Patriots
16–3
NE @ DEN
Broncos
Final · Sun, Dec 18, 2016 · 2016 Week 15 · Sports Authority Field at Mile High
Ground Share
Patriots had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
NE 53%47% DEN
37.1%GROUND33.5%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Brady | 34 | -0.01 | -0.3 | 7.3 | 50.0% | 63.8% | -12.2 |
| T.Siemian | 44 | -0.37 | -16.2 | 8.7 | 62.5% | 64.6% | -0.5 |
Team Stats
| Metric | NE | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.08 | -0.33 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.01 | -0.36 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.16 | -0.25 |
| Success Rate | 39.2% | 38.7% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 27.0% | 12.9% |
| Yards / Play | 4.24 | 4.98 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.05 | -0.07 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 33.3% | 15.4% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.3 | 7.8 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.11 | 2.83 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 50.0% | 37.5% |
| Stuff Rate | 13.2% | 12.5% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 8.1% | 9.7% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 29.5 | 23.1 |
| Plays | 74 | 62 |
| Total Yards | 314 | 309 |
| Total EPA | -6.0 | -20.7 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 2 |
Player Stats
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 34 | 16/32 | 177 | 5.2 | -0.3 | -0.01 | -12.2 | 44% | +0.00 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dion LewisRB | 18 | 95 | 5.3 | +2.8 | +0.15 | 56% | +0.07 | 0 |
| James WhiteRB | 3 | 11 | 3.7 | -0.5 | -0.17 | 33% | +0.03 | 0 |
| LeGarrette BlountRB | 17 | 31 | 1.8 | -7.3 | -0.43 | 12% | -0.02 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian EdelmanWR | 12 | 6 | 75 | 6.3 | +5.0 | +0.41 | 58% | +0.17 | 0 |
| James DevelinFB | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | +1.4 | +1.43 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Malcolm MitchellWR | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | +1.2 | +1.20 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Dion LewisRB | 3 | 2 | 9 | 3.0 | -0.2 | -0.07 | 67% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Chris HoganWR | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9.0 | -0.3 | -0.17 | 50% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Martellus BennettTE | 4 | 2 | 35 | 8.8 | -0.3 | -0.09 | 25% | -0.05 | 0 |
| James WhiteRB | 8 | 3 | 24 | 3.0 | -3.4 | -0.43 | 25% | -0.07 | 0 |
DEN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor SiemianQB | 45 | 25/40 | 255 | 5.7 | -16.4 | -0.36 | -0.5 | 44% | -0.30 | 0 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devontae BookerRB | 6 | 17 | 2.8 | -1.0 | -0.17 | 33% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Justin ForsettRB | 10 | 37 | 3.7 | -2.3 | -0.23 | 20% | -0.12 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan TaylorWR | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | +2.4 | +2.43 | 100% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Jeff HeuermanTE | 4 | 2 | 40 | 10.0 | +2.1 | +0.52 | 50% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Virgil GreenTE | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4.5 | +0.1 | +0.04 | 50% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Demaryius ThomasWR | 11 | 7 | 91 | 8.3 | -0.6 | -0.06 | 55% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Devontae BookerRB | 3 | 2 | 16 | 5.3 | -0.7 | -0.25 | 33% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Jordan NorwoodWR | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | -1.0 | -1.01 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Justin ForsettRB | 5 | 4 | 16 | 3.2 | -1.5 | -0.31 | 60% | -0.05 | 0 |
| A.J. DerbyTE | 6 | 4 | 35 | 5.8 | -1.8 | -0.30 | 50% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Emmanuel SandersWR | 6 | 3 | 48 | 8.0 | -5.4 | -0.90 | 50% | -0.21 | 0 |