Texans
19–27
HOU @ KC
Chiefs
Final · Sat, Dec 21, 2024 · 2024 Week 16 · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Ground Share
Chiefs had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
HOU 46%54% KC
51.4%GROUND59.2%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Stroud | 43 | +0.15 | 41.9% | 4.7% | +6.3 | 9.6 | 62.2% | 61.3% | +0.9 |
| P.Mahomes | 45 | +0.29 | 51.1% | 2.2% | +13.3 | 5.7 | 68.3% | 67.9% | +0.4 |
Team Stats
| Metric | HOU | KC |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.07 | +0.16 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.15 | +0.29 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.06 | -0.14 |
| Success Rate | 37.3% | 48.6% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 23.7% | 29.2% |
| Yards / Play | 5.27 | 5.24 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.01 | +0.09 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 53.8% | 56.3% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 9.8 | 6.9 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.08 | 3.25 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 40.0% | 39.1% |
| Stuff Rate | 20.0% | 13.0% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 18.6% | 5.6% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 32.8 | 29.2 |
| Plays | 59 | 72 |
| Total Yards | 311 | 377 |
| Total EPA | +4.4 | +11.5 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 0 |
Special Teams
Special teams were a wash
HOU 50%50% KC
4.1 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS4.1 pts won
Biggest swing · K.Fairbairn kicks 62 yards from HOU 35 to KC 3. N.Remigio to KC 20 for 17 yards. PENALTY on KC-D.Bush, Offe… — HOU +1.2
Kickoffs · HOU +0.7Punts · HOU +0.6Kicks · KC +1.4
Player Stats
HOU
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. StroudQB | 43 | 23/39 | 250 | 5.8 | +6.3 | +0.15 | +0.9 | 42% | +0.11 | 2 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dameon PierceRB | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.4 | -0.39 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Joe MixonRB | 14 | 57 | 4.1 | -0.6 | -0.04 | 29% | +0.02 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tank DellWR | 7 | 6 | 98 | 14.0 | +10.4 | +1.49 | 86% | +0.35 | 1 |
| Dalton SchultzTE | 8 | 5 | 45 | 5.6 | +2.2 | +0.28 | 38% | +0.02 | 1 |
| Xavier HutchinsonWR | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +1.8 | +1.84 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Joe MixonRB | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7.0 | +0.3 | +0.15 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Andrew BeckFB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.60 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Dare OgunbowaleRB | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.7 | -0.34 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Robert WoodsWR | 6 | 3 | 19 | 3.2 | -1.6 | -0.27 | 17% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Nico CollinsWR | 10 | 7 | 60 | 6.0 | -2.5 | -0.25 | 40% | -0.07 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ka'imi FairbairnK | 2/2(33, 38) | 38 | 1/2 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy TownsendP | 2 | 105 | 52.5 | 38.0 | 57 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert WoodsWR | 1 | 31 | 31.0 | 31 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tank DellWR | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | 12 | 0 |
| Robert WoodsWR | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
KC
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick MahomesQB | 45 | 28/41 | 286 | 6.4 | +13.3 | +0.29 | +0.4 | 51% | +0.42 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kareem HuntRB | 11 | 55 | 5.0 | +3.3 | +0.30 | 55% | +0.11 | 1 |
| Xavier WorthyWR | 3 | 10 | 3.3 | -0.5 | -0.18 | 33% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Isiah PachecoRB | 9 | 26 | 2.9 | -5.9 | -0.65 | 22% | -0.21 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre HopkinsWR | 4 | 4 | 37 | 9.3 | +4.3 | +1.08 | 100% | +0.14 | 0 |
| Samaje PerineRB | 3 | 3 | 50 | 16.7 | +3.1 | +1.04 | 67% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Marquise BrownWR | 8 | 5 | 45 | 5.6 | +2.2 | +0.28 | 38% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Xavier WorthyWR | 11 | 7 | 65 | 5.9 | +1.6 | +0.15 | 46% | +0.09 | 1 |
| Kareem HuntRB | 3 | 2 | 24 | 8.0 | +1.1 | +0.38 | 67% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Noah GrayTE | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | +0.9 | +0.94 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Travis KelceTE | 7 | 5 | 30 | 4.3 | +0.1 | +0.01 | 43% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Justin WatsonWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.38 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| JuJu Smith-SchusterWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.47 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Isiah PachecoRB | 2 | 1 | -1 | -0.5 | -1.2 | -0.59 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison ButkerK | 2/2(44, 27) | 44 | 3/3 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt AraizaP | 2 | 90 | 45.0 | 39.0 | 49 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikko RemigioWR | 5 | 129 | 25.8 | 36 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikko RemigioWR | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | 9 | 0 |