Chiefs
27–24
KC @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sun, Jan 21, 2024 · 2023 Divisional Round · New Era Field
Ground Share
Neither team controlled the field
KC 51%49% BUF
62.7%GROUND60.9%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.Mahomes | 23 | +0.32 | +7.3 | 7.2 | 73.9% | 62.7% | +18.2 |
| J.Allen | 39 | +0.15 | +5.8 | 6.2 | 66.7% | 70.8% | -0.5 |
Team Stats
| Metric | KC | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.25 | +0.14 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.33 | +0.20 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.13 | +0.07 |
| Success Rate | 54.4% | 57.7% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 37.0% | 29.5% |
| Yards / Play | 7.98 | 4.72 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.31 | +0.04 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 40.0% | 52.9% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.6 | 7.2 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 4.91 | 3.05 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 55.6% | 53.1% |
| Stuff Rate | 11.1% | 15.6% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 8.7% | 11.5% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 35.0 | 24.5 |
| Plays | 46 | 78 |
| Total Yards | 367 | 368 |
| Total EPA | +11.7 | +11.2 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 0 |
Player Stats
KC
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick MahomesQB | 25 | 17/23 | 240 | 9.6 | +8.2 | +0.33 | +18.2 | 56% | +0.27 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clyde Edwards-HelaireRB | 2 | 31 | 15.5 | +1.8 | +0.90 | 50% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Isiah PachecoRB | 15 | 97 | 6.5 | +1.6 | +0.11 | 53% | +0.15 | 1 |
| Mecole HardmanWR | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | -1.1 | -1.07 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis KelceTE | 6 | 5 | 75 | 12.5 | +7.2 | +1.20 | 83% | +0.21 | 2 |
| Rashee RiceWR | 4 | 4 | 47 | 11.8 | +5.1 | +1.27 | 100% | +0.18 | 0 |
| Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWR | 4 | 2 | 62 | 15.5 | +3.2 | +0.79 | 50% | +0.12 | 0 |
| Isiah PachecoRB | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | +1.8 | +1.77 | 100% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Noah GrayTE | 3 | 3 | 16 | 5.3 | +0.0 | -0.01 | 33% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Clyde Edwards-HelaireRB | 1 | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | -0.9 | -0.87 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Justin WatsonWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.4 | -1.36 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Mecole HardmanWR | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -6.7 | -6.71 | 0% | -0.21 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 46 | 26/39 | 245 | 5.3 | +9.0 | +0.20 | -0.5 | 54% | +0.40 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 5 | 25 | 5.0 | +4.7 | +0.94 | 100% | +0.14 | 1 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 7 | 28 | 4.0 | +0.7 | +0.09 | 57% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Stefon DiggsWR | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +0.6 | +0.60 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| James CookRB | 18 | 61 | 3.4 | -1.1 | -0.06 | 56% | -0.16 | 0 |
| Damar HamlinSAF | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -2.7 | -2.70 | 0% | -0.08 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil ShakirWR | 9 | 7 | 44 | 4.9 | +6.3 | +0.70 | 56% | +0.32 | 1 |
| Dalton KincaidTE | 5 | 5 | 45 | 9.0 | +3.0 | +0.59 | 100% | +0.14 | 0 |
| Dawson KnoxTE | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | +0.9 | +0.88 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | +0.8 | +0.83 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Latavius MurrayRB | 4 | 3 | 27 | 6.8 | +0.3 | +0.07 | 75% | +0.03 | 0 |
| James CookRB | 5 | 4 | 21 | 4.2 | +0.1 | +0.03 | 60% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Deonte HartyWR | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.4 | -0.39 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Trent SherfieldWR | 3 | 1 | 7 | 2.3 | -0.6 | -0.20 | 33% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Stefon DiggsWR | 8 | 3 | 21 | 2.6 | -3.0 | -0.38 | 25% | -0.12 | 0 |