Saints
19–27
NO @ TB
Buccaneers
Final · Sun, Jan 5, 2025 · 2024 Week 18 · Raymond James Stadium
Ground Share
Buccaneers had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
NO 46%54% TB
50.1%GROUND58.4%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S.Rattler | 45 | +0.02 | 42.2% | 4.4% | +1.0 | 8.4 | 66.7% | 64.8% | +1.9 |
| B.Mayfield | 40 | +0.39 | 52.5% | 2.5% | +15.6 | 8.0 | 67.7% | 64.8% | +2.9 |
Team Stats
| Metric | NO | TB |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.01 | +0.17 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.02 | +0.39 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.05 | -0.16 |
| Success Rate | 42.4% | 45.5% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 16.7% | 30.3% |
| Yards / Play | 4.42 | 6.00 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.05 | -0.02 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 29.4% | 64.7% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.8 | 6.6 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.35 | 3.25 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 44.4% | 52.2% |
| Stuff Rate | 22.2% | 13.0% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 15.2% | 12.1% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 35.2 | 24.7 |
| Plays | 66 | 66 |
| Total Yards | 292 | 396 |
| Total EPA | +0.7 | +11.3 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 1 |
Special Teams
Saints won the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 63% of the time
NO 73%27% TB
6.1 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS2.2 pts won
Biggest swing · J.Browning to TB 20 for -13 yards. FUMBLES, and recovers at TB 21. J.Browning punts 14 yards to TB 47, down… — NO +1.9
Kickoffs · NO +0.4Punts · NO +2.4Kicks · NO +0.9
Player Stats
NO
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer RattlerQB | 45 | 26/42 | 239 | 5.3 | +1.0 | +0.02 | +1.9 | 42% | +0.14 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan MimsRB | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | +1.6 | +0.81 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Jamaal WilliamsRB | 8 | 15 | 1.9 | -1.1 | -0.13 | 38% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Clyde Edwards-HelaireRB | 8 | 26 | 3.3 | -1.5 | -0.19 | 25% | -0.06 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juwan JohnsonTE | 7 | 6 | 80 | 11.4 | +6.5 | +0.94 | 71% | +0.22 | 0 |
| Clyde Edwards-HelaireRB | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | +3.0 | +2.99 | 100% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Kevin Austin Jr.WR | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | +0.6 | +0.60 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Foster MoreauTE | 4 | 4 | 31 | 7.8 | +0.4 | +0.11 | 75% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Dante PettisWR | 6 | 2 | 16 | 2.7 | +0.3 | +0.06 | 33% | -0.02 | 1 |
| Jamaal WilliamsRB | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +0.3 | +0.31 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Jordan MimsRB | 3 | 3 | 13 | 4.3 | -0.3 | -0.12 | 33% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Dallin HolkerTE | 3 | 2 | 11 | 3.7 | -1.6 | -0.54 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWR | 8 | 3 | 33 | 4.1 | -3.0 | -0.38 | 25% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Cedrick Wilson Jr.WR | 5 | 3 | 22 | 4.4 | -3.2 | -0.64 | 40% | -0.04 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake GrupeK | 4/4(35, 39, 39, 49) | 49 | 1/1 | 6 | 3 | 13 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew HayballP | 3 | 131 | 43.7 | 43.7 | 51 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante PettisWR | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | 9 | 0 |
TB
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker MayfieldQB | 40 | 21/32 | 292 | 7.3 | +15.6 | +0.39 | +2.9 | 53% | +0.91 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucky IrvingRB | 19 | 89 | 4.7 | +1.5 | +0.08 | 37% | -0.11 | 1 |
| Sean TuckerRB | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | +0.4 | +0.20 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Jalen McMillanWR | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.0 | +0.01 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Baker MayfieldQB | 1 | -7 | -7.0 | -3.3 | -3.31 | 0% | -0.13 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen McMillanWR | 6 | 5 | 74 | 12.3 | +6.4 | +1.06 | 50% | +0.43 | 1 |
| Devin CulpTE | 2 | 2 | 36 | 18.0 | +4.6 | +2.29 | 100% | +0.14 | 0 |
| Payne DurhamTE | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | +3.1 | +1.57 | 100% | +0.10 | 1 |
| Sterling ShepardWR | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5.5 | +1.5 | +0.77 | 50% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Mike EvansWR | 14 | 9 | 89 | 6.4 | -1.2 | -0.09 | 50% | +0.17 | 0 |
| Bucky IrvingRB | 5 | 2 | -5 | -1.0 | -3.6 | -0.71 | 0% | -0.13 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase McLaughlinK | 2/2(52, 25) | 52 | 3/3 | — | — | 9 |
| Jack BrowningP | — | — | — | 6 | 6 | 0 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack BrowningP | 2 | 66 | 33.0 | 28.5 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean TuckerRB | 3 | 88 | 29.3 | 36 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey PalmerWR | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |