Patriots
18–20
NE @ DEN
Broncos
Final · Sun, Jan 24, 2016 · 2015 Conference Championship · Sports Authority Field at Mile High
Ground Share
Patriots had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
NE 57%43% DEN
33.4%GROUND25.5%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Brady | 61 | -0.18 | -11.1 | 8.2 | 47.4% | 61.5% | -13.3 |
| P.Manning | 35 | -0.07 | -2.5 | 11.5 | 53.1% | 59.1% | -4.3 |
Team Stats
| Metric | NE | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.14 | -0.19 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.14 | -0.01 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.34 | -0.33 |
| Success Rate | 34.6% | 29.2% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 15.4% | 13.9% |
| Yards / Play | 4.32 | 3.77 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.05 | -0.37 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 25.0% | 38.9% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 8.7 | 9.1 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.09 | 2.28 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 26.7% | 25.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 26.7% | 35.7% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 15.4% | 16.9% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 28.0 | 31.3 |
| Plays | 78 | 65 |
| Total Yards | 337 | 245 |
| Total EPA | -11.3 | -12.6 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 1 |
Player Stats
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 61 | 27/56 | 303 | 5.0 | -8.3 | -0.14 | -13.3 | 38% | -0.26 | 1 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | +0.3 | +0.31 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Brandon BoldenRB | 5 | 12 | 2.4 | -1.5 | -0.30 | 0% | -0.08 | 0 |
| Steven JacksonRB | 4 | 8 | 2.0 | -1.7 | -0.41 | 25% | -0.04 | 1 |
| James WhiteRB | 5 | 11 | 2.2 | -2.3 | -0.47 | 0% | -0.07 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob GronkowskiTE | 15 | 8 | 144 | 9.6 | +3.6 | +0.24 | 53% | +0.17 | 1 |
| Brandon BoldenRB | 3 | 2 | 29 | 9.7 | +2.3 | +0.78 | 67% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Keshawn MartinWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.44 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Danny AmendolaWR | 8 | 5 | 39 | 4.9 | -1.3 | -0.17 | 38% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Julian EdelmanWR | 13 | 7 | 53 | 4.1 | -2.7 | -0.21 | 39% | -0.10 | 0 |
| James WhiteRB | 16 | 5 | 45 | 2.8 | -5.3 | -0.33 | 25% | -0.17 | 0 |
DEN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton ManningQB | 36 | 17/32 | 157 | 4.4 | -0.3 | -0.01 | -4.3 | 39% | +0.03 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. AndersonRB | 16 | 72 | 4.5 | -3.8 | -0.24 | 19% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Ronnie HillmanRB | 11 | 16 | 1.4 | -5.1 | -0.46 | 9% | -0.08 | 0 |
| Peyton ManningQB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -5.3 | -5.34 | 0% | -0.12 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel SandersWR | 8 | 5 | 62 | 7.8 | +5.3 | +0.66 | 63% | +0.16 | 0 |
| Owen DanielsTE | 3 | 2 | 33 | 11.0 | +5.3 | +1.75 | 67% | +0.10 | 2 |
| Andre CaldwellWR | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | +0.9 | +0.91 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Cody LatimerWR | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | +0.8 | +0.76 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Jordan NorwoodWR | 3 | 2 | 16 | 5.3 | +0.6 | +0.21 | 33% | +0.01 | 0 |
| C.J. AndersonRB | 3 | 3 | 18 | 6.0 | -0.1 | -0.04 | 33% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Ronnie HillmanRB | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3.5 | -0.7 | -0.33 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Vernon DavisTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.75 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Virgil GreenTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.75 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Bennie FowlerWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.5 | -1.51 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Demaryius ThomasWR | 7 | 2 | 12 | 1.7 | -4.8 | -0.69 | 29% | -0.10 | 0 |