Ravens
25–27
BAL @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sun, Jan 19, 2025 · 2024 Divisional Round · New Era Field
Ground Share
Ravens had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
BAL 57%43% BUF
69.2%GROUND51.2%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.Jackson | 31 | +0.17 | 48.4% | 6.5% | +5.3 | 10.4 | 72.0% | 63.1% | +8.9 |
| J.Allen | 23 | -0.08 | 39.1% | 4.3% | -1.7 | 6.6 | 76.2% | 70.7% | +5.5 |
Team Stats
| Metric | BAL | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.18 | +0.10 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.17 | -0.08 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.19 | +0.18 |
| Success Rate | 53.6% | 49.1% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 37.5% | 30.5% |
| Yards / Play | 7.45 | 4.66 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.03 | +0.03 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 72.7% | 53.8% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.5 | 5.4 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.61 | 3.47 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 48.0% | 50.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 24.0% | 14.7% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 17.9% | 5.1% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 24.6 | 40.3 |
| Plays | 56 | 59 |
| Total Yards | 417 | 275 |
| Total EPA | +10.0 | +6.0 |
| Giveaways | 3 | 0 |
Special Teams
Special teams were a wash
BAL 47%53% BUF
3.0 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS3.4 pts won
Biggest swing · T.Bass 51 yard field goal is GOOD — BUF +1.3
Kickoffs · BUF +0.8Punts · BAL +0.6Kicks · BUF +0.2
Player Stats
BAL
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar JacksonQB | 31 | 18/25 | 284 | 9.2 | +5.3 | +0.17 | +8.9 | 48% | +0.15 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark AndrewsTE | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | +2.3 | +1.14 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Justice HillRB | 6 | 50 | 8.3 | +1.9 | +0.32 | 67% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Derrick HenryRB | 16 | 84 | 5.3 | +1.6 | +0.10 | 56% | +0.01 | 1 |
| Lamar JacksonQB | 1 | -4 | -4.0 | -1.1 | -1.13 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah LikelyTE | 5 | 4 | 73 | 14.6 | +5.9 | +1.17 | 60% | +0.16 | 1 |
| Rashod BatemanWR | 5 | 4 | 66 | 13.2 | +3.1 | +0.62 | 40% | +0.08 | 1 |
| Anthony MillerWR | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | +2.5 | +2.52 | 100% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Tylan WallaceWR | 1 | 1 | 27 | 27.0 | +1.9 | +1.87 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Justice HillRB | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | +0.3 | +0.15 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Steven SimsWR | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.1 | -0.10 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Nelson AgholorWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.55 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Mark AndrewsTE | 7 | 5 | 61 | 8.7 | -0.7 | -0.10 | 43% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Derrick HenryRB | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.3 | -0.65 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin TuckerK | 2/2(26, 47) | 47 | 1/1 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| Jordan StoutP | — | — | — | 4 | 3 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keaton MitchellRB | 5 | 134 | 26.8 | 32 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven SimsWR | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | 16 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 23 | 16/22 | 126 | 5.5 | -1.7 | -0.07 | +5.5 | 39% | +0.04 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 8 | 22 | 2.8 | +3.3 | +0.41 | 50% | +0.07 | 2 |
| Ray DavisRB | 4 | 29 | 7.3 | +2.8 | +0.71 | 100% | +0.11 | 1 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 5 | 31 | 6.2 | +0.5 | +0.11 | 60% | +0.03 | 0 |
| James CookRB | 17 | 67 | 3.9 | -0.5 | -0.03 | 47% | +0.00 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil ShakirWR | 7 | 6 | 67 | 9.6 | +2.4 | +0.34 | 43% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Curtis SamuelWR | 2 | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | +1.3 | +0.64 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +0.7 | +0.73 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Keon ColemanWR | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.2 | +0.16 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Mack HollinsWR | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6.0 | +0.1 | +0.06 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| James CookRB | 3 | 3 | 15 | 5.0 | -0.1 | -0.03 | 33% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Dalton KincaidTE | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5.5 | -0.2 | -0.09 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Amari CooperWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.7 | -0.69 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Dawson KnoxTE | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.9 | -1.46 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler BassK | 2/2(51, 21) | 51 | 3/3 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam MartinP | 3 | 150 | 50.0 | 38.0 | 54 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray DavisRB | 1 | 25 | 25.0 | 25 | 0 |