Colts
13–31
IND @ DEN
Broncos
Final · Sun, Dec 15, 2024 · 2024 Week 15 · Empower Field at Mile High
Ground Share
Colts had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
IND 53%47% DEN
28.3%GROUND24.8%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.Richardson | 40 | -0.52 | -20.8 | 9.1 | 44.7% | 63.3% | -16.1 |
| B.Nix | 34 | -0.44 | -14.8 | 5.3 | 60.6% | 71.6% | -9.1 |
Team Stats
| Metric | IND | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.44 | -0.29 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.49 | -0.35 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.41 | -0.25 |
| Success Rate | 30.3% | 35.0% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 17.1% | 13.3% |
| Yards / Play | 4.08 | 3.27 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.55 | -0.18 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 31.6% | 37.5% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 8.6 | 5.3 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.11 | 2.22 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 34.5% | 28.6% |
| Stuff Rate | 24.1% | 28.6% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 14.5% | 11.7% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 26.9 | 43.6 |
| Plays | 76 | 60 |
| Total Yards | 310 | 196 |
| Total EPA | -33.3 | -17.4 |
| Giveaways | 5 | 3 |
Player Stats
IND
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony RichardsonQB | 43 | 17/38 | 175 | 4.1 | -21.2 | -0.49 | -16.1 | 30% | -0.52 | 0 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler GoodsonRB | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | +1.6 | +1.63 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Anthony RichardsonQB | 4 | 32 | 8.0 | +1.6 | +0.40 | 50% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Trey SermonRB | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.1 | -0.10 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jonathan TaylorRB | 22 | 107 | 4.9 | -4.8 | -0.22 | 23% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Adonai MitchellWR | 1 | -10 | -10.0 | -9.7 | -9.65 | 0% | -0.28 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony GouldWR | 1 | 1 | 23 | 23.0 | +1.9 | +1.89 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Kylen GransonTE | 4 | 3 | 47 | 11.8 | +1.6 | +0.39 | 75% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Trey SermonRB | 2 | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | +0.0 | -0.01 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jonathan TaylorRB | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2.0 | -0.6 | -0.29 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Anthony RichardsonQB | 1 | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | -1.1 | -1.06 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Josh DownsWR | 8 | 3 | 32 | 4.0 | -1.6 | -0.20 | 25% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Adonai MitchellWR | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -3.2 | -0.80 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Alec PierceWR | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -4.3 | -1.07 | 0% | -0.17 | 0 |
| Will MalloryTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -4.5 | -4.47 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Michael PittmanWR | 9 | 6 | 58 | 6.4 | -5.9 | -0.66 | 44% | -0.20 | 0 |
DEN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo NixQB | 37 | 20/33 | 143 | 3.9 | -13.0 | -0.35 | -9.1 | 38% | -0.29 | 3 | 3 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo NixQB | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | +0.9 | +0.45 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Marvin Mims Jr.WR | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.85 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Audric EstiméRB | 5 | 13 | 2.6 | -1.7 | -0.35 | 20% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Javonte WilliamsRB | 6 | 15 | 2.5 | -1.7 | -0.29 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Jaleel McLaughlinRB | 7 | 21 | 3.0 | -1.8 | -0.26 | 29% | -0.09 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam TrautmanTE | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10.0 | +3.0 | +1.50 | 100% | +0.11 | 1 |
| Nate AdkinsTE | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | +2.5 | +2.46 | 100% | +0.11 | 1 |
| Marvin Mims Jr.WR | 4 | 4 | 20 | 5.0 | +0.8 | +0.21 | 50% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Audric EstiméRB | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | -0.1 | -0.09 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Lucas KrullTE | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | -0.4 | -0.22 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Jaleel McLaughlinRB | 3 | 3 | 13 | 4.3 | -1.3 | -0.44 | 33% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Devaughn VeleWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.6 | -1.57 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Javonte WilliamsRB | 3 | 2 | 8 | 2.7 | -1.6 | -0.53 | 33% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Troy FranklinWR | 5 | 2 | 9 | 1.8 | -3.1 | -0.63 | 20% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Lil'Jordan HumphreyWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -4.9 | -4.89 | 0% | -0.11 | 0 |
| Courtland SuttonWR | 9 | 3 | 32 | 3.6 | -5.5 | -0.61 | 33% | -0.27 | 1 |