Buccaneers
31–23
TB @ WAS
Commanders
Final · Sat, Jan 9, 2021 · 2020 Wild Card · FedExField
Ground Share
Buccaneers controlled more of the field
Teams with this edge win 86% of the time
TB 60%40% WAS
63.1%GROUND42.1%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Brady | 43 | +0.45 | +19.6 | 11.5 | 55.0% | 60.5% | -2.6 |
| T.Heinicke | 47 | -0.01 | -0.6 | 8.8 | 57.8% | 64.4% | -0.9 |
Team Stats
| Metric | TB | WAS |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.26 | +0.03 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.45 | +0.10 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.07 | -0.14 |
| Success Rate | 52.2% | 39.4% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 36.2% | 23.9% |
| Yards / Play | 7.38 | 5.28 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.16 | -0.06 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 46.2% | 43.8% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.8 | 8.3 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 4.27 | 2.04 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 53.8% | 29.4% |
| Stuff Rate | 7.7% | 23.5% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 8.7% | 15.5% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 26.7 | 25.8 |
| Plays | 69 | 71 |
| Total Yards | 509 | 375 |
| Total EPA | +17.7 | +2.1 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 1 |
Player Stats
TB
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 43 | 22/40 | 365 | 8.5 | +19.6 | +0.46 | -2.6 | 51% | +0.53 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leonard FournetteRB | 19 | 93 | 4.9 | +1.7 | +0.09 | 58% | +0.09 | 1 |
| Antonio BrownWR | 1 | 22 | 22.0 | +1.4 | +1.41 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Scott MillerWR | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +0.7 | +0.68 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Ke'Shawn VaughnRB | 5 | 21 | 4.2 | -5.6 | -1.12 | 20% | -0.13 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike EvansWR | 10 | 6 | 119 | 11.9 | +9.0 | +0.90 | 60% | +0.25 | 0 |
| Cameron BrateTE | 6 | 4 | 80 | 13.3 | +6.7 | +1.12 | 67% | +0.17 | 0 |
| Antonio BrownWR | 3 | 2 | 49 | 16.3 | +4.1 | +1.37 | 67% | +0.09 | 1 |
| Leonard FournetteRB | 4 | 4 | 39 | 9.8 | +3.1 | +0.77 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Chris Godwin Jr.WR | 12 | 5 | 79 | 6.6 | +2.3 | +0.19 | 42% | +0.06 | 1 |
| Scott MillerWR | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | +2.3 | +2.31 | 100% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Ke'Shawn VaughnRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.50 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Rob GronkowskiTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.3 | -1.33 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
WAS
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor HeinickeQB | 52 | 26/44 | 335 | 6.4 | +5.0 | +0.10 | -0.9 | 42% | +0.17 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.D. McKissicRB | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | +1.9 | +0.92 | 50% | +0.06 | 1 |
| Steven SimsWR | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.1 | -0.12 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Antonio GibsonRB | 14 | 31 | 2.2 | -4.1 | -0.29 | 29% | -0.13 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven SimsWR | 4 | 3 | 33 | 8.3 | +4.4 | +1.11 | 50% | +0.14 | 1 |
| Cam SimsWR | 13 | 7 | 104 | 8.0 | +2.7 | +0.21 | 46% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Terry McLaurinWR | 7 | 6 | 75 | 10.7 | +0.5 | +0.07 | 71% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Jeremy SprinkleTE | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +0.4 | +0.42 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Isaiah WrightWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.45 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| J.D. McKissicRB | 3 | 2 | 8 | 2.7 | -0.9 | -0.29 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Logan ThomasTE | 9 | 5 | 74 | 8.2 | -1.0 | -0.11 | 33% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Antonio GibsonRB | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1.3 | -1.4 | -0.45 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |