Bills
48–42
BUF @ DET
Lions
Final · Sun, Dec 15, 2024 · 2024 Week 15 · Ford Field
Ground Share
Bills had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
BUF 56%44% DET
82.1%GROUND64.6%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Allen | 37 | +0.60 | 59.5% | 0.0% | +22.2 | 10.7 | 71.9% | 66.7% | +5.2 |
| J.Goff | 62 | +0.37 | 53.2% | 4.8% | +23.0 | 7.4 | 70.4% | 71.7% | -1.3 |
Team Stats
| Metric | BUF | DET |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.44 | +0.23 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.60 | +0.37 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.29 | -0.29 |
| Success Rate | 55.1% | 48.0% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 36.2% | 31.2% |
| Yards / Play | 8.12 | 6.77 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.42 | +0.01 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 50.0% | 56.3% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.6 | 8.8 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 4.24 | 2.05 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 60.0% | 23.1% |
| Stuff Rate | 13.3% | 38.5% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 11.6% | 9.1% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 38.0 | 26.7 |
| Plays | 69 | 77 |
| Total Yards | 560 | 521 |
| Total EPA | +30.3 | +17.4 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 1 |
Special Teams
Bills had the edge in the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 56% of the time
BUF 63%37% DET
10.0 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS5.8 pts won
Biggest swing · J.Bates 52 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left — BUF +3.8
Kickoffs · BUF +2.9Punts · DET +0.8Kicks · BUF +2.2
Player Stats
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 37 | 23/34 | 389 | 10.5 | +22.2 | +0.60 | +5.2 | 60% | +0.46 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James CookRB | 14 | 105 | 7.5 | +6.4 | +0.46 | 57% | +0.15 | 2 |
| Josh AllenQB | 7 | 42 | 6.0 | +5.2 | +0.74 | 71% | +0.07 | 2 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | +0.5 | +0.24 | 50% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Ray DavisRB | 7 | 15 | 2.1 | -2.1 | -0.29 | 29% | -0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty JohnsonRB | 5 | 5 | 114 | 22.8 | +12.0 | +2.40 | 100% | +0.30 | 0 |
| Keon ColemanWR | 2 | 1 | 64 | 32.0 | +3.6 | +1.81 | 50% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Dawson KnoxTE | 3 | 2 | 42 | 14.0 | +2.6 | +0.86 | 67% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Ray DavisRB | 2 | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | +2.4 | +1.21 | 100% | +0.04 | 1 |
| James CookRB | 1 | 1 | 28 | 28.0 | +1.9 | +1.96 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Dalton KincaidTE | 7 | 4 | 53 | 7.6 | +0.9 | +0.12 | 43% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Khalil ShakirWR | 7 | 6 | 39 | 5.6 | +0.3 | +0.05 | 57% | -0.03 | 1 |
| Curtis SamuelWR | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | -0.5 | -0.26 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Mack HollinsWR | 3 | 1 | 7 | 2.3 | -1.8 | -0.59 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler BassK | 2/3(50, 41 · missed 24) | 50 | 6/6 | 9 | 9 | 12 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam MartinP | 1 | 51 | 51.0 | 51.0 | 51 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mack HollinsWR | 1 | 38 | 38.0 | 38 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon CodringtonCB | 3 | 20 | 6.7 | 17 | 0 |
DET
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared GoffQB | 62 | 38/57 | 486 | 7.8 | +23.0 | +0.37 | -1.3 | 53% | +0.14 | 5 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr GibbsRB | 8 | 31 | 3.9 | +0.3 | +0.04 | 50% | +0.03 | 1 |
| David MontgomeryRB | 5 | 4 | 0.8 | -4.0 | -0.80 | 0% | -0.09 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amon-Ra St. BrownWR | 18 | 14 | 214 | 11.9 | +13.2 | +0.73 | 61% | +0.03 | 1 |
| Jahmyr GibbsRB | 7 | 5 | 62 | 8.9 | +5.0 | +0.72 | 71% | +0.02 | 1 |
| Sam LaPortaTE | 10 | 7 | 111 | 11.1 | +4.8 | +0.48 | 70% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Jameson WilliamsWR | 5 | 3 | 37 | 7.4 | +2.8 | +0.56 | 60% | -0.02 | 1 |
| Dan SkipperOT | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +1.9 | +1.95 | 100% | +0.02 | 1 |
| David MontgomeryRB | 4 | 4 | 31 | 7.8 | +1.2 | +0.30 | 75% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Tim PatrickWR | 8 | 4 | 30 | 3.8 | +0.6 | +0.07 | 25% | +0.09 | 1 |
| Allen RobinsonWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.64 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake BatesK | 0/1(missed 52) | — | 6/6 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack FoxP | 3 | 167 | 55.7 | 49.0 | 60 | 1 | 0 | 0 |