49ers
45–29
SF @ ARI
Cardinals
Final · Sun, Dec 17, 2023 · 2023 Week 15 · State Farm Stadium
Ground Share
49ers had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
SF 53%47% ARI
63.8%GROUND57.4%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.Purdy | 24 | +0.76 | 62.5% | 0.0% | +18.2 | 12.3 | 69.6% | 62.5% | +7.1 |
| K.Murray | 45 | -0.11 | 35.6% | 6.7% | -5.0 | 6.3 | 68.4% | 69.4% | -1.0 |
Team Stats
| Metric | SF | ARI |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.43 | +0.03 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.68 | -0.11 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.16 | +0.23 |
| Success Rate | 54.7% | 41.1% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 39.6% | 30.1% |
| Yards / Play | 7.70 | 5.97 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.37 | -0.01 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 57.1% | 50.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.9 | 7.6 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 4.07 | 5.21 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 50.0% | 51.8% |
| Stuff Rate | 16.7% | 18.5% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 15.1% | 8.2% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 29.0 | 24.1 |
| Plays | 53 | 73 |
| Total Yards | 408 | 436 |
| Total EPA | +23.0 | +1.9 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 2 |
Special Teams
Special teams were a wash
SF 43%57% ARI
3.5 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS4.6 pts won
Biggest swing · M.Prater 58 yard field goal is GOOD — ARI +2.0
Kickoffs · SF +1.6Punts · ARI +0.9Kicks · ARI +1.8
Player Stats
SF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock PurdyQB | 24 | 16/24 | 242 | 10.1 | +18.2 | +0.76 | +7.1 | 63% | +0.41 | 4 | 0 |
| Sam DarnoldQB | 3 | 2/3 | 20 | 6.7 | +0.0 | +0.01 | -6.0 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian McCaffreyRB | 18 | 115 | 6.4 | +3.1 | +0.17 | 44% | +0.02 | 1 |
| Deebo Samuel Sr.WR | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +1.3 | +1.32 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Jordan MasonRB | 5 | 20 | 4.0 | -0.9 | -0.19 | 40% | +0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian McCaffreyRB | 5 | 5 | 72 | 14.4 | +5.2 | +1.04 | 80% | +0.16 | 2 |
| George KittleTE | 4 | 2 | 54 | 13.5 | +5.0 | +1.24 | 50% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Deebo Samuel Sr.WR | 7 | 4 | 48 | 6.9 | +4.8 | +0.69 | 57% | +0.07 | 2 |
| Kyle JuszczykFB | 2 | 2 | 26 | 13.0 | +3.1 | +1.56 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Brandon AiyukWR | 5 | 3 | 37 | 7.4 | +2.5 | +0.51 | 60% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Jauan JenningsWR | 2 | 2 | 25 | 12.5 | -0.4 | -0.21 | 50% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Ronnie BellWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.4 | -1.35 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake MoodyK | 1/1(43) | 43 | 6/6 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch WishnowskyP | 2 | 96 | 48.0 | 48.0 | 56 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle JuszczykFB | 1 | 18 | 18.0 | 18 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronnie BellWR | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | 4 | 0 |
ARI
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyler MurrayQB | 45 | 26/39 | 225 | 5.0 | -5.0 | -0.11 | -1.0 | 36% | -0.19 | 1 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emari DemercadoRB | 4 | 64 | 16.0 | +3.5 | +0.88 | 50% | +0.00 | 1 |
| James ConnerRB | 14 | 86 | 6.1 | +3.2 | +0.23 | 50% | +0.07 | 1 |
| Kyler MurrayQB | 3 | 26 | 8.7 | +1.1 | +0.35 | 67% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Michael CarterRB | 3 | 27 | 9.0 | +0.9 | +0.30 | 67% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Greg DortchWR | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | -0.1 | -0.08 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Rondale MooreWR | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.3 | -0.35 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Clayton TuneQB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.0 | -1.96 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah HigginsTE | 4 | 4 | 44 | 11.0 | +6.1 | +1.52 | 75% | +0.01 | 1 |
| Geoff SwaimTE | 1 | 1 | 26 | 26.0 | +2.2 | +2.16 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Greg DortchWR | 3 | 2 | 15 | 5.0 | +2.0 | +0.68 | 33% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Trey McBrideTE | 11 | 10 | 102 | 9.3 | +0.8 | +0.07 | 55% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Michael CarterRB | 3 | 3 | 10 | 3.3 | -0.1 | -0.03 | 33% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Rondale MooreWR | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1.7 | -0.6 | -0.21 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |
| James ConnerRB | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | -0.9 | -0.30 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Emari DemercadoRB | 3 | 1 | 6 | 2.0 | -2.9 | -0.96 | 0% | -0.08 | 0 |
| Michael WilsonWR | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -3.4 | -1.14 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Zach PascalWR | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -6.5 | -1.64 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt PraterK | 3/3(58, 43, 28) | 58 | 2/2 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake GillikinP | 2 | 112 | 56.0 | 54.0 | 62 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg DortchWR | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |