Bills
30–10
BUF @ NYJ
Jets
Final · Sun, Sep 14, 2025 · 2025 Week 2 · MetLife Stadium
Ground Share
Bills dominated the field
Teams with this edge win 98% of the time
BUF 74%26% NYJ
59.8%GROUND21.1%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Allen | 26 | -0.09 | -2.2 | 4.8 | 56.0% | 70.3% | -9.4 |
| J.Fields | 13 | -0.73 | -9.5 | 8.4 | 27.3% | 67.6% | -37.6 |
Team Stats
| Metric | BUF | NYJ |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.22 | -0.30 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.20 | -0.29 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.17 | -0.31 |
| Success Rate | 46.5% | 34.0% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 29.6% | 19.1% |
| Yards / Play | 5.73 | 3.28 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.02 | -0.33 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 50.0% | 21.4% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 8.4 | 10.4 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.71 | 2.09 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 52.8% | 50.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 13.9% | 25.0% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 12.7% | 21.3% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 31.9 | 27.0 |
| Plays | 71 | 47 |
| Total Yards | 407 | 154 |
| Total EPA | +16.0 | -13.9 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 1 |
Player Stats
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 29 | 14/25 | 200 | 6.9 | +3.7 | +0.13 | -9.4 | 41% | +0.02 | 0 | 0 |
| Mitchell TrubiskyQB | 2 | 1/2 | 32 | 16.0 | +2.5 | +1.26 | -5.6 | 50% | +0.08 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James CookRB | 21 | 132 | 6.3 | +5.2 | +0.24 | 62% | +0.07 | 2 |
| Josh AllenQB | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | +2.5 | +1.24 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Elijah MooreWR | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | +0.7 | +0.34 | 50% | +0.01 | 1 |
| Ray DavisRB | 9 | 24 | 2.7 | -0.6 | -0.07 | 33% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | -0.7 | -0.33 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah MooreWR | 1 | 1 | 31 | 31.0 | +3.5 | +3.46 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Josh PalmerWR | 3 | 2 | 47 | 15.7 | +3.3 | +1.09 | 67% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Keon ColemanWR | 3 | 3 | 26 | 8.7 | +1.8 | +0.61 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Khalil ShakirWR | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6.0 | +0.5 | +0.26 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Jackson HawesTE | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.1 | +0.15 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| James CookRB | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.3 | -0.28 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.47 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Dalton KincaidTE | 6 | 4 | 37 | 6.2 | -0.6 | -0.10 | 17% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Tyrell ShaversWR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.7 | -0.84 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Dawson KnoxTE | 5 | 2 | 19 | 3.8 | -1.8 | -0.35 | 40% | +0.00 | 0 |
NYJ
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrod TaylorQB | 16 | 7/11 | 67 | 4.2 | +4.8 | +0.30 | +1.6 | 44% | +0.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Justin FieldsQB | 15 | 3/11 | 36 | 2.4 | -13.7 | -0.91 | -37.6 | 20% | -0.22 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin FieldsQB | 3 | 21 | 7.0 | -0.1 | -0.04 | 67% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Braelon AllenRB | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | -0.7 | -0.35 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Arian SmithWR | 1 | -10 | -10.0 | -1.4 | -1.40 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Breece HallRB | 10 | 29 | 2.9 | -2.8 | -0.28 | 40% | -0.07 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy RuckertTE | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +4.3 | +4.26 | 100% | +0.00 | 1 |
| Arian SmithWR | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4.0 | +1.6 | +0.81 | 50% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Isaiah DavisRB | 3 | 1 | 6 | 2.0 | +0.9 | +0.32 | 33% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Mason TaylorTE | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2.5 | -0.1 | -0.04 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Tyler JohnsonWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.7 | -0.70 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Garrett WilsonWR | 8 | 4 | 50 | 6.3 | -0.9 | -0.11 | 38% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Braelon AllenRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.3 | -1.30 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Breece HallRB | 3 | 2 | 9 | 3.0 | -1.4 | -0.46 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |