Colts
14–27
IND @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sun, Sep 13, 2015 · 2015 Week 1 · Ralph Wilson Stadium
Ground Share
Bills had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
IND 45%55% BUF
41.5%GROUND51.8%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.Luck | 53 | +0.08 | 39.6% | 3.8% | +4.3 | 9.2 | 53.1% | 60.2% | -7.1 |
| T.Taylor | 22 | +0.49 | 40.9% | 0.0% | +10.9 | 8.1 | 73.7% | 68.5% | +5.2 |
Team Stats
| Metric | IND | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.01 | +0.08 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.08 | +0.49 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.02 | -0.16 |
| Success Rate | 40.8% | 35.7% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 19.7% | 28.6% |
| Yards / Play | 4.30 | 6.18 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.10 | +0.04 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 50.0% | 41.7% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 8.4 | 8.7 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.79 | 2.54 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 35.7% | 50.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 7.1% | 30.0% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 15.5% | 21.4% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 18.4 | 33.2 |
| Plays | 71 | 56 |
| Total Yards | 305 | 346 |
| Total EPA | +0.6 | +4.5 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 0 |
Special Teams
Bills dominated the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 70% of the time
IND 13%87% BUF
2.3 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS14.7 pts won
Biggest swing · C.Schmidt punts 48 yards to IND 24. P.Dorsett MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by BUF-R.Johnson at IND 26 — BUF +5.5
Kickoffs · evenPunts · BUF +6.8Kicks · BUF +5.6
Player Stats
IND
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew LuckQB | 53 | 26/49 | 260 | 4.9 | +4.3 | +0.08 | -7.1 | 40% | -0.12 | 2 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew LuckQB | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +0.3 | +0.35 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Tyler VargaFB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.1 | -0.08 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Frank GoreRB | 8 | 31 | 3.9 | -0.3 | -0.03 | 63% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Josh RobinsonRB | 4 | 11 | 2.8 | -1.3 | -0.33 | 25% | -0.03 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donte MoncriefWR | 11 | 6 | 46 | 4.2 | +4.0 | +0.37 | 46% | -0.03 | 1 |
| Phillip DorsettWR | 3 | 2 | 45 | 15.0 | +3.4 | +1.12 | 67% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Tyler VargaFB | 1 | 1 | 18 | 18.0 | +1.1 | +1.06 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Dwayne AllenTE | 6 | 3 | 17 | 2.8 | +0.5 | +0.09 | 33% | +0.01 | 1 |
| T.Y. HiltonWR | 14 | 7 | 88 | 6.3 | +0.1 | +0.01 | 43% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Coby FleenerTE | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.0 | -0.03 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Andre JohnsonWR | 10 | 4 | 24 | 2.4 | -2.0 | -0.20 | 30% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Frank GoreRB | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.6 | -0.86 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick McAfeeP | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Adam VinatieriK | 0/1(missed 52) | — | — | — | — | 0 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick McAfeeP | 4 | 177 | 44.3 | 42.8 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler VargaFB | 2 | 53 | 26.5 | 30 | 0 |
| Donte MoncriefWR | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 5 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip DorsettWR | 3 | 1 | 0.3 | 1 | 0 |
| Griff WhalenWR | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrod TaylorQB | 22 | 14/19 | 232 | 10.6 | +10.9 | +0.49 | +5.2 | 41% | +0.21 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karlos WilliamsRB | 6 | 55 | 9.2 | +3.3 | +0.55 | 50% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Percy HarvinWR | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +1.0 | +0.96 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Anthony DixonRB | 3 | 1 | 0.3 | +0.8 | +0.27 | 67% | +0.00 | 1 |
| Tyrod TaylorQB | 3 | 8 | 2.7 | -1.8 | -0.58 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| LeSean McCoyRB | 17 | 41 | 2.4 | -5.2 | -0.30 | 29% | -0.05 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Percy HarvinWR | 5 | 5 | 79 | 15.8 | +4.9 | +0.97 | 40% | +0.14 | 1 |
| Robert WoodsWR | 2 | 2 | 27 | 13.5 | +3.8 | +1.88 | 100% | +0.07 | 0 |
| LeSean McCoyRB | 4 | 3 | 46 | 11.5 | +2.9 | +0.73 | 50% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Charles ClayTE | 4 | 4 | 43 | 10.8 | +2.2 | +0.55 | 50% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Jerome FeltonFB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.9 | -0.92 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Sammy WatkinsWR | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.9 | -0.96 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan CarpenterK | 2/2(41, 45) | 45 | 3/3 | — | — | 9 |
| Jordan GayK | — | — | — | 6 | 3 | 0 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colton SchmidtP | 5 | 252 | 50.4 | 46.2 | 63 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus ThigpenWR | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus ThigpenWR | 3 | 6 | 2.0 | 6 | 0 |