Vikings
27–24
MIN @ CHI
Bears

Final · Mon, Sep 8, 2025 · 2025 Week 1 · Soldier Field

Ground Share

Bears had the edge on the field

Teams with this edge win 71% of the time

MIN 43%57% CHI
28.3%GROUND37.5%

Win Probability

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Expected Points

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QB Matchup

QBPlaysEPA/playSuccess%Sack%Total EPAaDoTCMP%xCMP%CPOE
J.McCarthy24-0.3941.7%12.5%-9.35.865.0%68.3%-3.3
C.Williams43-0.0146.5%4.7%-0.47.861.8%68.4%-6.7

Team Stats

MetricMINCHI
EPA / Play-0.19-0.07
EPA / Dropback-0.39-0.01
EPA / Rush+0.01-0.21
Success Rate40.8%38.1%
Pass41.7%46.5%
Rush40.0%20.0%
Explosive Play Rate10.2%6.3%
Pass8.3%7.0%
Rush12.0%5.0%
Yards / Play5.185.03
Early-Down EPA / Play+0.07+0.02
3rd/4th-Down Conversion25.0%23.1%
Avg 3rd-Down Distance7.110.8
Line Yards / Carry3.252.54
Opportunity Rate (4+)44.0%40.0%
Stuff Rate20.0%25.0%
Havoc Rate Allowed16.3%9.5%
Avg Starting Field Position31.029.6
Plays4963
Total Yards254317
Total EPA-9.1-4.5
Giveaways11

Special Teams

Vikings won the kicking game

Teams with this edge win 63% of the time

MIN 69%31% CHI
12.1 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS5.4 pts won

Biggest swing · C.Santos 50 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right — MIN +3.7

Kickoffs · CHI +1.4Punts · MIN +3.3Kicks · MIN +4.7

Player Stats

MIN

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/DBEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
J.J. McCarthyQB2413/201436.0-9.3-0.39-3.342%-0.1021

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
J.J. McCarthyQB22512.5+3.4+1.69100%+0.091
Justin JeffersonWR144.0-0.1-0.070%-0.010
Jordan MasonRB15684.5-1.1-0.0747%-0.030
Aaron JonesRB8232.9-1.4-0.1725%-0.040

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Aaron JonesRB334414.7+4.2+1.40100%+0.161
Josh OliverTE1155.0+0.2+0.23100%+0.000
Jordan MasonRB1177.0-0.1-0.080%-0.010
T.J. HockensonTE43153.8-0.3-0.0725%+0.000
Jalen NailorWR31289.3-0.5-0.1633%+0.000
Adam ThielenWR1000.0-1.7-1.670%-0.030
Justin JeffersonWR74446.3-6.8-0.9643%-0.141

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Will ReichardK2/2(31, 59)591/1627

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Ryan WrightP733347.642.354000

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Ty ChandlerRB38428.0330
Myles PriceWR24924.5250

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Myles PriceWR46817.0220

CHI

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/DBEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Caleb WilliamsQB4321/352106.0-0.4-0.01-6.747%-0.1410

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Caleb WilliamsQB6589.7+6.6+1.1183%+0.111
DJ MooreWR382.7-0.6-0.1933%-0.010
D'Andre SwiftRB17533.1-3.5-0.2118%-0.130

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Kyle MonangaiRB111111.0+1.1+1.07100%+0.050
Olamide ZaccheausWR74426.0+0.4+0.0657%+0.000
DJ MooreWR535711.4+0.0+0.0060%-0.020
Colston LovelandTE22126.0-0.6-0.2950%-0.010
Rome OdunzeWR96485.3-0.9-0.1044%-0.071
Cole KmetTE41317.8-0.9-0.2325%-0.060
Luther Burden IIIWR11-3-3.0-1.0-0.980%-0.020
D'Andre SwiftRB53122.4-1.0-0.2020%-0.020

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Cairo SantosK1/2(42 · missed 50)423/3506

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Tory TaylorP626644.333.056100

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Devin DuvernayWR38127.0340
Luther Burden IIIWR14444.0440

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Devin DuvernayWR6376.2220