Vikings
27–24
MIN @ CHI
Bears
Final · Mon, Sep 8, 2025 · 2025 Week 1 · Soldier Field
Ground Share
Bears had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
MIN 43%57% CHI
28.2%GROUND37.7%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.McCarthy | 24 | -0.39 | 41.7% | 12.5% | -9.3 | 5.8 | 65.0% | 68.3% | -3.3 |
| C.Williams | 43 | -0.01 | 46.5% | 4.7% | -0.4 | 7.8 | 61.8% | 68.4% | -6.7 |
Team Stats
| Metric | MIN | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.09 | -0.05 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.39 | -0.01 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.03 | -0.20 |
| Success Rate | 42.6% | 38.8% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 18.5% | 22.4% |
| Yards / Play | 4.70 | 4.73 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.14 | +0.01 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 30.8% | 28.6% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.6 | 10.7 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.25 | 2.54 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 44.0% | 40.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 20.0% | 25.0% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 14.8% | 9.0% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 30.6 | 30.0 |
| Plays | 54 | 67 |
| Total Yards | 254 | 317 |
| Total EPA | -4.7 | -3.6 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 1 |
Special Teams
Vikings won the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 63% of the time
MIN 69%31% CHI
12.1 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS5.4 pts won
Biggest swing · C.Santos 50 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right — MIN +3.7
Kickoffs · CHI +1.4Punts · MIN +3.3Kicks · MIN +4.7
Player Stats
MIN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. McCarthyQB | 24 | 13/20 | 145 | 6.0 | -9.3 | -0.39 | -3.3 | 42% | -0.10 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. McCarthyQB | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | +2.7 | +2.72 | 100% | +0.09 | 1 |
| Justin JeffersonWR | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.1 | -0.07 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Jordan MasonRB | 15 | 68 | 4.5 | -1.1 | -0.07 | 47% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Aaron JonesRB | 8 | 23 | 2.9 | -1.4 | -0.17 | 25% | -0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron JonesRB | 3 | 3 | 44 | 14.7 | +4.2 | +1.40 | 100% | +0.16 | 1 |
| Josh OliverTE | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.2 | +0.23 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jordan MasonRB | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | -0.1 | -0.08 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| T.J. HockensonTE | 4 | 3 | 15 | 3.8 | -0.3 | -0.07 | 25% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jalen NailorWR | 3 | 1 | 28 | 9.3 | -0.5 | -0.16 | 33% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Adam ThielenWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.7 | -1.67 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Justin JeffersonWR | 7 | 4 | 44 | 6.3 | -6.8 | -0.96 | 43% | -0.14 | 1 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ReichardK | 2/2(31, 59) | 59 | 1/1 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan WrightP | 7 | 333 | 47.6 | 42.3 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty ChandlerRB | 3 | 84 | 28.0 | 33 | 0 |
| Myles PriceWR | 2 | 49 | 24.5 | 25 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles PriceWR | 4 | 68 | 17.0 | 22 | 0 |
CHI
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb WilliamsQB | 43 | 21/35 | 256 | 6.0 | -0.4 | -0.01 | -6.7 | 47% | -0.14 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ MooreWR | 3 | 8 | 2.7 | -0.6 | -0.19 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |
| D'Andre SwiftRB | 17 | 53 | 3.1 | -3.5 | -0.21 | 18% | -0.13 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle MonangaiRB | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +1.1 | +1.07 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Olamide ZaccheausWR | 7 | 4 | 42 | 6.0 | +0.4 | +0.06 | 57% | +0.00 | 0 |
| DJ MooreWR | 5 | 3 | 57 | 11.4 | +0.0 | +0.00 | 60% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Colston LovelandTE | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | -0.6 | -0.29 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Rome OdunzeWR | 9 | 6 | 48 | 5.3 | -0.9 | -0.10 | 44% | -0.07 | 1 |
| Cole KmetTE | 4 | 1 | 31 | 7.8 | -0.9 | -0.23 | 25% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Luther Burden IIIWR | 1 | 1 | -3 | -3.0 | -1.0 | -0.98 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| D'Andre SwiftRB | 5 | 3 | 12 | 2.4 | -1.0 | -0.20 | 20% | -0.02 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cairo SantosK | 1/2(42 · missed 50) | 42 | 3/3 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tory TaylorP | 6 | 266 | 44.3 | 33.0 | 56 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin DuvernayWR | 3 | 81 | 27.0 | 34 | 0 |
| Luther Burden IIIWR | 1 | 44 | 44.0 | 44 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin DuvernayWR | 6 | 37 | 6.2 | 22 | 0 |