Texans
14–23
HOU @ KC
Chiefs
Final · Sat, Jan 18, 2025 · 2024 Divisional Round · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Ground Share
Texans had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
HOU 54%46% KC
55.2%GROUND47.8%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Stroud | 36 | +0.03 | +1.0 | 9.6 | 67.9% | 60.8% | +7.1 |
| P.Mahomes | 28 | -0.02 | -0.5 | 6.0 | 64.0% | 66.3% | +0.3 |
Team Stats
| Metric | HOU | KC |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.05 | +0.07 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.11 | +0.02 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.06 | +0.08 |
| Success Rate | 47.8% | 38.8% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 26.9% | 28.6% |
| Yards / Play | 5.03 | 4.53 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.00 | -0.03 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 50.0% | 46.2% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.9 | 8.0 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.68 | 1.32 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 60.9% | 50.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 8.7% | 18.8% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 10.4% | 12.2% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 23.6 | 42.0 |
| Plays | 67 | 49 |
| Total Yards | 337 | 222 |
| Total EPA | +3.6 | +3.2 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 0 |
Player Stats
HOU
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. StroudQB | 41 | 19/28 | 230 | 5.6 | +4.4 | +0.11 | +7.1 | 49% | +0.13 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe MixonRB | 18 | 88 | 4.9 | +2.5 | +0.14 | 50% | +0.09 | 1 |
| Dare OgunbowaleRB | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.4 | +0.41 | 100% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Dameon PierceRB | 4 | 10 | 2.5 | -0.7 | -0.18 | 50% | -0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton SchultzTE | 4 | 4 | 63 | 15.8 | +6.2 | +1.56 | 100% | +0.17 | 0 |
| Nico CollinsWR | 8 | 5 | 81 | 10.1 | +5.4 | +0.68 | 63% | +0.15 | 0 |
| John Metchie IIIWR | 2 | 2 | 35 | 17.5 | +3.1 | +1.57 | 100% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Xavier HutchinsonWR | 6 | 4 | 52 | 8.7 | +3.0 | +0.51 | 67% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Joe MixonRB | 3 | 2 | 12 | 4.0 | +0.4 | +0.14 | 67% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Irv SmithTE | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.4 | -0.36 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Dare OgunbowaleRB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.36 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Jared WayneWR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.5 | -0.75 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Dameon PierceRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.8 | -1.82 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
KC
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick MahomesQB | 31 | 16/25 | 182 | 5.9 | +0.6 | +0.02 | +0.3 | 32% | +0.07 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kareem HuntRB | 8 | 44 | 5.5 | +4.4 | +0.56 | 63% | +0.14 | 1 |
| Patrick MahomesQB | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | +1.2 | +1.20 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Isiah PachecoRB | 5 | 18 | 3.6 | -0.8 | -0.16 | 40% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Xavier WorthyWR | 1 | -8 | -8.0 | -1.6 | -1.58 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Matt AraizaP | 1 | -18 | -18.0 | -1.9 | -1.92 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis KelceTE | 8 | 7 | 117 | 14.6 | +10.2 | +1.28 | 63% | +0.36 | 1 |
| Xavier WorthyWR | 6 | 5 | 45 | 7.5 | +0.9 | +0.16 | 50% | +0.09 | 0 |
| DeAndre HopkinsWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.44 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Kareem HuntRB | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.5 | -0.48 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Samaje PerineRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.59 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Isiah PachecoRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.81 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Noah GrayTE | 3 | 3 | 13 | 4.3 | -1.1 | -0.38 | 33% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Marquise BrownWR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.3 | -0.66 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
| JuJu Smith-SchusterWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.7 | -1.66 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |