49ers
10–35
SF @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sun, Dec 1, 2024 · 2024 Week 13 · New Era Field
Ground Share
Bills controlled more of the field
Teams with this edge win 86% of the time
SF 39%61% BUF
39.6%GROUND61.5%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.Purdy | 21 | -0.36 | 23.8% | 9.5% | -7.6 | 5.4 | 64.7% | 72.8% | -8.1 |
| J.Allen | 18 | +0.54 | 55.6% | 0.0% | +9.7 | 6.4 | 76.5% | 66.7% | +9.8 |
Team Stats
| Metric | SF | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.22 | +0.34 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.36 | +0.50 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.15 | +0.22 |
| Success Rate | 34.0% | 52.7% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 25.5% | 34.5% |
| Yards / Play | 5.09 | 6.82 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.19 | +0.25 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 36.4% | 61.5% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.7 | 5.3 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.91 | 4.38 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 52.0% | 52.9% |
| Stuff Rate | 28.0% | 11.8% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 10.6% | 9.1% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 33.0 | 39.0 |
| Plays | 47 | 55 |
| Total Yards | 239 | 375 |
| Total EPA | -10.1 | +19.0 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 0 |
Special Teams
Special teams were a wash
SF 44%56% BUF
9.4 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS11.9 pts won
Biggest swing · T.Bass kicks 63 yards from BUF 35 to SF 2. D.Samuel to SF 30 for 28 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by BUF-J.Virg… — BUF +5.2
Kickoffs · BUF +1.7Punts · SF +0.3Kicks · BUF +1.1
Player Stats
SF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock PurdyQB | 21 | 11/17 | 90 | 4.3 | -7.6 | -0.36 | -8.1 | 24% | -0.09 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian McCaffreyRB | 7 | 53 | 7.6 | +2.7 | +0.39 | 57% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Jordan MasonRB | 13 | 78 | 6.0 | +1.3 | +0.10 | 39% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Isaac GuerendoRB | 4 | 19 | 4.8 | +1.1 | +0.27 | 25% | +0.00 | 1 |
| Kyle JuszczykFB | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | -8.8 | -8.84 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jauan JenningsWR | 5 | 3 | 56 | 11.2 | +6.2 | +1.23 | 60% | +0.03 | 0 |
| George KittleTE | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3.5 | -0.7 | -0.36 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Christian McCaffreyRB | 3 | 2 | 14 | 4.7 | -0.8 | -0.25 | 33% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Isaac GuerendoRB | 1 | 1 | -3 | -3.0 | -0.9 | -0.87 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Ricky PearsallWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.9 | -0.88 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Deebo Samuel Sr.WR | 5 | 4 | 20 | 4.0 | -2.8 | -0.56 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake MoodyK | 1/3(33 · missed 45, 55) | 33 | 1/1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pat O'DonnellP | 3 | 124 | 41.3 | 35.3 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deebo Samuel Sr.WR | 6 | 208 | 34.7 | 60 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob CowingWR | 2 | 25 | 12.5 | 13 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 18 | 13/17 | 156 | 8.7 | +9.7 | +0.54 | +9.8 | 56% | +0.10 | 2 | 0 |
| Mitchell TrubiskyQB | 1 | 1/1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.1 | -0.14 | +19.7 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray DavisRB | 11 | 63 | 5.7 | +4.4 | +0.40 | 55% | +0.06 | 1 |
| Josh AllenQB | 2 | 10 | 5.0 | +2.3 | +1.15 | 100% | +0.08 | 0 |
| James CookRB | 14 | 107 | 7.6 | +2.1 | +0.15 | 36% | -0.01 | 1 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 5 | 28 | 5.6 | +0.8 | +0.16 | 80% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Curtis SamuelWR | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +0.3 | +0.28 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Mitchell TrubiskyQB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.1 | -1.10 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawson KnoxTE | 2 | 2 | 56 | 28.0 | +3.7 | +1.86 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Mack HollinsWR | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +3.1 | +3.07 | 100% | +0.02 | 1 |
| Amari CooperWR | 3 | 3 | 19 | 6.3 | +1.8 | +0.61 | 67% | +0.03 | 1 |
| James CookRB | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | +1.0 | +0.96 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Quintin MorrisTE | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | +0.8 | +0.79 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | -0.1 | -0.10 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Ray DavisRB | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.1 | -0.14 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Zach DavidsonTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.7 | -0.71 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Khalil ShakirWR | 7 | 4 | 30 | 4.3 | -2.1 | -0.30 | 29% | -0.05 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler BassK | 0/1(missed 49) | — | 5/5 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam MartinP | 3 | 140 | 46.7 | 38.3 | 54 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray DavisRB | 2 | 43 | 21.5 | 22 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon CodringtonCB | 2 | 18 | 9.0 | 10 | 0 |