Broncos
7–31
DEN @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sun, Jan 12, 2025 · 2024 Wild Card · New Era Field
Ground Share
Bills controlled the field
Teams with this edge win 94% of the time
DEN 30%70% BUF
37.5%GROUND85.9%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.Nix | 27 | -0.20 | 40.7% | 7.4% | -5.3 | 11.8 | 59.1% | 63.6% | -4.5 |
| J.Allen | 32 | +0.49 | 59.4% | 6.3% | +15.6 | 9.7 | 80.0% | 63.5% | +16.5 |
Team Stats
| Metric | DEN | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.12 | +0.31 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.06 | +0.49 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.25 | +0.12 |
| Success Rate | 44.2% | 55.6% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 11.6% | 29.2% |
| Yards / Play | 5.21 | 6.58 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.08 | +0.12 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 25.0% | 62.5% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.8 | 5.6 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.34 | 4.00 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 42.9% | 51.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 14.3% | 8.1% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 25.4 | 31.0 |
| Plays | 43 | 72 |
| Total Yards | 224 | 474 |
| Total EPA | -5.2 | +22.1 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 0 |
Special Teams
Bills dominated the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 70% of the time
DEN 20%80% BUF
1.3 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS5.1 pts won
Biggest swing · W.Lutz 50 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright — BUF +1.7
Kickoffs · BUF +1.3Punts · BUF +0.4Kicks · BUF +2.1
Player Stats
DEN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley DixonP | 1 | 1/1 | 15 | 15.0 | +3.5 | +3.49 | +48.2 | 100% | +0.14 | 0 | 0 |
| Bo NixQB | 27 | 13/22 | 171 | 6.3 | -5.3 | -0.20 | -4.5 | 41% | +0.06 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo NixQB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | +0.2 | +0.20 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Tyler BadieRB | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | -0.2 | -0.12 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Marvin Mims Jr.WR | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | -0.8 | -0.39 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Javonte WilliamsRB | 7 | 29 | 4.1 | -0.9 | -0.14 | 43% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Jaleel McLaughlinRB | 2 | -2 | -1.0 | -1.7 | -0.86 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy FranklinWR | 3 | 2 | 54 | 18.0 | +3.6 | +1.20 | 67% | +0.10 | 1 |
| Marvin Mims Jr.WR | 4 | 2 | 12 | 3.0 | +0.9 | +0.23 | 25% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Javonte WilliamsRB | 2 | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | +0.2 | +0.08 | 50% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Lucas KrullTE | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | +0.0 | -0.02 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Adam TrautmanTE | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.4 | -0.37 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Courtland SuttonWR | 9 | 5 | 75 | 8.3 | -0.8 | -0.09 | 56% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Devaughn VeleWR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.4 | -0.68 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jaleel McLaughlinRB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -3.3 | -3.31 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wil LutzK | 0/1(missed 50) | — | 1/1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley DixonP | 4 | 192 | 48.0 | 40.5 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tremon SmithCB | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | 16 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Mims Jr.WR | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 32 | 20/26 | 285 | 8.9 | +15.6 | +0.49 | +16.5 | 59% | +0.23 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 4 | 22 | 5.5 | +4.5 | +1.13 | 100% | +0.15 | 0 |
| James CookRB | 23 | 120 | 5.2 | +1.5 | +0.06 | 48% | +0.15 | 1 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 9 | 44 | 4.9 | +0.5 | +0.05 | 56% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Ray DavisRB | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.1 | -0.15 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis SamuelWR | 3 | 3 | 68 | 22.7 | +7.4 | +2.46 | 100% | +0.07 | 1 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 2 | 2 | 26 | 13.0 | +4.2 | +2.10 | 100% | +0.07 | 1 |
| Khalil ShakirWR | 6 | 6 | 61 | 10.2 | +3.5 | +0.58 | 83% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Dalton KincaidTE | 3 | 3 | 47 | 15.7 | +3.4 | +1.13 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Dawson KnoxTE | 3 | 2 | 38 | 12.7 | +2.0 | +0.67 | 67% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Mack HollinsWR | 2 | 1 | 19 | 9.5 | +0.1 | +0.03 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Keon ColemanWR | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1.7 | -1.0 | -0.32 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Amari CooperWR | 3 | 2 | 8 | 2.7 | -1.8 | -0.59 | 33% | -0.02 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler BassK | 3/3(26, 27, 34) | 34 | 2/2 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam MartinP | 1 | 45 | 45.0 | 45.0 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty JohnsonRB | 2 | 59 | 29.5 | 33 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil ShakirWR | 3 | 30 | 10.0 | 23 | 0 |