Dolphins
20–48
MIA @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sun, Oct 1, 2023 · 2023 Week 4 · New Era Field
Ground Share
Bills had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
MIA 44%56% BUF
46.3%GROUND59.4%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Tagovailoa | 40 | -0.11 | -4.4 | 5.4 | 69.4% | 67.2% | +6.4 |
| J.Allen | 27 | +0.82 | +22.2 | 8.2 | 84.0% | 64.7% | +19.3 |
Team Stats
| Metric | MIA | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.01 | +0.46 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.07 | +0.74 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.14 | +0.02 |
| Success Rate | 48.4% | 57.4% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 29.7% | 33.3% |
| Yards / Play | 6.14 | 7.74 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.19 | +0.55 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 18.8% | 55.6% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 10.2 | 6.3 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 5.22 | 3.26 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 52.9% | 56.5% |
| Stuff Rate | 17.6% | 21.7% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 12.5% | 13.0% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 22.8 | 36.0 |
| Plays | 64 | 54 |
| Total Yards | 393 | 418 |
| Total EPA | -0.8 | +24.6 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 0 |
Player Stats
MIA
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tua TagovailoaQB | 41 | 25/35 | 258 | 6.3 | -2.9 | -0.07 | +6.4 | 46% | +0.10 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Von AchaneRB | 8 | 101 | 12.6 | +7.7 | +0.97 | 63% | +0.11 | 2 |
| Tyreek HillWR | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | +1.5 | +1.48 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Braxton BerriosWR | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +0.7 | +0.73 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Raheem MostertRB | 7 | 9 | 1.3 | -6.8 | -0.97 | 29% | -0.10 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton BerriosWR | 6 | 6 | 43 | 7.2 | +3.5 | +0.58 | 33% | +0.03 | 1 |
| Tyreek HillWR | 5 | 3 | 58 | 11.6 | +2.8 | +0.56 | 60% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Jaylen WaddleWR | 5 | 4 | 46 | 9.2 | +2.5 | +0.49 | 60% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Durham SmytheTE | 4 | 4 | 41 | 10.3 | +1.9 | +0.47 | 75% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Alec IngoldFB | 1 | 1 | 23 | 23.0 | +1.6 | +1.55 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Raheem MostertRB | 5 | 3 | 36 | 7.2 | +0.8 | +0.17 | 60% | +0.01 | 0 |
| De'Von AchaneRB | 5 | 3 | 19 | 3.8 | -0.3 | -0.07 | 60% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Cedrick Wilson Jr.WR | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8.0 | -1.3 | -0.65 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Robbie ChosenWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -4.8 | -4.82 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 29 | 21/25 | 317 | 10.9 | +21.4 | +0.74 | +19.3 | 69% | +0.42 | 4 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +1.9 | +1.85 | 100% | +0.01 | 1 |
| Latavius MurrayRB | 4 | 32 | 8.0 | +0.9 | +0.22 | 50% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Damien HarrisRB | 6 | 29 | 4.8 | -0.4 | -0.06 | 33% | +0.01 | 0 |
| James CookRB | 12 | 29 | 2.4 | -1.1 | -0.09 | 42% | +0.01 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefon DiggsWR | 7 | 6 | 120 | 17.1 | +13.7 | +1.96 | 86% | +0.27 | 3 |
| Gabe DavisWR | 3 | 3 | 61 | 20.3 | +4.4 | +1.47 | 100% | +0.04 | 1 |
| James CookRB | 1 | 1 | 48 | 48.0 | +2.8 | +2.83 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Deonte HartyWR | 2 | 2 | 10 | 5.0 | +1.5 | +0.73 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Latavius MurrayRB | 2 | 2 | 24 | 12.0 | +1.0 | +0.51 | 50% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Dalton KincaidTE | 5 | 4 | 27 | 5.4 | +0.9 | +0.18 | 80% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Dawson KnoxTE | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | +0.8 | +0.80 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Trent SherfieldWR | 3 | 2 | 18 | 6.0 | +0.6 | +0.19 | 67% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Khalil ShakirWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.9 | -0.93 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |