 | 50.8 | 44.3 | 57 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin NoelWR | 3 | 78 | 26.0 | 34 | 0 |
| Tremon SmithCB | 1 | 29 | 29.0 | 29 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin NoelWR | 3 | 67 | 22.3 | 53 | 0 |