Steelers
17–31
PIT @ BUF
Bills
Final · Mon, Jan 15, 2024 · 2023 Wild Card · New Era Field
Ground Share
Bills had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
PIT 44%56% BUF
40.6%GROUND51.2%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.Rudolph | 39 | -0.15 | -6.0 | 7.4 | 57.9% | 63.8% | -5.9 |
| J.Allen | 32 | +0.12 | +3.7 | 6.5 | 70.0% | 69.5% | +0.5 |
Team Stats
| Metric | PIT | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.11 | +0.19 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.17 | +0.29 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.10 | +0.09 |
| Success Rate | 41.5% | 48.5% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 24.6% | 30.3% |
| Yards / Play | 4.98 | 5.62 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.05 | +0.13 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 41.7% | 46.2% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.9 | 6.8 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.32 | 3.15 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 33.3% | 41.9% |
| Stuff Rate | 14.3% | 16.1% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 16.9% | 6.1% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 27.6 | 34.2 |
| Plays | 65 | 66 |
| Total Yards | 324 | 371 |
| Total EPA | -7.1 | +12.8 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 0 |
Player Stats
PIT
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason RudolphQB | 41 | 22/38 | 234 | 5.7 | -6.8 | -0.17 | -5.9 | 44% | -0.15 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George PickensWR | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | +0.9 | +0.92 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Jaylen WarrenRB | 8 | 38 | 4.8 | -0.3 | -0.04 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Najee HarrisRB | 12 | 37 | 3.1 | -2.7 | -0.23 | 17% | -0.09 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pat FreiermuthTE | 8 | 5 | 76 | 9.5 | +2.8 | +0.35 | 63% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Calvin Austin IIIWR | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3.5 | +1.9 | +0.96 | 50% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Jaylen WarrenRB | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | +0.7 | +0.33 | 50% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Connor HeywardFB | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.1 | +0.06 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Najee HarrisRB | 3 | 2 | 15 | 5.0 | -0.1 | -0.03 | 33% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Diontae JohnsonWR | 7 | 4 | 48 | 6.9 | -0.5 | -0.07 | 57% | -0.06 | 1 |
| Darnell WashingtonTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.57 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Allen RobinsonWR | 3 | 2 | 12 | 4.0 | -1.3 | -0.44 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |
| George PickensWR | 11 | 5 | 50 | 4.5 | -7.1 | -0.65 | 27% | -0.16 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 34 | 21/30 | 249 | 7.3 | +9.9 | +0.29 | +0.5 | 44% | +0.15 | 3 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 5 | 17 | 3.4 | +2.9 | +0.57 | 80% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 8 | 26 | 3.3 | +0.2 | +0.03 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| James CookRB | 18 | 79 | 4.4 | -0.3 | -0.02 | 44% | +0.02 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefon DiggsWR | 9 | 7 | 52 | 5.8 | +3.4 | +0.37 | 56% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Khalil ShakirWR | 3 | 3 | 31 | 10.3 | +3.0 | +1.01 | 100% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Deonte HartyWR | 1 | 1 | 34 | 34.0 | +2.1 | +2.09 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Dalton KincaidTE | 6 | 3 | 59 | 9.8 | +2.0 | +0.33 | 50% | +0.01 | 1 |
| Dawson KnoxTE | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4.5 | +1.4 | +0.69 | 50% | +0.03 | 1 |
| Andy IsabellaWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.43 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Latavius MurrayRB | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | -0.9 | -0.43 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.3 | -0.65 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| James CookRB | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1.3 | -3.0 | -0.76 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |