Bills
31–6
BUF @ NO
Saints
Final · Thu, Nov 25, 2021 · 2021 Week 12 · Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Ground Share
Bills dominated the field
Teams with this edge win 98% of the time
BUF 70%30% NO
58.7%GROUND24.7%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Allen | 30 | +0.38 | +11.4 | 6.0 | 82.1% | 72.8% | +15.6 |
| T.Siemian | 32 | -0.16 | -5.1 | 5.8 | 56.7% | 71.6% | -8.7 |
Team Stats
| Metric | BUF | NO |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.13 | -0.33 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.45 | -0.24 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.22 | -0.46 |
| Success Rate | 53.0% | 28.6% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 28.8% | 14.3% |
| Yards / Play | 5.47 | 3.41 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.06 | -0.31 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 64.3% | 35.3% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 4.7 | 7.2 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.42 | 1.53 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 42.9% | 26.1% |
| Stuff Rate | 25.0% | 34.8% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 13.6% | 10.7% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 38.5 | 22.6 |
| Plays | 66 | 56 |
| Total Yards | 361 | 191 |
| Total EPA | +8.3 | -18.5 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 1 |
Player Stats
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 34 | 23/28 | 273 | 8.0 | +15.2 | +0.45 | +15.6 | 71% | +0.14 | 4 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 4 | 18 | 4.5 | +0.9 | +0.24 | 50% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Matt BreidaRB | 9 | 26 | 2.9 | -2.3 | -0.26 | 44% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Devin SingletaryRB | 15 | 44 | 2.9 | -4.7 | -0.31 | 20% | -0.03 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawson KnoxTE | 3 | 3 | 32 | 10.7 | +5.9 | +1.97 | 67% | +0.09 | 2 |
| Matt BreidaRB | 2 | 2 | 29 | 14.5 | +3.7 | +1.83 | 100% | +0.00 | 1 |
| Cole BeasleyWR | 5 | 5 | 46 | 9.2 | +3.0 | +0.59 | 80% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Emmanuel SandersWR | 3 | 3 | 28 | 9.3 | +2.9 | +0.95 | 100% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Stefon DiggsWR | 9 | 7 | 74 | 8.2 | +0.2 | +0.03 | 67% | -0.04 | 1 |
| Gabe DavisWR | 3 | 2 | 47 | 15.7 | +0.0 | +0.00 | 67% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Devin SingletaryRB | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | +0.0 | +0.01 | 100% | -0.01 | 0 |
NO
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake GillikinP | 1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.4 | -2.36 | -62.5 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 | 0 |
| Trevor SiemianQB | 32 | 17/29 | 148 | 4.6 | -5.5 | -0.17 | -8.7 | 41% | -0.15 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor SiemianQB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | +2.2 | +2.21 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Ty MontgomeryWR | 6 | 14 | 2.3 | -3.8 | -0.63 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Tony JonesRB | 16 | 27 | 1.7 | -9.1 | -0.57 | 13% | -0.16 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick VannettTE | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +2.4 | +2.44 | 100% | +0.01 | 1 |
| Lil'Jordan HumphreyWR | 5 | 3 | 47 | 9.4 | +2.1 | +0.41 | 60% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Marquez CallawayWR | 4 | 2 | 24 | 6.0 | +0.8 | +0.20 | 25% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Tre'Quan SmithWR | 5 | 4 | 31 | 6.2 | +0.1 | +0.03 | 60% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Ty MontgomeryWR | 7 | 5 | 31 | 4.4 | +0.0 | +0.00 | 57% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Adam PrenticeFB | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | -0.6 | -0.64 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Deonte HartyWR | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 | -6.1 | -1.22 | 20% | -0.02 | 0 |