Buccaneers
19–17
TB @ NE
Patriots
Final · Sun, Oct 3, 2021 · 2021 Week 4 · Gillette Stadium
Ground Share
Buccaneers had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
TB 54%46% NE
50.3%GROUND42.2%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Brady | 44 | +0.05 | +2.2 | 10.7 | 51.2% | 61.9% | -10.7 |
| M.Jones | 44 | -0.06 | -2.8 | 5.2 | 77.5% | 69.8% | +7.7 |
Team Stats
| Metric | TB | NE |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.10 | -0.05 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.09 | -0.02 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.12 | -0.60 |
| Success Rate | 43.2% | 48.3% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 25.7% | 20.7% |
| Yards / Play | 5.19 | 5.09 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.05 | +0.02 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 47.4% | 30.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.3 | 8.6 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.63 | -0.14 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 50.0% | 14.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 11.5% | 71.4% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 5.4% | 13.8% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 23.6 | 30.1 |
| Plays | 74 | 58 |
| Total Yards | 384 | 295 |
| Total EPA | +7.2 | -3.0 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 2 |
Player Stats
TB
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 45 | 22/43 | 267 | 5.9 | +3.9 | +0.09 | -10.7 | 42% | +0.13 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leonard FournetteRB | 20 | 92 | 4.6 | +1.7 | +0.09 | 45% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Ronald JonesRB | 6 | 25 | 4.2 | +1.5 | +0.25 | 50% | +0.09 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio BrownWR | 11 | 7 | 63 | 5.7 | +4.3 | +0.39 | 46% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Leonard FournetteRB | 5 | 3 | 47 | 9.4 | +2.4 | +0.49 | 60% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Chris Godwin Jr.WR | 5 | 3 | 55 | 11.0 | +1.2 | +0.24 | 40% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Mike EvansWR | 12 | 7 | 75 | 6.3 | +1.0 | +0.08 | 50% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Codey McElroyTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.7 | -0.74 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Cameron BrateTE | 6 | 2 | 29 | 4.8 | -1.2 | -0.19 | 33% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Tyler JohnsonWR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.7 | -0.86 | 0% | -0.09 | 0 |
| O.J. HowardTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.7 | -1.74 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakobi MeyersWR | 2 | 2/2 | 45 | 22.5 | +1.8 | +0.89 | +41.7 | 100% | +0.17 | 0 | 0 |
| Mac JonesQB | 44 | 31/40 | 250 | 5.7 | -2.8 | -0.06 | +7.7 | 50% | +0.08 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nelson AgholorWR | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | +0.1 | +0.05 | 100% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Brandon BoldenRB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.38 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| J.J. TaylorRB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.47 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Damien HarrisRB | 4 | -4 | -1.0 | -2.6 | -0.66 | 0% | -0.09 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick BourneWR | 5 | 5 | 58 | 11.6 | +3.2 | +0.63 | 80% | +0.13 | 0 |
| Hunter HenryTE | 5 | 4 | 32 | 6.4 | +2.5 | +0.51 | 60% | +0.10 | 1 |
| Brandon BoldenRB | 6 | 6 | 51 | 8.5 | +2.3 | +0.39 | 67% | +0.17 | 0 |
| Damien HarrisRB | 2 | 2 | 30 | 15.0 | +2.2 | +1.11 | 100% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Jakobi MeyersWR | 12 | 8 | 70 | 5.8 | +1.0 | +0.08 | 42% | -0.03 | 0 |
| N'Keal HarryTE | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | +0.9 | +0.94 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Jonnu SmithTE | 5 | 3 | 14 | 2.8 | -0.6 | -0.12 | 40% | -0.01 | 1 |
| Nelson AgholorWR | 5 | 3 | 55 | 11.0 | -1.2 | -0.24 | 60% | +0.09 | 0 |
| J.J. TaylorRB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -5.8 | -5.76 | 0% | -0.17 | 0 |