Colts
24–27
IND @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sat, Jan 9, 2021 · 2020 Wild Card · New Era Field
Ground Share
Colts controlled more of the field
Teams with this edge win 86% of the time
IND 59%41% BUF
74.7%GROUND52.2%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.Rivers | 46 | +0.30 | 43.5% | 0.0% | +13.8 | 7.0 | 62.8% | 67.6% | -4.8 |
| J.Allen | 40 | +0.27 | 52.5% | 5.0% | +10.9 | 10.8 | 76.5% | 63.7% | +12.7 |
Team Stats
| Metric | IND | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.20 | +0.20 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.30 | +0.27 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.05 | -0.05 |
| Success Rate | 40.0% | 50.8% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 33.3% | 28.8% |
| Yards / Play | 6.31 | 6.73 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.15 | +0.35 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 52.4% | 30.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.8 | 7.7 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.93 | 2.92 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 41.4% | 44.4% |
| Stuff Rate | 17.2% | 27.8% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 16.0% | 8.5% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 29.7 | 15.4 |
| Plays | 75 | 59 |
| Total Yards | 473 | 397 |
| Total EPA | +15.3 | +11.8 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 0 |
Special Teams
Bills had the edge in the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 56% of the time
IND 37%63% BUF
4.6 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS7.8 pts won
Biggest swing · R.Blankenship 33 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright. Ball hit right upright, then left upright — BUF +3.7
Kickoffs · IND +3.3Punts · BUF +0.2Kicks · BUF +6.3
Player Stats
IND
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip RiversQB | 46 | 27/46 | 309 | 6.7 | +13.8 | +0.30 | -4.8 | 44% | +0.06 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyheim HinesRB | 6 | 75 | 12.5 | +3.8 | +0.64 | 33% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Michael PittmanWR | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +0.8 | +0.81 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Jacoby BrissettQB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.3 | -0.26 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Jonathan TaylorRB | 21 | 78 | 3.7 | -2.8 | -0.13 | 33% | -0.07 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack DoyleTE | 9 | 7 | 70 | 7.8 | +4.5 | +0.51 | 56% | +0.13 | 1 |
| Trey BurtonTE | 3 | 3 | 34 | 11.3 | +4.3 | +1.43 | 67% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Zach PascalWR | 5 | 3 | 37 | 7.4 | +3.7 | +0.74 | 60% | +0.20 | 1 |
| Mo Alie-CoxTE | 4 | 4 | 32 | 8.0 | +3.1 | +0.79 | 50% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Nyheim HinesRB | 3 | 1 | 8 | 2.7 | +0.8 | +0.27 | 33% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Michael PittmanWR | 10 | 5 | 90 | 9.0 | -0.1 | -0.01 | 40% | -0.17 | 0 |
| T.Y. HiltonWR | 5 | 2 | 32 | 6.4 | -0.2 | -0.04 | 40% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Jonathan TaylorRB | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1.5 | -1.4 | -0.35 | 25% | -0.02 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo BlankenshipK | 1/2(30 · missed 33) | 30 | 1/1 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rigoberto SanchezP | 2 | 73 | 36.5 | 36.5 | 37 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah RodgersCB | 2 | 59 | 29.5 | 38 | 0 |
| Zach PascalWR | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | 13 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyheim HinesRB | 3 | 14 | 4.7 | 14 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 40 | 26/35 | 325 | 8.1 | +10.9 | +0.27 | +12.7 | 53% | +0.33 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin SingletaryRB | 3 | 21 | 7.0 | +1.0 | +0.34 | 67% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Josh AllenQB | 8 | 30 | 3.8 | +0.5 | +0.06 | 50% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Zack MossRB | 7 | 21 | 3.0 | -2.3 | -0.34 | 29% | -0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefon DiggsWR | 9 | 6 | 128 | 14.2 | +8.9 | +0.99 | 67% | +0.25 | 1 |
| Gabe DavisWR | 4 | 4 | 85 | 21.3 | +5.0 | +1.24 | 100% | +0.17 | 0 |
| Cole BeasleyWR | 7 | 7 | 57 | 8.1 | +2.8 | +0.39 | 57% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Zack MossRB | 4 | 4 | 26 | 6.5 | +2.1 | +0.51 | 75% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Dawson KnoxTE | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1.7 | -0.1 | -0.03 | 33% | +0.00 | 1 |
| Devin SingletaryRB | 3 | 3 | 23 | 7.7 | -0.8 | -0.28 | 33% | -0.03 | 0 |
| John BrownWR | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -4.3 | -1.08 | 0% | -0.09 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler BassK | 2/2(46, 54) | 54 | 3/3 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey BojorquezP | 4 | 188 | 47.0 | 43.5 | 58 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre RobertsWR | 4 | 69 | 17.3 | 29 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre RobertsWR | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |