Bills
29–32
BUF @ KC
Chiefs
Final · Sun, Jan 26, 2025 · 2024 Conference Championship · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Ground Share
Chiefs had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
BUF 47%53% KC
57.5%GROUND63.9%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Allen | 37 | +0.26 | 43.2% | 5.4% | +9.5 | 7.9 | 71.0% | 65.8% | +5.2 |
| P.Mahomes | 34 | +0.65 | 64.7% | 5.9% | +22.1 | 7.2 | 72.0% | 66.8% | +5.2 |
Team Stats
| Metric |  BUF |  KC |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.19 | +0.26 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.26 | +0.65 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.11 | -0.26 |
| Success Rate | 45.6% | 53.3% |
| Pass | 43.2% | 64.7% |
| Rush | 48.4% | 38.5% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 8.8% | 11.7% |
| Pass | 10.8% | 11.8% |
| Rush | 6.5% | 11.5% |
| Yards / Play | 5.50 | 6.18 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.15 | +0.16 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 45.0% | 60.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.8 | 7.4 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.37 | 2.90 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 41.9% | 42.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 19.4% | 19.2% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 10.3% | 3.3% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 27.8 | 35.4 |
| Plays | 68 | 60 |
| Total Yards | 374 | 371 |
| Total EPA | +12.9 | +15.4 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 1 |
Special Teams
Special teams were a wash
BUF 49%51% KC
3.6 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS3.6 pts won
Biggest swing · S.Martin punts 45 yards to KC 25. N.Remigio to BUF 34 for 41 yards — KC +2.4
Kickoffs · BUF +0.4Punts · KC +1.2Kicks · BUF +0.8
Player Stats
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 37 | 22/34 | 237 | 6.5 | +9.5 | +0.26 | +5.2 | 43% | +0.22 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James CookRB | 13 | 85 | 6.5 | +7.9 | +0.61 | 69% | +0.24 | 2 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 6 | 19 | 3.2 | -0.7 | -0.12 | 33% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Ray DavisRB | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | -0.8 | -0.42 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Josh AllenQB | 11 | 39 | 3.5 | -1.7 | -0.15 | 46% | -0.05 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mack HollinsWR | 4 | 3 | 73 | 18.3 | +8.0 | +1.99 | 50% | +0.24 | 1 |
| James CookRB | 3 | 3 | 49 | 16.3 | +3.1 | +1.04 | 100% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Curtis SamuelWR | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1.3 | +3.0 | +1.01 | 33% | +0.10 | 1 |
| Khalil ShakirWR | 7 | 6 | 46 | 6.6 | +2.6 | +0.37 | 43% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Amari CooperWR | 4 | 4 | 33 | 8.3 | +2.2 | +0.56 | 75% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Dawson KnoxTE | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +0.7 | +0.70 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.7 | -0.69 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Dalton KincaidTE | 4 | 2 | 13 | 3.3 | -3.1 | -0.77 | 25% | -0.18 | 0 |
| Keon ColemanWR | 4 | 1 | 12 | 3.0 | -3.8 | -0.95 | 25% | -0.13 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler BassK | 1/1(53) | 53 | 2/2 | 6 | 2 | 5 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam MartinP | 2 | 101 | 50.5 | 30.0 | 56 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray DavisRB | 1 | 28 | 28.0 | 28 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil ShakirWR | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 6 | 0 |
KC
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick MahomesQB | 34 | 18/26 | 245 | 8.1 | +22.1 | +0.65 | +5.2 | 65% | +0.56 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick MahomesQB | 8 | 46 | 5.8 | +2.1 | +0.27 | 75% | +0.11 | 2 |
| Xavier WorthyWR | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | +1.1 | +0.55 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Isiah PachecoRB | 5 | 12 | 2.4 | -1.3 | -0.26 | 20% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Kareem HuntRB | 17 | 64 | 3.8 | -2.8 | -0.16 | 35% | -0.07 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier WorthyWR | 7 | 6 | 85 | 12.1 | +9.8 | +1.40 | 86% | +0.31 | 1 |
| JuJu Smith-SchusterWR | 3 | 2 | 60 | 20.0 | +3.4 | +1.13 | 67% | +0.14 | 0 |
| Samaje PerineRB | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17.0 | +2.3 | +2.29 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Marquise BrownWR | 5 | 3 | 35 | 7.0 | +2.0 | +0.39 | 60% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Kareem HuntRB | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +1.3 | +1.32 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Isiah PachecoRB | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | +0.6 | +0.30 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| DeAndre HopkinsWR | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5.5 | +0.3 | +0.14 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Travis KelceTE | 4 | 2 | 19 | 4.8 | +0.1 | +0.03 | 50% | +0.03 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison ButkerK | 1/1(35) | 35 | 3/3 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt AraizaP | 2 | 93 | 46.5 | 33.5 | 51 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikko RemigioWR | 4 | 107 | 26.8 | 33 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikko RemigioWR | 2 | 41 | 20.5 | 41 | 0 |