Bills
17–24
BUF @ NE
Patriots
Final · Sat, Dec 21, 2019 · 2019 Week 16 · Gillette Stadium
Ground Share
Patriots controlled more of the field
Teams with this edge win 86% of the time
BUF 39%61% NE
39.2%GROUND62.2%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Allen | 30 | +0.09 | +2.8 | 12.2 | 50.0% | 58.5% | -8.5 |
| T.Brady | 34 | +0.18 | +6.1 | 5.1 | 76.5% | 70.1% | +11.1 |
Team Stats
| Metric | BUF | NE |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.01 | +0.07 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.11 | +0.11 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.12 | +0.06 |
| Success Rate | 37.0% | 52.9% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 22.2% | 28.6% |
| Yards / Play | 4.96 | 5.94 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.21 | -0.00 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 23.1% | 50.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 8.1 | 6.3 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.90 | 3.30 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 36.4% | 50.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 18.2% | 15.6% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 13.0% | 4.3% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 31.6 | 25.7 |
| Plays | 54 | 70 |
| Total Yards | 268 | 416 |
| Total EPA | +0.3 | +4.6 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 1 |
Player Stats
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 31 | 13/26 | 187 | 6.0 | +3.4 | +0.11 | -8.5 | 39% | -0.03 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 6 | 32 | 5.3 | +0.7 | +0.12 | 50% | +0.05 | 0 |
| John BrownWR | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.2 | -0.17 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Devin SingletaryRB | 15 | 46 | 3.1 | -3.2 | -0.21 | 33% | -0.13 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John BrownWR | 4 | 1 | 53 | 13.3 | +4.0 | +0.99 | 25% | +0.16 | 1 |
| Dion DawkinsOT | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +2.9 | +2.86 | 100% | +0.06 | 1 |
| Cole BeasleyWR | 12 | 7 | 108 | 9.0 | +1.7 | +0.14 | 58% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Dawson KnoxTE | 4 | 1 | 33 | 8.3 | +0.8 | +0.21 | 25% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Isaiah McKenzieWR | 2 | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | +0.5 | +0.27 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Robert FosterWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.46 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Tyler KroftTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.51 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Devin SingletaryRB | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.7 | -0.73 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 34 | 26/33 | 274 | 8.1 | +3.6 | +0.11 | +11.1 | 47% | +0.30 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sony MichelRB | 21 | 96 | 4.6 | +1.9 | +0.09 | 57% | +0.14 | 0 |
| Tom BradyQB | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | +1.0 | +1.00 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Rex BurkheadRB | 5 | 20 | 4.0 | +0.6 | +0.11 | 80% | +0.03 | 1 |
| N'Keal HarryTE | 2 | 18 | 9.0 | -0.4 | -0.20 | 50% | -0.03 | 0 |
| James WhiteRB | 3 | 5 | 1.7 | -1.0 | -0.33 | 33% | -0.06 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian EdelmanWR | 6 | 5 | 72 | 12.0 | +5.0 | +0.83 | 83% | +0.21 | 0 |
| N'Keal HarryTE | 3 | 2 | 21 | 7.0 | +1.8 | +0.60 | 67% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Matt LaCosseTE | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +1.5 | +1.46 | 100% | +0.03 | 1 |
| Jakobi MeyersWR | 3 | 3 | 25 | 8.3 | +1.0 | +0.32 | 67% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Benjamin WatsonTE | 3 | 3 | 15 | 5.0 | +0.9 | +0.30 | 67% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Sony MichelRB | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2.5 | -0.7 | -0.33 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Rex BurkheadRB | 4 | 4 | 77 | 19.3 | -1.0 | -0.25 | 75% | +0.02 | 0 |
| James WhiteRB | 5 | 4 | 24 | 4.8 | -1.3 | -0.25 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Mohamed SanuWR | 5 | 3 | 24 | 4.8 | -1.6 | -0.33 | 20% | -0.01 | 0 |