Falcons
24–30
ATL @ WAS
Commanders
Final/OT · Sun, Dec 29, 2024 · 2024 Week 17 · FedExField
Ground Share
Commanders had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
ATL 43%57% WAS
52.3%GROUND69.1%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.Penix | 37 | -0.02 | -0.6 | 12.5 | 54.3% | 59.1% | -4.8 |
| J.Daniels | 41 | +0.12 | +5.0 | 7.1 | 66.7% | 68.9% | -0.3 |
Team Stats
| Metric | ATL | WAS |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.11 | +0.16 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.03 | +0.23 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.22 | +0.08 |
| Success Rate | 53.1% | 50.0% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 28.1% | 29.3% |
| Yards / Play | 5.27 | 5.04 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.10 | -0.05 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 42.9% | 55.6% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.9 | 9.7 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 4.27 | 3.94 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 63.6% | 53.6% |
| Stuff Rate | 9.1% | 10.7% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 10.9% | 4.9% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 28.3 | 33.6 |
| Plays | 64 | 82 |
| Total Yards | 337 | 413 |
| Total EPA | +7.1 | +13.1 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 1 |
Player Stats
ATL
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Penix Jr.QB | 38 | 19/35 | 214 | 5.6 | -1.0 | -0.03 | -4.8 | 40% | -0.07 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bijan RobinsonRB | 17 | 90 | 5.3 | +2.7 | +0.16 | 71% | +0.04 | 2 |
| Ray-Ray McCloudWR | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | +1.4 | +1.45 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Tyler AllgeierRB | 3 | 19 | 6.3 | +1.1 | +0.36 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Michael Penix Jr.QB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.3 | -0.27 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle PittsTE | 5 | 4 | 44 | 8.8 | +5.7 | +1.13 | 80% | +0.19 | 1 |
| Drake LondonWR | 13 | 7 | 106 | 8.2 | +5.0 | +0.39 | 46% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Ray-Ray McCloudWR | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | +1.6 | +1.59 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Charlie WoernerTE | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.3 | +0.28 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Darnell MooneyWR | 5 | 2 | 37 | 7.4 | -0.8 | -0.17 | 40% | -0.01 | 0 |
| KhaDarel HodgeWR | 4 | 1 | 9 | 2.3 | -1.1 | -0.27 | 25% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Bijan RobinsonRB | 5 | 3 | 8 | 1.6 | -2.7 | -0.54 | 0% | -0.08 | 0 |
| Chris BlairWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -4.8 | -4.75 | 0% | -0.11 | 0 |
WAS
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden DanielsQB | 48 | 24/36 | 268 | 5.6 | +10.9 | +0.23 | -0.3 | 50% | +0.49 | 3 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden DanielsQB | 8 | 56 | 7.0 | +4.0 | +0.51 | 88% | +0.17 | 0 |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB | 5 | 16 | 3.2 | +1.6 | +0.33 | 60% | +0.08 | 1 |
| Olamide ZaccheausWR | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +0.6 | +0.59 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Brian RobinsonRB | 13 | 60 | 4.6 | -0.1 | -0.01 | 39% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Jeremy McNicholsRB | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | -0.3 | -0.26 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach ErtzTE | 7 | 6 | 72 | 10.3 | +9.1 | +1.29 | 71% | +0.39 | 2 |
| Olamide ZaccheausWR | 9 | 8 | 85 | 9.4 | +7.3 | +0.81 | 78% | +0.05 | 1 |
| Jeremy McNicholsRB | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1.7 | +1.9 | +0.63 | 33% | +0.10 | 0 |
| John BatesTE | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | +1.7 | +1.69 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | +1.1 | +1.14 | 100% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Brian RobinsonRB | 2 | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | -0.2 | -0.12 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Terry McLaurinWR | 7 | 1 | 5 | 0.7 | -4.2 | -0.59 | 14% | -0.19 | 0 |
| Jamison CrowderWR | 5 | 3 | 25 | 5.0 | -4.7 | -0.93 | 40% | -0.13 | 0 |