Bills
25–29
BUF @ NE
Patriots
Final · Sun, Oct 22, 2023 · 2023 Week 7 · Gillette Stadium
Ground Share
Patriots had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
BUF 43%57% NE
45.5%GROUND60.7%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Allen | 46 | +0.22 | 56.5% | 2.2% | +9.9 | 11.0 | 69.2% | 62.5% | +6.7 |
| M.Jones | 33 | +0.29 | 54.5% | 3.0% | +9.4 | 3.3 | 83.3% | 73.8% | +9.5 |
Team Stats
| Metric | BUF | NE |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.15 | +0.18 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.22 | +0.29 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.02 | +0.01 |
| Success Rate | 51.4% | 52.5% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 20.0% | 30.5% |
| Yards / Play | 4.84 | 6.17 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.02 | +0.23 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 47.1% | 50.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.6 | 5.0 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.75 | 2.96 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 35.0% | 36.4% |
| Stuff Rate | 10.0% | 18.2% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 7.1% | 6.8% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 25.5 | 33.3 |
| Plays | 70 | 59 |
| Total Yards | 339 | 364 |
| Total EPA | +10.4 | +10.6 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 1 |
Special Teams
Patriots dominated the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 70% of the time
BUF 6%94% NE
0.6 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS8.3 pts won
Biggest swing · T.Bass 42 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right — NE +3.7
Kickoffs · NE +0.4Punts · NE +2.5Kicks · NE +4.8
Player Stats
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 46 | 27/41 | 272 | 5.9 | +9.9 | +0.22 | +6.7 | 56% | +0.17 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | +3.1 | +1.05 | 67% | +0.10 | 1 |
| Latavius MurrayRB | 4 | 8 | 2.0 | -0.9 | -0.24 | 25% | -0.08 | 0 |
| James CookRB | 13 | 56 | 4.3 | -1.6 | -0.13 | 39% | +0.00 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton KincaidTE | 8 | 8 | 75 | 9.4 | +7.4 | +0.93 | 88% | +0.24 | 0 |
| James CookRB | 3 | 3 | 46 | 15.3 | +6.8 | +2.26 | 100% | +0.14 | 1 |
| Latavius MurrayRB | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10.0 | +3.1 | +1.57 | 100% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Khalil ShakirWR | 4 | 4 | 35 | 8.8 | +2.3 | +0.56 | 100% | +0.15 | 0 |
| Deonte HartyWR | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | +1.3 | +1.33 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Trent SherfieldWR | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.1 | +0.07 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Stefon DiggsWR | 12 | 6 | 58 | 4.8 | -0.1 | -0.01 | 33% | -0.09 | 1 |
| Gabe DavisWR | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 | -2.4 | -0.48 | 20% | -0.10 | 0 |
| Dawson KnoxTE | 3 | 1 | 10 | 3.3 | -6.5 | -2.18 | 33% | -0.13 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler BassK | 1/2(36 · missed 42) | 36 | 2/2 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam MartinP | 1 | 55 | 55.0 | 30.0 | 55 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty JohnsonRB | 3 | 58 | 19.3 | 24 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deonte HartyWR | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 7 | 0 |
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac JonesQB | 33 | 25/30 | 277 | 8.4 | +9.4 | +0.28 | +9.5 | 55% | +0.65 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMario DouglasWR | 1 | 20 | 20.0 | +1.8 | +1.79 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Ezekiel ElliottRB | 11 | 31 | 2.8 | +0.6 | +0.05 | 46% | +0.06 | 1 |
| Mac JonesQB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | +0.2 | +0.17 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Rhamondre StevensonRB | 9 | 34 | 3.8 | -2.2 | -0.25 | 44% | -0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMario DouglasWR | 6 | 4 | 54 | 9.0 | +3.6 | +0.60 | 67% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Pharaoh BrownTE | 2 | 2 | 51 | 25.5 | +3.3 | +1.65 | 100% | +0.12 | 0 |
| Mike GesickiTE | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | +2.3 | +1.16 | 100% | +0.36 | 1 |
| Hunter HenryTE | 3 | 2 | 27 | 9.0 | +2.0 | +0.66 | 67% | +0.20 | 0 |
| Jalen ReagorWR | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +1.0 | +1.00 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Rhamondre StevensonRB | 6 | 6 | 51 | 8.5 | +0.6 | +0.10 | 33% | +0.04 | 0 |
| DeVante ParkerWR | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +0.4 | +0.41 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Tyquan ThorntonWR | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.4 | -0.41 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Ezekiel ElliottRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.51 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Kendrick BourneWR | 7 | 6 | 63 | 9.0 | -1.3 | -0.18 | 43% | -0.08 | 1 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad RylandK | 3/3(30, 24, 49) | 49 | 2/2 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce BaringerP | 2 | 110 | 55.0 | 51.5 | 64 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMario DouglasWR | 1 | 25 | 25.0 | 25 | 0 |