Bills
21–14
BUF @ MIA
Dolphins
Final · Sun, Jan 7, 2024 · 2023 Week 18 · Hard Rock Stadium
Ground Share
Bills controlled the field
Teams with this edge win 94% of the time
BUF 66%34% MIA
76.4%GROUND39.4%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Allen | 41 | +0.10 | +3.9 | 9.7 | 79.0% | 62.9% | +18.2 |
| T.Tagovailoa | 27 | +0.05 | +1.3 | 11.4 | 63.0% | 62.5% | +0.5 |
Team Stats
| Metric | BUF | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.06 | +0.02 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.20 | +0.02 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.11 | +0.07 |
| Success Rate | 48.7% | 44.2% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 28.9% | 25.0% |
| Yards / Play | 6.25 | 5.29 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.20 | -0.01 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 55.6% | 40.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.1 | 8.2 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.31 | 3.51 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 26.7% | 47.4% |
| Stuff Rate | 16.7% | 26.3% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 9.2% | 15.4% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 22.3 | 22.4 |
| Plays | 76 | 52 |
| Total Yards | 475 | 275 |
| Total EPA | +4.7 | +1.1 |
| Giveaways | 3 | 2 |
Player Stats
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 45 | 30/38 | 396 | 8.8 | +8.8 | +0.20 | +18.2 | 58% | +0.44 | 2 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty JohnsonRB | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.1 | +0.14 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Josh AllenQB | 9 | 18 | 2.0 | +0.0 | +0.00 | 56% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Leonard FournetteRB | 7 | 20 | 2.9 | -1.1 | -0.16 | 29% | +0.02 | 0 |
| James CookRB | 13 | 36 | 2.8 | -2.2 | -0.17 | 23% | -0.12 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil ShakirWR | 6 | 6 | 105 | 17.5 | +7.3 | +1.21 | 67% | +0.24 | 0 |
| Stefon DiggsWR | 8 | 7 | 87 | 10.9 | +4.6 | +0.58 | 75% | +0.13 | 0 |
| Dalton KincaidTE | 8 | 7 | 84 | 10.5 | +4.6 | +0.57 | 63% | +0.19 | 0 |
| Trent SherfieldWR | 4 | 3 | 24 | 6.0 | +2.7 | +0.67 | 50% | +0.07 | 1 |
| Dawson KnoxTE | 3 | 2 | 22 | 7.3 | +1.8 | +0.59 | 67% | +0.18 | 1 |
| Deonte HartyWR | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | +0.5 | +0.46 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| James CookRB | 4 | 3 | 16 | 4.0 | +0.0 | +0.00 | 50% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | -3.0 | -2.98 | 0% | -0.12 | 0 |
| Gabe DavisWR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -6.7 | -3.36 | 0% | -0.19 | 0 |
MIA
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tua TagovailoaQB | 28 | 17/27 | 180 | 6.4 | +2.1 | +0.07 | +0.5 | 50% | -0.04 | 1 | 2 |
| De'Von AchaneRB | 1 | 0/0 | -6 | -6.0 | -1.4 | -1.43 | — | 0% | -0.03 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Von AchaneRB | 10 | 56 | 5.6 | +1.7 | +0.17 | 40% | +0.00 | 1 |
| Jeff WilsonRB | 9 | 45 | 5.0 | -0.5 | -0.06 | 33% | +0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreek HillWR | 13 | 7 | 82 | 6.3 | +2.3 | +0.17 | 54% | +0.08 | 1 |
| Durham SmytheTE | 3 | 3 | 30 | 10.0 | +1.3 | +0.44 | 67% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Braxton BerriosWR | 2 | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | +0.8 | +0.41 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| River CracraftWR | 1 | 1 | 18 | 18.0 | +0.6 | +0.55 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Cedrick Wilson Jr.WR | 3 | 1 | 24 | 8.0 | +0.1 | +0.03 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |
| De'Von AchaneRB | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.1 | +0.07 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Julian HillTE | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | -1.4 | -0.69 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Chase ClaypoolWR | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.5 | -2.5 | -1.24 | 0% | -0.12 | 0 |