Texans
23–14
HOU @ TEN
Titans
Final · Sun, Jan 5, 2025 · 2024 Week 18 · Nissan Stadium
Ground Share
Texans had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
HOU 57%43% TEN
54.0%GROUND41.1%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Mills | 24 | -0.33 | 37.5% | 4.2% | -7.9 | 7.0 | 54.5% | 67.6% | -13.1 |
| W.Levis | 19 | +0.16 | 42.1% | 5.3% | +3.0 | 16.2 | 52.9% | 55.5% | -2.6 |
Team Stats
| Metric | HOU | TEN |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.14 | -0.22 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.09 | +0.19 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.23 | -0.60 |
| Success Rate | 50.8% | 34.4% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 27.1% | 18.0% |
| Yards / Play | 6.36 | 5.15 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.11 | -0.38 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 50.0% | 38.9% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.8 | 6.7 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 4.90 | 1.85 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 44.4% | 40.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 14.8% | 36.7% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 10.2% | 14.8% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 30.6 | 23.6 |
| Plays | 59 | 61 |
| Total Yards | 375 | 314 |
| Total EPA | +8.4 | -13.2 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 1 |
Special Teams
Titans had the edge in the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 56% of the time
HOU 38%62% TEN
3.8 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS6.4 pts won
Biggest swing · K.Fairbairn kicks 63 yards from HOU 35 to TEN 2. B.Oliver pushed ob at HOU 44 for 54 yards — TEN +1.7
Kickoffs · TEN +0.6Punts · TEN +0.3Kicks · TEN +1.7
Player Stats
HOU
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. StroudQB | 6 | 6/6 | 50 | 8.3 | +5.3 | +0.88 | +30.0 | 100% | +0.16 | 1 | 0 |
| Davis MillsQB | 24 | 12/22 | 126 | 5.3 | -7.9 | -0.33 | -13.1 | 38% | -0.03 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dameon PierceRB | 19 | 176 | 9.3 | +6.6 | +0.35 | 47% | +0.19 | 1 |
| Davis MillsQB | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | +1.5 | +1.47 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Joe MixonRB | 5 | 23 | 4.6 | +1.3 | +0.25 | 60% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Dare OgunbowaleRB | 2 | -3 | -1.5 | -3.1 | -1.57 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico CollinsWR | 5 | 5 | 38 | 7.6 | +4.2 | +0.84 | 80% | +0.10 | 1 |
| Dalton SchultzTE | 3 | 3 | 29 | 9.7 | +1.9 | +0.63 | 100% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Dare OgunbowaleRB | 3 | 2 | 26 | 8.7 | +1.1 | +0.36 | 67% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Joe MixonRB | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.2 | +0.22 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| John Metchie IIIWR | 4 | 2 | 24 | 6.0 | +0.0 | +0.01 | 25% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Diontae JohnsonWR | 4 | 2 | 12 | 3.0 | -0.5 | -0.11 | 25% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Cade StoverTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.76 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Dameon PierceRB | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.3 | -0.63 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Robert WoodsWR | 3 | 2 | 39 | 13.0 | -3.2 | -1.07 | 33% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Xavier HutchinsonWR | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2.5 | -3.9 | -1.97 | 50% | -0.05 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ka'imi FairbairnK | 1/1(27) | 27 | 2/3 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy TownsendP | 4 | 191 | 47.8 | 42.8 | 53 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dameon PierceRB | 1 | 34 | 34.0 | 34 | 0 |
| Xavier HutchinsonWR | 1 | 32 | 32.0 | 32 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert WoodsWR | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | 9 | 0 |
| Diontae JohnsonWR | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
TEN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LevisQB | 19 | 9/17 | 175 | 9.2 | +3.0 | +0.16 | -2.6 | 42% | +0.04 | 1 | 0 |
| Mason RudolphQB | 11 | 7/9 | 67 | 6.1 | +2.7 | +0.25 | +0.3 | 46% | +0.03 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius ChestnutRB | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | +1.0 | +0.51 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Joshua KelleyRB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.4 | -0.39 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Calvin RidleyWR | 2 | -3 | -1.5 | -1.7 | -0.85 | 50% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Tony PollardRB | 22 | 62 | 2.8 | -5.5 | -0.25 | 23% | -0.16 | 0 |
| Will LevisQB | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | -11.5 | -3.84 | 0% | -0.16 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tay MartinWR | 2 | 1 | 49 | 24.5 | +5.4 | +2.68 | 50% | +0.01 | 1 |
| Calvin RidleyWR | 5 | 3 | 76 | 15.2 | +3.7 | +0.74 | 60% | +0.14 | 0 |
| Nick VannettTE | 2 | 2 | 26 | 13.0 | +1.9 | +0.97 | 100% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Nick Westbrook-IkhineWR | 7 | 4 | 50 | 7.1 | -0.4 | -0.05 | 43% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Josh WhyleTE | 7 | 5 | 29 | 4.1 | -0.9 | -0.13 | 29% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Bryce OliverWR | 3 | 1 | 15 | 5.0 | -2.3 | -0.78 | 33% | -0.02 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew WrightK | 2/2(35, 38) | 38 | — | 4 | 0 | 6 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan StonehouseP | 5 | 219 | 43.8 | 42.0 | 50 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce OliverWR | 3 | 113 | 37.7 | 54 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason KinseyWR | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |