Panthers
17–41
CAR @ TB
Buccaneers
Final · Sun, Jan 9, 2022 · 2021 Week 18 · Raymond James Stadium
Ground Share
Buccaneers had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
CAR 43%57% TB
42.2%GROUND56.8%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S.Darnold | 44 | -0.12 | -5.5 | 6.4 | 69.0% | 68.9% | +1.8 |
| T.Brady | 38 | +0.47 | +17.8 | 7.6 | 78.4% | 67.4% | +13.1 |
Team Stats
| Metric | CAR | TB |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.20 | +0.30 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.16 | +0.39 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.29 | +0.10 |
| Success Rate | 39.4% | 47.5% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 22.5% | 28.8% |
| Yards / Play | 4.48 | 6.95 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.13 | +0.36 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 30.0% | 41.7% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.5 | 5.5 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.31 | 3.32 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 40.0% | 31.6% |
| Stuff Rate | 25.0% | 15.8% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 14.1% | 3.4% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 31.6 | 34.4 |
| Plays | 71 | 59 |
| Total Yards | 318 | 410 |
| Total EPA | -14.3 | +17.5 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 0 |
Player Stats
CAR
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon ZylstraWR | 1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.3 | -1.32 | -54.7 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 | 0 |
| Sam DarnoldQB | 49 | 29/42 | 226 | 4.6 | -6.7 | -0.14 | +1.8 | 43% | +0.26 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ MooreWR | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | +2.9 | +2.88 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Tommy TrembleTE | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | +0.3 | +0.25 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Ameer AbdullahRB | 7 | 26 | 3.7 | -0.2 | -0.03 | 29% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Chuba HubbardRB | 9 | 48 | 5.3 | -0.2 | -0.03 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Sam DarnoldQB | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | -8.4 | -4.22 | 0% | -0.16 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ MooreWR | 10 | 7 | 87 | 8.7 | +2.8 | +0.28 | 70% | +0.15 | 0 |
| Chuba HubbardRB | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | +2.5 | +1.26 | 100% | +0.05 | 1 |
| Ameer AbdullahRB | 11 | 9 | 56 | 5.1 | +0.3 | +0.02 | 36% | +0.06 | 0 |
| C.J. SaundersWR | 2 | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | -0.3 | -0.17 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Keith KirkwoodWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.54 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Robbie ChosenWR | 9 | 7 | 50 | 5.6 | -2.1 | -0.23 | 44% | +0.13 | 1 |
| Tommy TrembleTE | 5 | 2 | 7 | 1.4 | -2.5 | -0.50 | 20% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Brandon ZylstraWR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -3.3 | -1.65 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
TB
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 38 | 29/37 | 324 | 8.5 | +17.8 | +0.47 | +13.1 | 58% | +0.42 | 3 | 0 |
| Blaine GabbertQB | 2 | 0/2 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.2 | -1.08 | -46.6 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott MillerWR | 2 | 43 | 21.5 | +4.5 | +2.27 | 100% | +0.00 | 1 |
| Le'Veon BellRB | 3 | 14 | 4.7 | +0.1 | +0.05 | 33% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Ke'Shawn VaughnRB | 10 | 29 | 2.9 | -0.7 | -0.07 | 30% | -0.03 | 1 |
| Kenjon BarnerRB | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.2 | -0.55 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob GronkowskiTE | 10 | 7 | 137 | 13.7 | +7.1 | +0.71 | 70% | +0.17 | 0 |
| Mike EvansWR | 7 | 6 | 89 | 12.7 | +7.0 | +1.00 | 71% | +0.22 | 2 |
| Breshad PerrimanWR | 6 | 5 | 44 | 7.3 | +2.8 | +0.47 | 50% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Le'Veon BellRB | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +2.0 | +2.04 | 100% | +0.07 | 1 |
| Ke'Shawn VaughnRB | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | +1.2 | +0.60 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Scott MillerWR | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.9 | +0.87 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Tyler JohnsonWR | 7 | 5 | 22 | 3.1 | -0.9 | -0.13 | 29% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Jaelon DardenWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.3 | -1.29 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Cameron BrateTE | 3 | 2 | 12 | 4.0 | -1.8 | -0.58 | 33% | -0.04 | 0 |