Patriots
26–23
NE @ DEN
Broncos
Final · Sun, Dec 24, 2023 · 2023 Week 16 · Empower Field at Mile High
Ground Share
Neither team controlled the field
NE 50%50% DEN
31.0%GROUND30.6%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.Zappe | 35 | +0.07 | 40.0% | 5.7% | +2.3 | 7.0 | 80.7% | 67.2% | +13.4 |
| R.Wilson | 42 | -0.12 | 45.2% | 11.9% | -4.9 | 7.7 | 71.4% | 65.4% | +6.0 |
Team Stats
| Metric | NE | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.11 | -0.16 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.07 | -0.12 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.36 | -0.15 |
| Success Rate | 33.3% | 43.9% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 19.3% | 18.2% |
| Yards / Play | 5.07 | 4.18 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.03 | -0.09 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 23.1% | 33.3% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.5 | 7.5 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.63 | 2.48 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 35.0% | 27.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 20.0% | 22.7% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 3.5% | 13.6% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 28.4 | 35.6 |
| Plays | 57 | 66 |
| Total Yards | 289 | 276 |
| Total EPA | -6.2 | -10.8 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 1 |
Special Teams
Patriots had the edge in the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 56% of the time
NE 63%37% DEN
13.5 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS7.9 pts won
Biggest swing · C.Ryland kicks 66 yards from NE 35 to DEN -1. M.Mims MUFFS catch, and recovers at DEN 4. M.Mims to DEN 9 fo… — NE +8.1
Kickoffs · NE +7.6Punts · DEN +0.8Kicks · DEN +1.2
Player Stats
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey ZappeQB | 35 | 25/32 | 232 | 6.6 | +2.3 | +0.07 | +13.4 | 40% | +0.46 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyquan ThorntonWR | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.8 | +0.85 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Kevin HarrisRB | 7 | 21 | 3.0 | -2.4 | -0.34 | 29% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Ezekiel ElliottRB | 12 | 27 | 2.3 | -4.9 | -0.41 | 17% | -0.19 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike GesickiTE | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | +3.4 | +1.72 | 100% | +0.15 | 1 |
| DeVante ParkerWR | 5 | 4 | 65 | 13.0 | +3.4 | +0.67 | 40% | +0.22 | 0 |
| Pharaoh BrownTE | 2 | 2 | 25 | 12.5 | +2.1 | +1.07 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Jalen ReagorWR | 2 | 2 | 33 | 16.5 | +2.1 | +1.06 | 50% | +0.07 | 0 |
| DeMario DouglasWR | 8 | 5 | 74 | 9.3 | +1.6 | +0.20 | 50% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Tyquan ThorntonWR | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +0.4 | +0.37 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Ezekiel ElliottRB | 11 | 9 | 33 | 3.0 | -0.7 | -0.06 | 18% | +0.05 | 1 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad RylandK | 2/3(33, 56 · missed 47) | 56 | 2/3 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce BaringerP | 7 | 319 | 45.6 | 37.1 | 53 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles BryantCB | 6 | 28 | 4.7 | 8 | 0 |
DEN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell WilsonQB | 42 | 25/36 | 207 | 4.9 | -4.9 | -0.12 | +6.0 | 45% | -0.28 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell WilsonQB | 3 | 6 | 2.0 | +2.1 | +0.71 | 67% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Jaleel McLaughlinRB | 6 | 37 | 6.2 | +1.3 | +0.21 | 67% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Samaje PerineRB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.1 | -0.10 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Michael BurtonFB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.6 | -1.57 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Javonte WilliamsRB | 11 | 24 | 2.2 | -5.1 | -0.46 | 36% | -0.11 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon JohnsonWR | 5 | 3 | 47 | 9.4 | +5.4 | +1.08 | 60% | +0.28 | 1 |
| Marvin Mims Jr.WR | 4 | 3 | 63 | 15.8 | +2.9 | +0.73 | 75% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Jerry JeudyWR | 5 | 3 | 44 | 8.8 | +2.5 | +0.50 | 60% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Lucas KrullTE | 5 | 4 | 28 | 5.6 | +2.1 | +0.42 | 60% | -0.04 | 1 |
| Michael BurtonFB | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | +0.7 | +0.73 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Jaleel McLaughlinRB | 5 | 4 | 30 | 6.0 | +0.7 | +0.14 | 60% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Samaje PerineRB | 5 | 4 | 27 | 5.4 | +0.1 | +0.02 | 40% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Courtland SuttonWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.8 | -1.80 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Adam TrautmanTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.0 | -2.00 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Javonte WilliamsRB | 3 | 3 | -5 | -1.7 | -7.5 | -2.49 | 0% | -0.16 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wil LutzK | 0/1(missed 57) | — | 1/1 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley DixonP | 7 | 301 | 43.0 | 39.0 | 47 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Mims Jr.WR | 2 | 28 | 14.0 | 31 | 1 |
| Chris ManhertzTE | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Mims Jr.WR | 5 | 59 | 11.8 | 52 | 0 |