Jaguars
10–47
JAX @ BUF
Bills
Final · Mon, Sep 23, 2024 · 2024 Week 3 · New Era Field
Ground Share
Bills controlled the field
Teams with this edge win 94% of the time
JAX 31%69% BUF
34.1%GROUND76.4%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Lawrence | 42 | -0.38 | -16.1 | 8.2 | 55.3% | 63.9% | -5.6 |
| J.Allen | 30 | +0.75 | +22.4 | 5.8 | 76.7% | 66.5% | +12.8 |
Team Stats
| Metric | JAX | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.21 | +0.43 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.53 | +0.71 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.60 | +0.07 |
| Success Rate | 38.0% | 50.0% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 19.7% | 30.6% |
| Yards / Play | 3.37 | 6.27 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.20 | +0.27 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 31.8% | 61.5% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.6 | 5.5 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 4.34 | 2.83 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 43.8% | 33.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 0.0% | 25.0% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 12.7% | 11.3% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 29.9 | 43.4 |
| Plays | 71 | 62 |
| Total Yards | 239 | 389 |
| Total EPA | -14.8 | +26.6 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 0 |
Player Stats
JAX
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac JonesQB | 9 | 5/8 | 5 | 0.6 | -10.1 | -1.12 | -13.5 | 22% | +0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Trevor LawrenceQB | 43 | 21/38 | 143 | 3.3 | -17.3 | -0.40 | -5.6 | 33% | -0.15 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis EtienneRB | 11 | 68 | 6.2 | +6.1 | +0.56 | 46% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Tank BigsbyRB | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | +2.5 | +1.24 | 100% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Trevor LawrenceQB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | +1.9 | +1.85 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| D'Ernest JohnsonRB | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | +0.4 | +0.18 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian KirkWR | 10 | 8 | 79 | 7.9 | +4.0 | +0.40 | 60% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Brenton StrangeTE | 5 | 2 | 12 | 2.4 | +0.7 | +0.14 | 40% | -0.01 | 1 |
| Josiah DeguaraTE | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | -0.2 | -0.20 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Devin DuvernayWR | 1 | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | -0.6 | -0.56 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| D'Ernest JohnsonRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.57 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Luke FarrellTE | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | -1.3 | -0.64 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Gabe DavisWR | 6 | 2 | 18 | 3.0 | -2.4 | -0.40 | 17% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Parker WashingtonWR | 3 | 2 | 18 | 6.0 | -2.4 | -0.81 | 33% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Travis EtienneRB | 6 | 4 | 17 | 2.8 | -2.6 | -0.44 | 17% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Brian Thomas Jr.WR | 9 | 5 | 48 | 5.3 | -5.4 | -0.60 | 56% | -0.06 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 34 | 23/30 | 296 | 8.7 | +25.7 | +0.76 | +12.8 | 59% | +0.35 | 4 | 0 |
| Mitchell TrubiskyQB | 1 | 1/1 | 3 | 3.0 | -1.0 | -1.03 | +15.3 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | +3.0 | +1.50 | 100% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 3 | 18 | 6.0 | +1.2 | +0.41 | 33% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Ray DavisRB | 7 | 22 | 3.1 | -0.7 | -0.10 | 43% | -0.01 | 1 |
| James CookRB | 11 | 39 | 3.5 | -0.9 | -0.08 | 27% | -0.04 | 1 |
| Curtis SamuelWR | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | -0.96 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil ShakirWR | 6 | 6 | 72 | 12.0 | +10.8 | +1.79 | 83% | +0.19 | 1 |
| Dalton KincaidTE | 5 | 3 | 41 | 8.2 | +3.8 | +0.76 | 60% | +0.09 | 1 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 3 | 3 | 28 | 9.3 | +2.8 | +0.94 | 33% | +0.00 | 1 |
| Keon ColemanWR | 1 | 1 | 24 | 24.0 | +2.8 | +2.81 | 100% | +0.01 | 1 |
| James CookRB | 5 | 4 | 48 | 9.6 | +1.6 | +0.32 | 60% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Mack HollinsWR | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8.0 | +0.8 | +0.41 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Curtis SamuelWR | 3 | 3 | 22 | 7.3 | +0.2 | +0.07 | 67% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Dawson KnoxTE | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3.5 | -0.2 | -0.10 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Ray DavisRB | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.5 | -0.46 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWR | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3.5 | -0.5 | -0.26 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |