Buccaneers
23–20
TB @ ATL
Falcons
Final · Sun, Sep 7, 2025 · 2025 Week 1 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Ground Share
Falcons had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
TB 46%54% ATL
43.1%GROUND50.8%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.Mayfield | 37 | +0.28 | 40.5% | 2.7% | +10.3 | 10.4 | 56.7% | 67.1% | -10.4 |
| M.Penix | 47 | +0.36 | 53.2% | 2.1% | +16.8 | 6.9 | 64.3% | 70.2% | -5.9 |
Team Stats
| Metric |  TB |  ATL |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.11 | +0.06 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.28 | +0.36 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.22 | -0.56 |
| Success Rate | 36.4% | 44.3% |
| Pass | 40.5% | 53.2% |
| Rush | 27.8% | 26.1% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 7.3% | 4.3% |
| Pass | 8.1% | 6.4% |
| Rush | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Yards / Play | 4.75 | 5.13 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.01 | +0.03 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 53.3% | 47.4% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.9 | 5.9 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.85 | 1.90 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 33.3% | 34.8% |
| Stuff Rate | 16.7% | 30.4% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 14.5% | 14.3% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 32.7 | 29.4 |
| Plays | 55 | 70 |
| Total Yards | 261 | 359 |
| Total EPA | +6.3 | +3.9 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 0 |
Special Teams
Special teams were a wash
TB 57%43% ATL
10.6 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS8.0 pts won
Biggest swing · C.McLaughlin 44 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left — ATL +3.9
Kickoffs · TB +1.5Punts · TB +2.2Kicks · ATL +1.1
Player Stats
TB
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker MayfieldQB | 37 | 17/32 | 167 | 5.4 | +10.3 | +0.28 | -10.4 | 41% | +0.55 | 3 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker MayfieldQB | 4 | 40 | 10.0 | +4.5 | +1.14 | 75% | +0.19 | 0 |
| Emeka EgbukaWR | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.9 | +0.89 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Rachaad WhiteRB | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | +0.6 | +0.31 | 50% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Sean TuckerRB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.5 | -0.50 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Bucky IrvingRB | 14 | 37 | 2.6 | -5.1 | -0.36 | 21% | -0.08 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emeka EgbukaWR | 6 | 4 | 67 | 11.2 | +6.0 | +1.00 | 50% | +0.31 | 2 |
| Mike EvansWR | 8 | 5 | 51 | 6.4 | +3.8 | +0.47 | 63% | +0.22 | 0 |
| Sterling ShepardWR | 6 | 3 | 39 | 6.5 | +0.8 | +0.14 | 50% | +0.14 | 0 |
| Bucky IrvingRB | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2.0 | +0.4 | +0.09 | 25% | -0.01 | 1 |
| Ryan MillerWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.61 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Tez JohnsonWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.80 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Rachaad WhiteRB | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.8 | -0.80 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Cade OttonTE | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.5 | -0.49 | 0% | -0.11 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase McLaughlinK | 1/2(48 · missed 44) | 48 | 2/3 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley DixonP | 4 | 205 | 51.3 | 44.0 | 62 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean TuckerRB | 3 | 81 | 27.0 | 35 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kameron JohnsonWR | 2 | 54 | 27.0 | 54 | 0 |
ATL
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Penix Jr.QB | 47 | 27/42 | 298 | 6.6 | +16.8 | +0.36 | -5.9 | 53% | +0.80 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Penix Jr.QB | 5 | 22 | 4.4 | +5.9 | +1.19 | 60% | +0.38 | 1 |
| Tyler AllgeierRB | 10 | 24 | 2.4 | -3.5 | -0.35 | 40% | -0.13 | 0 |
| Bijan RobinsonRB | 12 | 24 | 2.0 | -8.2 | -0.69 | 17% | -0.29 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bijan RobinsonRB | 7 | 6 | 100 | 14.3 | +7.8 | +1.12 | 71% | +0.19 | 1 |
| Ray-Ray McCloudWR | 5 | 3 | 51 | 10.2 | +3.5 | +0.71 | 60% | +0.19 | 0 |
| Kyle PittsTE | 8 | 7 | 59 | 7.4 | +2.9 | +0.36 | 63% | +0.18 | 0 |
| Casey WashingtonWR | 6 | 3 | 33 | 5.5 | +2.7 | +0.45 | 50% | +0.13 | 0 |
| KhaDarel HodgeWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | +0.2 | +0.23 | 100% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Drake LondonWR | 15 | 8 | 55 | 3.7 | -5.6 | -0.37 | 33% | -0.18 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Younghoe KooK | 2/3(41, 36 · missed 44) | 41 | 2/2 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley PinionP | 3 | 140 | 46.7 | 28.7 | 59 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natrone BrooksDB | 3 | 68 | 22.7 | 25 | 0 |
| Jamal AgnewWR | 2 | 57 | 28.5 | 29 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal AgnewWR | 2 | 29 | 14.5 | 17 | 0 |
| Ray-Ray McCloudWR | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |