Patriots
37–31
NE @ KC
Chiefs
Final/OT · Sun, Jan 20, 2019 · 2018 Conference Championship · Arrowhead Stadium
Ground Share
Patriots controlled the field
Teams with this edge win 94% of the time
NE 65%35% KC
68.8%GROUND36.9%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Brady | 46 | +0.27 | 56.5% | 0.0% | +12.5 | 8.4 | 65.2% | 66.0% | -0.8 |
| P.Mahomes | 36 | +0.23 | 38.9% | 11.1% | +8.2 | 13.2 | 55.2% | 58.4% | -3.3 |
Team Stats
| Metric | NE | KC |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.17 | +0.24 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.27 | +0.23 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.07 | -0.18 |
| Success Rate | 49.0% | 43.1% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 32.3% | 25.5% |
| Yards / Play | 5.47 | 5.69 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.11 | +0.30 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 63.6% | 50.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.5 | 6.1 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.14 | 2.46 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 40.4% | 27.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 12.8% | 18.2% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 4.2% | 7.8% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 30.6 | 28.4 |
| Plays | 96 | 51 |
| Total Yards | 525 | 290 |
| Total EPA | +16.6 | +12.2 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 0 |
Special Teams
Patriots had the edge in the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 56% of the time
NE 59%41% KC
5.3 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS3.7 pts won
Biggest swing · S.Gostkowski 47 yard field goal is GOOD — NE +1.3
Kickoffs · KC +1.5Punts · NE +2.3Kicks · NE +0.8
Player Stats
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 46 | 30/46 | 348 | 7.6 | +12.5 | +0.27 | -0.8 | 56% | +0.83 | 1 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sony MichelRB | 29 | 113 | 3.9 | +2.4 | +0.08 | 31% | +0.24 | 2 |
| James WhiteRB | 6 | 23 | 3.8 | +2.3 | +0.38 | 67% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Rex BurkheadRB | 12 | 41 | 3.4 | -1.4 | -0.12 | 50% | -0.09 | 2 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian EdelmanWR | 10 | 7 | 96 | 9.6 | +4.2 | +0.42 | 70% | +0.34 | 0 |
| Chris HoganWR | 7 | 5 | 45 | 6.4 | +3.0 | +0.43 | 57% | +0.14 | 0 |
| James WhiteRB | 6 | 4 | 49 | 8.2 | +3.0 | +0.50 | 67% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Phillip DorsettWR | 3 | 1 | 29 | 9.7 | +3.0 | +0.99 | 33% | -0.03 | 1 |
| James DevelinFB | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +1.1 | +1.14 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Rex BurkheadRB | 4 | 4 | 23 | 5.8 | +0.8 | +0.21 | 75% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Cordarrelle PattersonRB | 4 | 2 | 18 | 4.5 | -0.4 | -0.10 | 25% | -0.09 | 0 |
| Rob GronkowskiTE | 11 | 6 | 79 | 7.2 | -2.3 | -0.21 | 46% | +0.29 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen GostkowskiK | 1/1(47) | 47 | 4/4 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan AllenP | 2 | 75 | 37.5 | 43.0 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordarrelle PattersonRB | 3 | 80 | 26.7 | 38 | 0 |
| James DevelinFB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 2 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian EdelmanWR | 4 | 38 | 9.5 | 14 | 0 |
KC
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick MahomesQB | 36 | 16/31 | 258 | 7.2 | +8.2 | +0.23 | -3.3 | 39% | +0.29 | 3 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick MahomesQB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | +0.5 | +0.49 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Damien WilliamsRB | 10 | 30 | 3.0 | -2.4 | -0.24 | 30% | -0.02 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sammy WatkinsWR | 8 | 4 | 114 | 14.3 | +8.3 | +1.03 | 50% | +0.24 | 0 |
| Damien WilliamsRB | 8 | 5 | 66 | 8.3 | +3.9 | +0.48 | 50% | +0.12 | 2 |
| Demarcus RobinsonWR | 1 | 1 | 27 | 27.0 | +1.7 | +1.70 | 100% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Tyreek HillWR | 3 | 1 | 42 | 14.0 | +1.1 | +0.36 | 33% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Travis KelceTE | 6 | 3 | 23 | 3.8 | +0.7 | +0.11 | 33% | +0.01 | 1 |
| Spencer WareRB | 1 | 1 | 21 | 21.0 | +0.7 | +0.68 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Demetrius HarrisTE | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.4 | -0.41 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Chris ConleyWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.9 | -0.91 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison ButkerK | 1/1(39) | 39 | 4/4 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin ColquittP | 5 | 217 | 43.4 | 35.8 | 59 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tremon SmithCB | 4 | 99 | 24.8 | 29 | 0 |
| Demetrius HarrisTE | 1 | 17 | 17.0 | 17 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreek HillWR | 2 | -11 | -5.5 | 0 | 0 |