Bills
12–24
BUF @ NE
Patriots
Final · Sun, Dec 23, 2018 · 2018 Week 16 · Gillette Stadium
Ground Share
Patriots controlled more of the field
Teams with this edge win 86% of the time
BUF 40%60% NE
27.5%GROUND41.7%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Allen | 41 | -0.41 | -16.8 | 11.2 | 48.8% | 60.5% | -10.5 |
| T.Brady | 25 | -0.66 | -16.6 | 4.4 | 54.2% | 73.0% | -16.5 |
Team Stats
| Metric | BUF | NE |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.32 | -0.19 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.42 | -0.75 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.12 | +0.10 |
| Success Rate | 37.7% | 39.7% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 14.8% | 26.0% |
| Yards / Play | 4.74 | 5.37 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.15 | -0.16 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 15.4% | 28.6% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.3 | 5.9 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.11 | 4.37 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 43.8% | 55.6% |
| Stuff Rate | 6.3% | 11.1% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 8.2% | 9.6% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 29.9 | 32.9 |
| Plays | 61 | 73 |
| Total Yards | 289 | 392 |
| Total EPA | -19.8 | -13.6 |
| Giveaways | 3 | 3 |
Player Stats
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 43 | 20/41 | 228 | 5.3 | -17.9 | -0.41 | -10.5 | 35% | -0.33 | 1 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 3 | 19 | 6.3 | +0.7 | +0.22 | 67% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Keith FordRB | 7 | 33 | 4.7 | -0.2 | -0.03 | 57% | -0.03 | 0 |
| LeSean McCoyRB | 6 | 9 | 1.5 | -2.4 | -0.40 | 17% | -0.05 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zay JonesWR | 9 | 5 | 67 | 7.4 | +1.7 | +0.19 | 44% | -0.08 | 1 |
| LeSean McCoyRB | 3 | 3 | 10 | 3.3 | -0.3 | -0.11 | 33% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Keith FordRB | 4 | 2 | 14 | 3.5 | -0.4 | -0.09 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Robert FosterWR | 7 | 4 | 52 | 7.4 | -0.6 | -0.08 | 43% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Logan ThomasTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.57 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Deonte ThompsonWR | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5.5 | -3.2 | -1.58 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jason CroomTE | 6 | 4 | 55 | 9.2 | -4.1 | -0.69 | 50% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Isaiah McKenzieWR | 8 | 1 | 8 | 1.0 | -8.8 | -1.10 | 13% | -0.13 | 0 |
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian HoyerQB | 1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.8 | -2.83 | -68.7 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Tom BradyQB | 25 | 13/24 | 117 | 4.7 | -16.6 | -0.66 | -16.5 | 32% | -0.24 | 1 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordarrelle PattersonRB | 4 | 66 | 16.5 | +4.2 | +1.06 | 100% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Sony MichelRB | 18 | 116 | 6.4 | +4.2 | +0.23 | 50% | +0.09 | 1 |
| James WhiteRB | 8 | 41 | 5.1 | +0.4 | +0.05 | 25% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Phillip DorsettWR | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | +0.3 | +0.16 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Rex BurkheadRB | 13 | 39 | 3.0 | -3.2 | -0.25 | 31% | +0.00 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian EdelmanWR | 10 | 6 | 70 | 7.0 | +1.1 | +0.11 | 40% | +0.02 | 1 |
| Cordarrelle PattersonRB | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.5 | -1.4 | -0.71 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| James WhiteRB | 4 | 2 | 13 | 3.3 | -1.7 | -0.42 | 25% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Rob GronkowskiTE | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -7.4 | -2.46 | 0% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Rex BurkheadRB | 5 | 4 | 40 | 8.0 | -7.7 | -1.54 | 60% | -0.12 | 0 |