Patriots
23–35
NE @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sun, Jan 8, 2023 · 2022 Week 18 · New Era Field
Ground Share
Bills had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
NE 45%55% BUF
43.5%GROUND53.9%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.Jones | 42 | -0.04 | 52.4% | 2.4% | -1.6 | 7.6 | 66.7% | 66.2% | +0.5 |
| J.Allen | 36 | +0.25 | 47.2% | 5.6% | +9.0 | 13.4 | 61.3% | 60.4% | +0.9 |
Team Stats
| Metric | NE | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.04 | +0.08 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.04 | +0.25 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.01 | -0.18 |
| Success Rate | 47.0% | 48.2% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 25.8% | 26.8% |
| Yards / Play | 5.23 | 5.89 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.07 | +0.01 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 40.0% | 63.6% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.8 | 5.5 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.62 | 3.26 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 42.9% | 47.4% |
| Stuff Rate | 9.5% | 15.8% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 15.2% | 12.5% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 33.9 | 32.0 |
| Plays | 66 | 56 |
| Total Yards | 345 | 330 |
| Total EPA | -2.7 | +4.2 |
| Giveaways | 3 | 2 |
Special Teams
Bills won the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 63% of the time
NE 34%66% BUF
8.0 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS15.2 pts won
Biggest swing · N.Folk kicks 61 yards from NE 35 to BUF 4. N.Hines for 96 yards, TOUCHDOWN — BUF +5.9
Kickoffs · BUF +13.1Punts · NE +6.0Kicks · BUF +0.1
Player Stats
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac JonesQB | 42 | 26/40 | 237 | 5.6 | -1.6 | -0.04 | +0.5 | 52% | +0.12 | 3 | 3 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhamondre StevensonRB | 6 | 54 | 9.0 | +2.2 | +0.36 | 50% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Mac JonesQB | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | +0.1 | +0.06 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Damien HarrisRB | 13 | 48 | 3.7 | -2.1 | -0.16 | 31% | -0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeVante ParkerWR | 7 | 6 | 79 | 11.3 | +6.3 | +0.90 | 86% | +0.18 | 2 |
| Kendrick BourneWR | 5 | 4 | 45 | 9.0 | +2.9 | +0.57 | 60% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Jakobi MeyersWR | 7 | 3 | 32 | 4.6 | +2.4 | +0.35 | 43% | +0.06 | 1 |
| Hunter HenryTE | 7 | 6 | 42 | 6.0 | +0.5 | +0.07 | 57% | +0.15 | 0 |
| Rhamondre StevensonRB | 6 | 5 | 28 | 4.7 | +0.5 | +0.07 | 67% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Tyquan ThorntonWR | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6.5 | -0.4 | -0.19 | 50% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Nelson AgholorWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -4.5 | -4.48 | 0% | -0.14 | 0 |
| Damien HarrisRB | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1.0 | -5.1 | -1.27 | 25% | -0.08 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick FolkK | 1/1(24) | 24 | 2/2 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael PalardyP | 4 | 161 | 40.3 | 38.8 | 49 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus JonesCB | 4 | 82 | 20.5 | 36 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus JonesCB | 3 | 25 | 8.3 | 13 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 36 | 19/31 | 252 | 7.0 | +9.0 | +0.25 | +0.9 | 47% | +0.25 | 3 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James CookRB | 9 | 45 | 5.0 | +1.1 | +0.12 | 56% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Josh AllenQB | 3 | 4 | 1.3 | -0.1 | -0.04 | 67% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Devin SingletaryRB | 7 | 29 | 4.1 | -4.5 | -0.64 | 43% | -0.10 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefon DiggsWR | 10 | 7 | 104 | 10.4 | +8.0 | +0.80 | 60% | +0.23 | 1 |
| John BrownWR | 1 | 1 | 42 | 42.0 | +4.2 | +4.16 | 100% | +0.10 | 1 |
| Dawson KnoxTE | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | +2.4 | +1.18 | 100% | +0.05 | 1 |
| Khalil ShakirWR | 2 | 1 | 28 | 14.0 | +1.8 | +0.89 | 50% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Isaiah McKenzieWR | 3 | 2 | 19 | 6.3 | +1.1 | +0.37 | 67% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Devin SingletaryRB | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.7 | -0.65 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| James CookRB | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | -0.9 | -0.47 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Gabe DavisWR | 10 | 3 | 39 | 3.9 | -3.3 | -0.33 | 30% | -0.10 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler BassK | — | — | 5/5 | 6 | 2 | 5 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam MartinP | 3 | 125 | 41.7 | 33.3 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyheim HinesRB | 4 | 235 | 58.8 | 101 | 2 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyheim HinesRB | 3 | 6 | 2.0 | 6 | 0 |
| Taiwan JonesRB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |