Jaguars
25–20
JAX @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sun, Oct 8, 2023 · 2023 Week 5 · Tottenham Stadium
Ground Share
Jaguars had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
JAX 55%45% BUF
54.5%GROUND43.9%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Lawrence | 47 | +0.19 | 53.2% | 10.6% | +9.1 | 8.0 | 67.6% | 65.4% | +2.1 |
| J.Allen | 42 | +0.33 | 57.1% | 0.0% | +13.9 | 11.9 | 75.0% | 61.6% | +13.4 |
Team Stats
| Metric | JAX | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.19 | +0.13 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.19 | +0.33 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.03 | -0.25 |
| Success Rate | 47.7% | 50.0% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 25.6% | 29.3% |
| Yards / Play | 5.52 | 6.71 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.10 | +0.20 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 60.0% | 46.2% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.3 | 5.2 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.42 | 1.43 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 35.3% | 45.5% |
| Stuff Rate | 23.5% | 36.4% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 16.3% | 12.1% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 20.8 | 19.4 |
| Plays | 86 | 58 |
| Total Yards | 475 | 389 |
| Total EPA | +16.4 | +7.6 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 2 |
Special Teams
Jaguars won the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 63% of the time
JAX 66%34% BUF
4.3 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS2.2 pts won
Biggest swing · L.Cooke punts 57 yards to BUF 14, fair catch by D.Harty — JAX +0.8
Kickoffs · BUF +0.2Punts · JAX +1.5Kicks · JAX +0.8
Player Stats
JAX
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor LawrenceQB | 47 | 25/37 | 309 | 6.6 | +9.1 | +0.19 | +2.1 | 53% | +0.35 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis EtienneRB | 26 | 136 | 5.2 | +4.1 | +0.16 | 42% | +0.33 | 2 |
| Calvin RidleyWR | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | +0.4 | +0.20 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Trevor LawrenceQB | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.5 | -0.45 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Jamal AgnewWR | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.5 | -0.49 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Christian KirkWR | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | -0.6 | -0.59 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Tank BigsbyRB | 3 | 8 | 2.7 | -2.1 | -0.70 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin RidleyWR | 8 | 7 | 122 | 15.3 | +11.3 | +1.41 | 88% | +0.35 | 0 |
| Christian KirkWR | 8 | 6 | 78 | 9.8 | +4.9 | +0.62 | 63% | +0.17 | 0 |
| Travis EtienneRB | 5 | 4 | 48 | 9.6 | +2.4 | +0.48 | 80% | +0.14 | 0 |
| Zay JonesWR | 5 | 3 | 23 | 4.6 | +1.7 | +0.33 | 60% | +0.10 | 1 |
| Luke FarrellTE | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | +1.2 | +1.22 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Evan EngramTE | 8 | 4 | 28 | 3.5 | +0.0 | +0.01 | 38% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Tim JonesWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.7 | -0.74 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Brenton StrangeTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.79 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon McManusK | 1/1(44) | 44 | 2/2 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan CookeP | 5 | 247 | 49.4 | 43.6 | 60 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Ernest JohnsonRB | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | 10 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal AgnewWR | 5 | 5 | 1.0 | 5 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 42 | 27/40 | 369 | 8.8 | +13.9 | +0.33 | +13.4 | 57% | +0.31 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.8 | +0.76 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Damien HarrisRB | 3 | 13 | 4.3 | +0.6 | +0.18 | 67% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Latavius MurrayRB | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | -0.4 | -0.18 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| James CookRB | 5 | -4 | -0.8 | -3.7 | -0.74 | 20% | -0.12 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe DavisWR | 8 | 6 | 100 | 12.5 | +8.9 | +1.11 | 75% | +0.15 | 1 |
| Stefon DiggsWR | 11 | 8 | 121 | 11.0 | +5.5 | +0.50 | 64% | +0.24 | 1 |
| Deonte HartyWR | 2 | 2 | 62 | 31.0 | +4.3 | +2.14 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Khalil ShakirWR | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +1.2 | +1.24 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Trent SherfieldWR | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | +1.1 | +1.10 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Dalton KincaidTE | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | +0.4 | +0.21 | 50% | +0.03 | 0 |
| James CookRB | 4 | 3 | 25 | 6.3 | -0.6 | -0.14 | 50% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Latavius MurrayRB | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.9 | -0.92 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Dawson KnoxTE | 6 | 3 | 17 | 2.8 | -4.8 | -0.80 | 33% | -0.13 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler BassK | — | — | 2/2 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam MartinP | 6 | 258 | 43.0 | 42.2 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil ShakirWR | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deonte HartyWR | 4 | 9 | 2.3 | 9 | 0 |