Bills
38–9
BUF @ NE
Patriots
Final · Mon, Dec 28, 2020 · 2020 Week 16 · Gillette Stadium
Ground Share
Bills dominated the field
Teams with this edge win 98% of the time
BUF 72%28% NE
70.1%GROUND27.6%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Allen | 37 | +0.54 | 56.8% | 0.0% | +20.0 | 10.2 | 79.4% | 62.2% | +17.2 |
| C.Newton | 14 | -0.26 | 35.7% | 14.3% | -3.7 | 9.0 | 50.0% | 68.2% | -18.2 |
Team Stats
| Metric | BUF | NE |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.40 | -0.09 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.57 | -0.29 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.14 | +0.00 |
| Success Rate | 52.2% | 36.0% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 33.3% | 18.0% |
| Yards / Play | 6.93 | 4.02 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.37 | -0.06 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 57.1% | 38.5% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 3.8 | 6.5 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.86 | 4.02 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 46.2% | 31.8% |
| Stuff Rate | 3.9% | 13.6% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 2.9% | 6.0% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 24.2 | 19.1 |
| Plays | 69 | 50 |
| Total Yards | 478 | 201 |
| Total EPA | +27.8 | -4.3 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 0 |
Special Teams
Special teams were a wash
BUF 55%45% NE
6.5 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS5.2 pts won
Biggest swing · J.Bailey kicks 67 yards from NE 35 to BUF -2. A.Roberts to BUF 47 for 49 yards — BUF +1.4
Kickoffs · BUF +2.8Punts · NE +1.6Kicks · even
Player Stats
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 37 | 27/36 | 331 | 8.9 | +20.0 | +0.54 | +17.2 | 57% | +0.29 | 4 | 0 |
| Jaquan JohnsonDB | 1 | 1/1 | 13 | 13.0 | +3.1 | +3.12 | +42.6 | 100% | +0.08 | 0 | 0 |
| Matt BarkleyQB | 3 | 2/3 | 11 | 3.7 | +0.1 | +0.02 | -2.1 | 33% | +0.00 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 2 | 25 | 12.5 | +3.6 | +1.79 | 50% | +0.13 | 0 |
| Zack MossRB | 12 | 57 | 4.8 | +1.6 | +0.14 | 50% | +0.06 | 1 |
| Isaiah McKenzieWR | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | +0.5 | +0.26 | 50% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Devin SingletaryRB | 10 | 36 | 3.6 | -2.1 | -0.21 | 30% | -0.06 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefon DiggsWR | 11 | 9 | 145 | 13.2 | +11.4 | +1.04 | 73% | +0.05 | 3 |
| Dawson KnoxTE | 4 | 3 | 51 | 12.8 | +5.2 | +1.29 | 75% | +0.14 | 0 |
| Siran NealDB | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | +3.1 | +3.12 | 100% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Lee SmithTE | 2 | 2 | 31 | 15.5 | +3.0 | +1.50 | 100% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Devin SingletaryRB | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | +1.2 | +0.62 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Isaiah McKenzieWR | 4 | 4 | 26 | 6.5 | +1.0 | +0.25 | 50% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Andre RobertsWR | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | +0.8 | +0.39 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Gabe DavisWR | 5 | 3 | 33 | 6.6 | +0.1 | +0.01 | 60% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Taiwan JonesRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.47 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Zack MossRB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.52 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Cole BeasleyWR | 5 | 3 | 17 | 3.4 | -2.2 | -0.45 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler BassK | 1/1(22) | 22 | 5/5 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey BojorquezP | 2 | 113 | 56.5 | 54.0 | 62 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre RobertsWR | 1 | 49 | 49.0 | 49 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre RobertsWR | 4 | 25 | 6.3 | 12 | 0 |
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam NewtonQB | 14 | 5/10 | 30 | 2.1 | -3.7 | -0.26 | -18.2 | 36% | -0.11 | 0 | 0 |
| Jarrett StidhamQB | 12 | 4/11 | 42 | 3.5 | -3.8 | -0.32 | -18.3 | 25% | -0.01 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sony MichelRB | 10 | 69 | 6.9 | +1.0 | +0.10 | 40% | +0.03 | 0 |
| James WhiteRB | 4 | 14 | 3.5 | -0.2 | -0.05 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Cam NewtonQB | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | -0.3 | -0.16 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| J.J. TaylorRB | 6 | 38 | 6.3 | -0.4 | -0.06 | 17% | +0.06 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James WhiteRB | 3 | 3 | 23 | 7.7 | +1.2 | +0.41 | 67% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jakobi MeyersWR | 6 | 4 | 45 | 7.5 | +0.6 | +0.10 | 50% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Damiere ByrdWR | 3 | 1 | 7 | 2.3 | -1.4 | -0.45 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Devin AsiasiTE | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.6 | -0.81 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
| N'Keal HarryTE | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0.8 | -2.2 | -0.55 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick FolkK | 1/1(45) | 45 | 0/1 | — | — | 3 |
| Jake BaileyP | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | 0 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake BaileyP | 7 | 362 | 51.7 | 48.1 | 62 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donte MoncriefWR | 4 | 74 | 18.5 | 27 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gunner OlszewskiWR | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 5 | 0 |