Colts
21–7
IND @ HOU
Texans
Final · Sat, Jan 5, 2019 · 2018 Wild Card · NRG Stadium
Ground Share
Colts had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
IND 55%45% HOU
56.2%GROUND45.4%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.Luck | 32 | +0.13 | +4.1 | 10.3 | 59.4% | 63.4% | -2.1 |
| D.Watson | 52 | -0.24 | -12.6 | 7.2 | 59.2% | 71.8% | -10.1 |
Team Stats
| Metric | IND | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.16 | -0.13 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.15 | -0.14 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.14 | +0.15 |
| Success Rate | 49.3% | 45.7% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 29.8% | 20.0% |
| Yards / Play | 6.34 | 4.60 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.11 | -0.01 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 66.7% | 26.3% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.2 | 8.4 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 4.43 | 4.04 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 37.0% | 63.6% |
| Stuff Rate | 7.4% | 9.1% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 10.4% | 5.7% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 24.4 | 21.2 |
| Plays | 67 | 70 |
| Total Yards | 425 | 322 |
| Total EPA | +11.0 | -8.8 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 1 |
Player Stats
IND
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew LuckQB | 37 | 19/32 | 254 | 6.9 | +5.5 | +0.15 | -2.1 | 49% | +0.21 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlon MackRB | 24 | 148 | 6.2 | +2.3 | +0.10 | 42% | +0.08 | 1 |
| Zach PascalWR | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | +1.1 | +1.07 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Jordan WilkinsRB | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | -0.4 | -0.20 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Y. HiltonWR | 10 | 5 | 85 | 8.5 | +5.3 | +0.53 | 50% | +0.23 | 0 |
| Dontrelle InmanWR | 4 | 4 | 53 | 13.3 | +4.6 | +1.14 | 75% | +0.05 | 1 |
| Eric EbronTE | 6 | 3 | 26 | 4.3 | +2.3 | +0.39 | 50% | +0.03 | 1 |
| Chester RogersWR | 5 | 4 | 46 | 9.2 | +0.2 | +0.04 | 60% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Zach PascalWR | 3 | 1 | 6 | 2.0 | -1.6 | -0.52 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Marlon MackRB | 3 | 2 | 6 | 2.0 | -5.8 | -1.94 | 33% | -0.08 | 0 |
HOU
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deshaun WatsonQB | 57 | 29/49 | 269 | 4.7 | -8.2 | -0.14 | -10.1 | 46% | -0.17 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deshaun WatsonQB | 3 | 24 | 8.0 | +1.5 | +0.49 | 67% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Alfred BlueRB | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | +0.4 | +0.20 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Lamar MillerRB | 5 | 18 | 3.6 | +0.0 | +0.01 | 60% | -0.03 | 0 |
| D'Onta ForemanRB | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.3 | -0.26 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keke CouteeWR | 14 | 11 | 110 | 7.9 | +7.4 | +0.53 | 64% | -0.02 | 1 |
| Alfred BlueRB | 2 | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | +0.5 | +0.26 | 100% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Lamar MillerRB | 10 | 8 | 63 | 6.3 | +0.1 | +0.01 | 60% | -0.01 | 0 |
| D'Onta ForemanRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.52 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Jordan AkinsTE | 3 | 2 | 8 | 2.7 | -1.6 | -0.55 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Vyncint SmithWR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -4.0 | -1.98 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| DeAndre HopkinsWR | 10 | 5 | 37 | 3.7 | -4.5 | -0.45 | 40% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Ryan GriffinTE | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 | -5.0 | -0.99 | 20% | -0.06 | 0 |