Panthers
10–26
CAR @ JAX
Jaguars
Final · Sun, Sep 7, 2025 · 2025 Week 1 · TIAA Bank Stadium
Ground Share
Jaguars controlled more of the field
Teams with this edge win 86% of the time
CAR 41%59% JAX
42.0%GROUND59.5%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.Young | 36 | -0.43 | -15.4 | 7.7 | 51.4% | 65.3% | -12.4 |
| T.Lawrence | 30 | +0.05 | +1.5 | 7.4 | 63.3% | 69.6% | -4.0 |
Team Stats
| Metric | CAR | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.18 | +0.10 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.34 | +0.10 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.09 | +0.14 |
| Success Rate | 36.5% | 46.0% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 22.2% | 27.0% |
| Yards / Play | 4.06 | 6.03 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.19 | +0.01 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 52.6% | 50.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.5 | 6.4 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.08 | 4.68 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 40.0% | 46.4% |
| Stuff Rate | 20.0% | 10.7% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 14.3% | 6.3% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 32.3 | 29.0 |
| Plays | 63 | 63 |
| Total Yards | 256 | 380 |
| Total EPA | -11.1 | +6.5 |
| Giveaways | 3 | 1 |
Player Stats
CAR
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce YoungQB | 40 | 18/35 | 183 | 4.6 | -13.5 | -0.34 | -12.4 | 35% | -0.19 | 1 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rico DowdleRB | 3 | 12 | 4.0 | -0.1 | -0.02 | 33% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Trevor EtienneRB | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.1 | -0.08 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Chuba HubbardRB | 16 | 57 | 3.6 | -1.7 | -0.11 | 38% | -0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tetairoa McMillanWR | 9 | 5 | 68 | 7.6 | +1.7 | +0.19 | 56% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Chuba HubbardRB | 5 | 3 | 32 | 6.4 | +1.4 | +0.28 | 20% | -0.03 | 1 |
| Ja'Tavion SandersTE | 3 | 2 | 27 | 9.0 | +1.1 | +0.36 | 67% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Tommy TrembleTE | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.2 | -0.20 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Hunter RenfrowWR | 6 | 2 | 11 | 1.8 | -1.7 | -0.29 | 33% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Rico DowdleRB | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1.3 | -3.7 | -1.24 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Xavier LegetteWR | 7 | 3 | 10 | 1.4 | -10.3 | -1.47 | 14% | -0.20 | 0 |
JAX
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor LawrenceQB | 32 | 19/30 | 192 | 6.0 | +3.1 | +0.10 | -4.1 | 50% | +0.01 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Thomas Jr.WR | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +2.5 | +2.48 | 100% | +0.01 | 1 |
| Dyami BrownWR | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | +1.9 | +0.93 | 50% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Travis EtienneRB | 16 | 143 | 8.9 | +1.7 | +0.11 | 50% | +0.08 | 0 |
| LeQuint Allen Jr.RB | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +1.2 | +1.19 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Tank BigsbyRB | 5 | 12 | 2.4 | -0.3 | -0.06 | 20% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Bhayshul TutenRB | 3 | 11 | 3.7 | -0.9 | -0.31 | 33% | +0.02 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brenton StrangeTE | 4 | 4 | 59 | 14.8 | +7.0 | +1.75 | 100% | +0.19 | 0 |
| Dyami BrownWR | 4 | 3 | 52 | 13.0 | +4.9 | +1.23 | 75% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Hunter LongTE | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +2.0 | +1.97 | 100% | +0.03 | 1 |
| Travis EtienneRB | 3 | 3 | 13 | 4.3 | +0.1 | +0.03 | 33% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Johnny MundtTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.56 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| LeQuint Allen Jr.RB | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.7 | -0.72 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Brian Thomas Jr.WR | 7 | 1 | 11 | 1.6 | -4.3 | -0.61 | 14% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Travis HunterCB | 8 | 6 | 33 | 4.1 | -5.2 | -0.65 | 50% | -0.12 | 0 |