Broncos
31–28
DEN @ CHI
Bears
Final · Sun, Oct 1, 2023 · 2023 Week 4 · Soldier Field
Ground Share
Bears had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
DEN 44%56% CHI
49.8%GROUND63.7%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R.Wilson | 31 | +0.48 | 54.8% | 3.2% | +14.8 | 6.3 | 80.8% | 67.1% | +13.6 |
| J.Fields | 41 | +0.22 | 56.1% | 9.8% | +9.0 | 7.6 | 87.5% | 66.4% | +21.1 |
Team Stats
| Metric | DEN | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.35 | +0.12 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.48 | +0.22 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.10 | -0.07 |
| Success Rate | 53.2% | 50.0% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 36.2% | 27.8% |
| Yards / Play | 6.64 | 6.54 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.18 | +0.04 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 54.5% | 46.7% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.7 | 8.2 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.68 | 3.96 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 37.5% | 48.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 18.8% | 10.3% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 8.5% | 8.3% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 21.6 | 26.1 |
| Plays | 47 | 72 |
| Total Yards | 312 | 471 |
| Total EPA | +16.4 | +8.4 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 2 |
Special Teams
Special teams were a wash
DEN 51%49% CHI
2.7 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS2.6 pts won
Biggest swing · W.Lutz 51 yard field goal is GOOD — DEN +1.5
Kickoffs · CHI +1.3Punts · CHI +0.1Kicks · DEN +1.5
Player Stats
DEN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell WilsonQB | 31 | 21/28 | 226 | 7.3 | +14.8 | +0.48 | +13.6 | 55% | +0.36 | 3 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaleel McLaughlinRB | 7 | 72 | 10.3 | +3.8 | +0.54 | 71% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Russell WilsonQB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | +0.8 | +0.77 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Samaje PerineRB | 6 | 12 | 2.0 | -1.2 | -0.21 | 33% | -0.09 | 0 |
| Javonte WilliamsRB | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.7 | -0.87 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaleel McLaughlinRB | 3 | 3 | 32 | 10.7 | +5.4 | +1.81 | 100% | +0.08 | 1 |
| Jerry JeudyWR | 5 | 3 | 52 | 10.4 | +2.7 | +0.53 | 60% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Lil'Jordan HumphreyWR | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +2.0 | +2.02 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Nate AdkinsTE | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | +1.8 | +0.90 | 50% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Courtland SuttonWR | 5 | 3 | 27 | 5.4 | +1.7 | +0.34 | 40% | -0.05 | 1 |
| Marvin Mims Jr.WR | 2 | 2 | 47 | 23.5 | +1.5 | +0.76 | 50% | +0.20 | 0 |
| Brandon JohnsonWR | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | +1.1 | +1.11 | 100% | +0.00 | 1 |
| Chris ManhertzTE | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | +1.1 | +1.10 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Samaje PerineRB | 2 | 2 | 23 | 11.5 | +0.7 | +0.36 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Adam TrautmanTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.7 | -0.70 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Javonte WilliamsRB | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3.0 | -0.8 | -0.26 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wil LutzK | 1/1(51) | 51 | 4/4 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley DixonP | 4 | 163 | 40.8 | 38.8 | 45 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Mims Jr.WR | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Mims Jr.WR | 2 | 25 | 12.5 | 25 | 0 |
CHI
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin FieldsQB | 41 | 28/35 | 323 | 7.9 | +9.0 | +0.22 | +21.1 | 56% | -0.11 | 4 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole KmetTE | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +1.9 | +1.93 | 100% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Tyler ScottWR | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | +1.4 | +0.68 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Velus Jones Jr.WR | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | +0.0 | -0.01 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Justin FieldsQB | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -0.50 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Roschon JohnsonRB | 5 | 13 | 2.6 | -1.0 | -0.20 | 20% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Khalil HerbertRB | 18 | 103 | 5.7 | -3.4 | -0.19 | 39% | -0.09 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ MooreWR | 9 | 8 | 131 | 14.6 | +10.3 | +1.14 | 89% | +0.26 | 1 |
| Cole KmetTE | 9 | 7 | 85 | 9.4 | +4.4 | +0.49 | 67% | +0.00 | 2 |
| Darnell MooneyWR | 4 | 4 | 51 | 12.8 | +4.4 | +1.09 | 75% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Equanimeous St. BrownWR | 1 | 1 | 21 | 21.0 | +1.1 | +1.12 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Robert TonyanTE | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9.0 | +0.7 | +0.35 | 50% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Khalil HerbertRB | 5 | 4 | 19 | 3.8 | +0.7 | +0.13 | 40% | -0.02 | 1 |
| Marcedes LewisTE | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +0.5 | +0.48 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Roschon JohnsonRB | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.2 | -0.18 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cairo SantosK | — | — | 4/4 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trenton GillP | 2 | 90 | 45.0 | 32.5 | 56 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent TaylorWR | 4 | 8 | 2.0 | 8 | 0 |