Patriots
17–47
NE @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sat, Jan 15, 2022 · 2021 Wild Card · New Era Field
Ground Share
Bills controlled the field
Teams with this edge win 94% of the time
NE 34%66% BUF
49.5%GROUND98.0%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.Jones | 42 | +0.12 | 40.5% | 7.1% | +5.1 | 6.8 | 68.6% | 63.8% | +4.8 |
| J.Allen | 28 | +0.94 | 67.9% | 0.0% | +26.4 | 9.2 | 84.0% | 66.0% | +18.0 |
Team Stats
| Metric | NE | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.11 | +0.72 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.12 | +0.94 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.05 | +0.56 |
| Success Rate | 39.3% | 67.9% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 27.9% | 50.9% |
| Yards / Play | 5.00 | 9.13 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.35 | +0.70 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 63.2% | 100.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.7 | 2.3 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.14 | 4.46 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 33.3% | 60.9% |
| Stuff Rate | 11.1% | 4.3% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 23.0 | 29.4 |
| Plays | 61 | 53 |
| Total Yards | 305 | 484 |
| Total EPA | +6.6 | +38.3 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 0 |
Special Teams
Special teams were a wash
NE 45%55% BUF
3.5 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS4.4 pts won
Biggest swing · J.Bailey punts 53 yards to BUF 9. M.Hyde to NE 39 for 52 yards — BUF +2.7
Kickoffs · BUF +1.0Punts · BUF +2.3Kicks · NE +2.5
Player Stats
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac JonesQB | 42 | 24/37 | 234 | 5.6 | +5.0 | +0.12 | +4.8 | 41% | -0.03 | 2 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick BourneWR | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | +0.9 | +0.87 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Rhamondre StevensonRB | 8 | 27 | 3.4 | +0.6 | +0.08 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Damien HarrisRB | 9 | 30 | 3.3 | -2.4 | -0.26 | 11% | -0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick BourneWR | 8 | 7 | 77 | 9.6 | +11.8 | +1.48 | 75% | +0.00 | 2 |
| Rhamondre StevensonRB | 4 | 4 | 33 | 8.3 | +2.2 | +0.54 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jakobi MeyersWR | 9 | 6 | 40 | 4.4 | +1.7 | +0.19 | 33% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Damien HarrisRB | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +0.4 | +0.42 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jakob JohnsonRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.46 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Brandon BoldenRB | 6 | 4 | 27 | 4.5 | -0.5 | -0.08 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Nelson AgholorWR | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9.0 | -2.8 | -1.39 | 50% | -0.10 | 0 |
| Hunter HenryTE | 4 | 1 | 30 | 7.5 | -3.7 | -0.92 | 25% | +0.05 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick FolkK | 1/1(44) | 44 | 2/2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| Jake BaileyP | — | — | — | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake BaileyP | 3 | 142 | 47.3 | 29.3 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gunner OlszewskiWR | 5 | 103 | 20.6 | 26 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 28 | 21/25 | 351 | 12.5 | +26.4 | +0.94 | +18.0 | 68% | +0.20 | 5 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin SingletaryRB | 16 | 81 | 5.1 | +7.8 | +0.49 | 63% | +0.07 | 2 |
| Josh AllenQB | 3 | 23 | 7.7 | +2.8 | +0.94 | 100% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Isaiah McKenzieWR | 3 | 29 | 9.7 | +2.4 | +0.81 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Zack MossRB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.3 | -0.26 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawson KnoxTE | 5 | 5 | 89 | 17.8 | +9.1 | +1.81 | 100% | +0.08 | 2 |
| Gabe DavisWR | 3 | 2 | 41 | 13.7 | +3.3 | +1.09 | 67% | +0.00 | 1 |
| Isaiah McKenzieWR | 3 | 3 | 45 | 15.0 | +3.2 | +1.07 | 100% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Stefon DiggsWR | 4 | 3 | 60 | 15.0 | +2.8 | +0.69 | 50% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Emmanuel SandersWR | 3 | 2 | 36 | 12.0 | +2.8 | +0.92 | 33% | -0.03 | 1 |
| Cole BeasleyWR | 1 | 1 | 19 | 19.0 | +1.1 | +1.06 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Tommy DoyleOT | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +0.9 | +0.86 | 100% | +0.00 | 1 |
| Devin SingletaryRB | 4 | 3 | 13 | 3.3 | +0.2 | +0.06 | 25% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Reggie GilliamRB | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.2 | -0.22 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler BassK | — | — | 5/7 | 8 | 3 | 5 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah McKenzieWR | 4 | 35 | 8.8 | 15 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah HydeS | 3 | 54 | 18.0 | 52 | 0 |