Patriots
21–24
NE @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sun, Dec 22, 2024 · 2024 Week 16 · New Era Field
Ground Share
Neither team controlled the field
NE 48%52% BUF
48.8%GROUND52.7%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Maye | 40 | +0.15 | 47.5% | 5.0% | +6.1 | 7.4 | 71.0% | 63.2% | +7.8 |
| J.Allen | 34 | +0.07 | 47.1% | 2.9% | +2.4 | 11.6 | 59.3% | 63.3% | -4.1 |
Team Stats
| Metric | NE | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.05 | +0.03 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.15 | +0.07 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.32 | -0.02 |
| Success Rate | 48.6% | 45.8% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 27.0% | 22.0% |
| Yards / Play | 5.12 | 5.49 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.27 | +0.11 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 68.8% | 41.7% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.6 | 6.8 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.11 | 4.35 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 46.4% | 54.2% |
| Stuff Rate | 21.4% | 25.0% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 6.8% | 11.9% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 22.4 | 31.7 |
| Plays | 74 | 59 |
| Total Yards | 379 | 324 |
| Total EPA | +3.5 | +1.7 |
| Giveaways | 3 | 1 |
Special Teams
Bills had the edge in the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 56% of the time
NE 39%61% BUF
2.2 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS3.4 pts won
Biggest swing · T.Bass 50 yard field goal is GOOD — BUF +1.3
Kickoffs · NE +0.3Punts · BUF +0.2Kicks · BUF +1.3
Player Stats
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake MayeQB | 40 | 22/36 | 267 | 6.7 | +6.1 | +0.15 | +7.8 | 48% | +0.15 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dell PettusSAF | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | +1.9 | +1.93 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| DeMario DouglasWR | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.5 | +0.52 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Rhamondre StevensonRB | 12 | 60 | 5.0 | -2.9 | -0.24 | 50% | -0.03 | 1 |
| Antonio GibsonRB | 10 | 28 | 2.8 | -3.0 | -0.30 | 30% | -0.10 | 0 |
| Drake MayeQB | 4 | 16 | 4.0 | -4.4 | -1.09 | 25% | -0.20 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter HenryTE | 8 | 4 | 39 | 4.9 | +4.9 | +0.61 | 50% | +0.05 | 1 |
| Kayshon BoutteWR | 7 | 5 | 96 | 13.7 | +4.8 | +0.68 | 43% | +0.11 | 1 |
| Rhamondre StevensonRB | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | +1.9 | +1.95 | 100% | +0.11 | 0 |
| DeMario DouglasWR | 5 | 4 | 33 | 6.6 | +1.0 | +0.20 | 80% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Kendrick BourneWR | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9.0 | +0.7 | +0.34 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Javon BakerWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.52 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Antonio GibsonRB | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | -0.9 | -0.46 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Austin HooperTE | 5 | 4 | 55 | 11.0 | -1.3 | -0.25 | 80% | -0.12 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey SlyeK | — | — | 3/3 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce BaringerP | 3 | 133 | 44.3 | 44.3 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio GibsonRB | 2 | 61 | 30.5 | 42 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex EricksonWR | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 34 | 16/29 | 178 | 5.2 | +2.4 | +0.07 | -4.1 | 47% | +0.17 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James CookRB | 11 | 100 | 9.1 | +2.8 | +0.26 | 46% | +0.09 | 1 |
| Ray DavisRB | 5 | 12 | 2.4 | -0.8 | -0.16 | 40% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Josh AllenQB | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | -1.2 | -0.61 | 50% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 6 | 30 | 5.0 | -1.3 | -0.21 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James CookRB | 3 | 3 | 26 | 8.7 | +3.6 | +1.20 | 100% | +0.15 | 1 |
| Dawson KnoxTE | 2 | 2 | 22 | 11.0 | +1.4 | +0.69 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Ray DavisRB | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17.0 | +1.3 | +1.31 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Keon ColemanWR | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8.5 | +1.2 | +0.59 | 50% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Amari CooperWR | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5.0 | +0.2 | +0.10 | 50% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.3 | -0.31 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Khalil ShakirWR | 6 | 2 | 22 | 3.7 | -0.4 | -0.06 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Mack HollinsWR | 3 | 2 | 25 | 8.3 | -0.4 | -0.13 | 67% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Dalton KincaidTE | 7 | 4 | 15 | 2.1 | -2.2 | -0.32 | 29% | -0.08 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler BassK | 1/1(50) | 50 | 3/3 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam MartinP | 4 | 171 | 42.8 | 37.8 | 56 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray DavisRB | 1 | 24 | 24.0 | 24 | 0 |
| Brandon CodringtonCB | 1 | 22 | 22.0 | 22 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon CodringtonCB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |