Bills
33–21
BUF @ NE
Patriots
Final · Sun, Dec 26, 2021 · 2021 Week 16 · Gillette Stadium
Ground Share
Bills controlled the field
Teams with this edge win 94% of the time
BUF 65%35% NE
83.8%GROUND45.1%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Allen | 49 | +0.49 | 59.2% | 0.0% | +24.0 | 6.6 | 69.8% | 65.1% | +4.7 |
| M.Jones | 36 | -0.05 | 41.7% | 2.8% | -1.7 | 10.3 | 45.2% | 64.1% | -18.9 |
Team Stats
| Metric | BUF | NE |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.29 | +0.10 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.49 | -0.05 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.03 | +0.30 |
| Success Rate | 52.6% | 46.0% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 28.9% | 23.8% |
| Yards / Play | 5.64 | 4.57 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.19 | +0.01 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 56.3% | 41.2% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.7 | 8.0 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.89 | 3.71 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 33.3% | 41.7% |
| Stuff Rate | 12.5% | 20.8% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 6.6% | 6.3% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 36.0 | 20.3 |
| Plays | 76 | 63 |
| Total Yards | 429 | 288 |
| Total EPA | +22.0 | +6.5 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 2 |
Special Teams
Patriots had the edge in the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 56% of the time
BUF 42%58% NE
2.8 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS3.9 pts won
Biggest swing · J.Bailey kicks 63 yards from NE 35 to BUF 2. M.Stevenson to BUF 20 for 18 yards — NE +3.5
Kickoffs · NE +2.1Punts · BUF +0.7Kicks · BUF +0.3
Player Stats
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 49 | 30/47 | 350 | 7.1 | +24.0 | +0.49 | +4.7 | 59% | +0.45 | 3 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack MossRB | 3 | 12 | 4.0 | +1.0 | +0.33 | 67% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Devin SingletaryRB | 12 | 39 | 3.3 | +0.2 | +0.02 | 42% | +0.10 | 1 |
| Josh AllenQB | 8 | 29 | 3.6 | -0.3 | -0.03 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Isaiah McKenzieWR | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | -1.0 | -1.00 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah McKenzieWR | 12 | 11 | 125 | 10.4 | +15.3 | +1.28 | 83% | +0.37 | 1 |
| Stefon DiggsWR | 13 | 7 | 85 | 6.5 | +6.5 | +0.50 | 46% | +0.15 | 1 |
| Devin SingletaryRB | 6 | 5 | 39 | 6.5 | +2.2 | +0.37 | 67% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Dawson KnoxTE | 3 | 2 | 11 | 3.7 | +1.9 | +0.63 | 67% | +0.03 | 1 |
| Zack MossRB | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | +0.9 | +0.88 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Reggie GilliamRB | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +0.6 | +0.56 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Jake KumerowWR | 3 | 1 | 13 | 4.3 | -0.5 | -0.15 | 33% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Emmanuel SandersWR | 4 | 2 | 20 | 5.0 | -3.1 | -0.77 | 50% | -0.11 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler BassK | 2/2(25, 34) | 34 | 3/3 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquez StevensonWR | 2 | 49 | 24.5 | 31 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquez StevensonWR | 3 | 34 | 11.3 | 15 | 0 |
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac JonesQB | 36 | 14/32 | 166 | 4.6 | -1.7 | -0.05 | -18.9 | 42% | -0.14 | 0 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damien HarrisRB | 18 | 103 | 5.7 | +7.4 | +0.41 | 56% | +0.24 | 3 |
| Gunner OlszewskiWR | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.8 | +0.77 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Mac JonesQB | 3 | 6 | 2.0 | +0.2 | +0.07 | 33% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Brandon BoldenRB | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | -1.1 | -0.56 | 0% | -0.07 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakobi MeyersWR | 8 | 6 | 59 | 7.4 | +4.0 | +0.50 | 63% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Kendrick BourneWR | 4 | 2 | 33 | 8.3 | +2.1 | +0.54 | 50% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Jakob JohnsonRB | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +1.0 | +1.02 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Damien HarrisRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.81 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Brandon BoldenRB | 5 | 2 | 20 | 4.0 | -1.1 | -0.22 | 20% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Hunter HenryTE | 6 | 1 | 9 | 1.5 | -1.7 | -0.29 | 17% | -0.03 | 0 |
| N'Keal HarryTE | 6 | 2 | 15 | 2.5 | -3.7 | -0.62 | 33% | -0.12 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick FolkK | — | — | 3/3 | — | — | 3 |
| Jake BaileyP | — | — | — | 4 | 2 | 0 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake BaileyP | 3 | 158 | 52.7 | 41.3 | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gunner OlszewskiWR | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | 17 | 0 |