Colts
10–29
IND @ ATL
Falcons
Final · Sun, Dec 24, 2023 · 2023 Week 16 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Ground Share
Falcons controlled the field
Teams with this edge win 94% of the time
IND 37%63% ATL
34.2%GROUND59.2%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G.Minshew | 43 | -0.19 | -8.1 | 10.0 | 54.0% | 66.5% | -9.4 |
| T.Heinicke | 33 | +0.23 | +7.7 | 4.7 | 71.9% | 72.4% | -0.5 |
Team Stats
| Metric | IND | ATL |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.19 | +0.13 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.15 | +0.24 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.43 | -0.00 |
| Success Rate | 35.7% | 50.8% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 14.3% | 23.8% |
| Yards / Play | 3.76 | 6.44 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.17 | +0.19 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 38.9% | 42.9% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 8.1 | 5.5 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.28 | 3.87 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 33.3% | 51.7% |
| Stuff Rate | 38.1% | 24.1% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 12.9% | 14.3% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 23.1 | 31.4 |
| Plays | 70 | 63 |
| Total Yards | 263 | 406 |
| Total EPA | -13.0 | +8.2 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 0 |
Player Stats
IND
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gardner MinshewQB | 46 | 20/37 | 202 | 4.4 | -7.1 | -0.15 | -9.4 | 37% | -0.08 | 0 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey SermonRB | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | -2.0 | -1.02 | 50% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Tyler GoodsonRB | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | -2.1 | -2.08 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jonathan TaylorRB | 18 | 43 | 2.4 | -4.8 | -0.27 | 28% | -0.11 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylen GransonTE | 7 | 5 | 62 | 8.9 | +6.3 | +0.89 | 71% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Will MalloryTE | 4 | 4 | 47 | 11.8 | +5.8 | +1.46 | 100% | +0.14 | 0 |
| Tyler GoodsonRB | 2 | 1 | 15 | 7.5 | +0.5 | +0.25 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jonathan TaylorRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.53 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Mo Alie-CoxTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.76 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Josh DownsWR | 9 | 6 | 39 | 4.3 | -1.0 | -0.11 | 22% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Alec PierceWR | 7 | 3 | 30 | 4.3 | -3.3 | -0.46 | 43% | -0.01 | 0 |
| D.J. MontgomeryWR | 4 | 1 | 8 | 2.0 | -5.3 | -1.33 | 25% | -0.02 | 0 |
ATL
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor HeinickeQB | 34 | 23/32 | 239 | 7.0 | +8.3 | +0.24 | -0.5 | 59% | +0.28 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler AllgeierRB | 9 | 69 | 7.7 | +1.9 | +0.21 | 44% | +0.05 | 1 |
| Cordarrelle PattersonRB | 7 | 26 | 3.7 | +1.3 | +0.18 | 57% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Taylor HeinickeQB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.4 | -1.42 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Bijan RobinsonRB | 12 | 72 | 6.0 | -1.8 | -0.15 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnu SmithTE | 6 | 4 | 32 | 5.3 | +2.6 | +0.44 | 50% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Kyle PittsTE | 4 | 3 | 49 | 12.3 | +2.3 | +0.56 | 75% | +0.09 | 1 |
| Tyler AllgeierRB | 1 | 1 | 19 | 19.0 | +2.1 | +2.11 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Scott MillerWR | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | +2.1 | +2.07 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Drake LondonWR | 4 | 3 | 39 | 9.8 | +1.1 | +0.28 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| KhaDarel HodgeWR | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +1.1 | +1.05 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Bijan RobinsonRB | 10 | 7 | 50 | 5.0 | -0.2 | -0.02 | 60% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Cordarrelle PattersonRB | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | -1.2 | -0.61 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Van JeffersonWR | 3 | 1 | 13 | 4.3 | -1.6 | -0.52 | 33% | -0.02 | 0 |