Panthers
14–31
CAR @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sun, Dec 19, 2021 · 2021 Week 15 · New Era Field
Ground Share
Bills had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
CAR 46%54% BUF
36.7%GROUND42.3%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Newton | 45 | -0.32 | 31.1% | 8.9% | -14.5 | 7.9 | 50.0% | 65.9% | -15.9 |
| J.Allen | 39 | +0.26 | 53.8% | 10.3% | +10.0 | 10.2 | 61.3% | 64.9% | -3.6 |
Team Stats
| Metric | CAR | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.15 | +0.08 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.32 | +0.26 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.03 | -0.16 |
| Success Rate | 40.5% | 44.8% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 21.6% | 17.9% |
| Yards / Play | 3.72 | 4.69 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.08 | -0.11 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 36.4% | 53.3% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.5 | 6.7 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.45 | 3.23 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 46.2% | 41.7% |
| Stuff Rate | 19.2% | 8.3% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 17.6% | 6.0% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 31.8 | 32.5 |
| Plays | 74 | 67 |
| Total Yards | 275 | 314 |
| Total EPA | -11.4 | +5.3 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 1 |
Special Teams
Special teams were a wash
CAR 46%54% BUF
3.2 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS3.7 pts won
Biggest swing · B.Zylstra kicks 50 yards from CAR 35 to BUF 15. I.McKenzie to BUF 43 for 28 yards — BUF +1.2
Kickoffs · BUF +1.2Punts · CAR +1.1Kicks · BUF +0.3
Player Stats
CAR
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam NewtonQB | 45 | 18/38 | 150 | 3.3 | -14.5 | -0.32 | -15.9 | 31% | -0.36 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robbie ChosenWR | 2 | 33 | 16.5 | +2.5 | +1.22 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Cam NewtonQB | 12 | 45 | 3.8 | +0.8 | +0.06 | 58% | +0.00 | 1 |
| Ameer AbdullahRB | 4 | 7 | 1.8 | -1.4 | -0.36 | 25% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Chuba HubbardRB | 8 | 40 | 5.0 | -1.5 | -0.19 | 38% | +0.03 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ameer AbdullahRB | 4 | 4 | 48 | 12.0 | +3.7 | +0.92 | 50% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Brandon ZylstraWR | 4 | 2 | 17 | 4.3 | +1.9 | +0.47 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Ian ThomasTE | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | -0.4 | -0.41 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Giovanni RicciTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.43 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Tommy TrembleTE | 4 | 1 | 8 | 2.0 | -0.8 | -0.21 | 25% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Terrace Marshall Jr.WR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.2 | -1.17 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Chuba HubbardRB | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -1.3 | -1.31 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| DJ MooreWR | 11 | 6 | 48 | 4.4 | -2.0 | -0.18 | 36% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Robbie ChosenWR | 8 | 3 | 29 | 3.6 | -2.7 | -0.34 | 38% | -0.11 | 0 |
| Willie SneadWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -3.5 | -3.48 | 0% | -0.08 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon ZylstraWR | — | — | — | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlan EdwardsP | 4 | 182 | 45.5 | 37.8 | 54 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ameer AbdullahRB | 4 | 70 | 17.5 | 21 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex EricksonWR | 5 | 16 | 3.2 | 16 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 39 | 19/34 | 219 | 5.6 | +9.9 | +0.26 | -3.6 | 54% | +0.13 | 3 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah McKenzieWR | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +1.3 | +1.31 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Matt BreidaRB | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.8 | -0.80 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Devin SingletaryRB | 22 | 86 | 3.9 | -3.3 | -0.15 | 32% | +0.03 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe DavisWR | 7 | 5 | 85 | 12.1 | +11.0 | +1.57 | 71% | +0.07 | 2 |
| Dawson KnoxTE | 5 | 4 | 38 | 7.6 | +2.4 | +0.48 | 80% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Stefon DiggsWR | 7 | 4 | 35 | 5.0 | +0.4 | +0.06 | 57% | +0.03 | 1 |
| Devin SingletaryRB | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | +0.1 | +0.09 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Isaiah McKenzieWR | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3.5 | +0.0 | +0.01 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Tommy SweeneyTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.83 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Cole BeasleyWR | 8 | 4 | 35 | 4.4 | -2.7 | -0.34 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler BassK | 1/1(26) | 26 | 4/4 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt HaackP | 5 | 188 | 37.6 | 34.4 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah McKenzieWR | 2 | 36 | 18.0 | 28 | 0 |
| Marquez StevensonWR | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | 13 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquez StevensonWR | 3 | 31 | 10.3 | 17 | 0 |