Bills
17–9
BUF @ NE
Patriots
Final · Sun, Dec 28, 2014 · 2014 Week 17 · Gillette Stadium
Ground Share
Bills had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
BUF 54%46% NE
41.1%GROUND35.3%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.Orton | 25 | +0.10 | 60.0% | 8.0% | +2.4 | 7.2 | 69.6% | 67.0% | +2.6 |
| J.Garoppolo | 22 | -0.38 | 27.3% | 13.6% | -8.4 | 9.3 | 58.8% | 66.8% | -8.0 |
Team Stats
| Metric | BUF | NE |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.04 | -0.16 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.10 | -0.26 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.05 | -0.15 |
| Success Rate | 61.4% | 35.8% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 17.5% | 16.4% |
| Yards / Play | 4.75 | 3.88 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.12 | -0.17 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 50.0% | 38.1% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 3.9 | 8.9 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.91 | 3.23 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 51.6% | 50.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 16.1% | 27.3% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 8.8% | 7.5% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 26.7 | 26.4 |
| Plays | 57 | 67 |
| Total Yards | 271 | 260 |
| Total EPA | +2.5 | -10.9 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 0 |
Special Teams
Special teams were a wash
BUF 50%50% NE
5.0 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS5.0 pts won
Biggest swing · S.Gostkowski kicks 61 yards from NE 35 to BUF 4. M.Thigpen pushed ob at NE 47 for 49 yards — BUF +2.0
Kickoffs · BUF +2.1Punts · NE +1.9Kicks · NE +0.3
Player Stats
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle OrtonQB | 25 | 16/23 | 164 | 6.6 | +2.4 | +0.10 | +2.6 | 60% | +0.20 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sammy WatkinsWR | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.3 | +0.30 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Anthony DixonRB | 7 | 27 | 3.9 | +0.3 | +0.04 | 71% | +0.05 | 1 |
| C.J. SpillerRB | 5 | 17 | 3.4 | +0.1 | +0.01 | 60% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Fred JacksonRB | 18 | 58 | 3.2 | -2.0 | -0.11 | 56% | +0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert WoodsWR | 4 | 4 | 39 | 9.8 | +4.6 | +1.15 | 100% | +0.09 | 1 |
| Scott ChandlerTE | 1 | 1 | 20 | 20.0 | +2.0 | +2.03 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| MarQueis GrayTE | 3 | 3 | 25 | 8.3 | +2.0 | +0.66 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Sammy WatkinsWR | 5 | 3 | 57 | 11.4 | +1.8 | +0.37 | 60% | +0.14 | 0 |
| Lee SmithTE | 1 | 1 | 18 | 18.0 | +1.8 | +1.79 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Anthony DixonRB | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +0.8 | +0.79 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| C.J. SpillerRB | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | -0.8 | -0.41 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Chris HoganWR | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | -0.9 | -0.32 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Fred JacksonRB | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1.3 | -1.7 | -0.57 | 33% | -0.02 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan CarpenterK | 1/1(48) | 48 | 2/2 | — | — | 5 |
| Jordan GayK | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | 0 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colton SchmidtP | 5 | 183 | 36.6 | 31.0 | 48 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus ThigpenWR | 2 | 73 | 36.5 | 49 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus ThigpenWR | 4 | 22 | 5.5 | 12 | 0 |
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 18 | 8/16 | 80 | 4.4 | -1.9 | -0.11 | -10.3 | 28% | +0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jimmy GaroppoloQB | 22 | 10/17 | 84 | 3.8 | -8.4 | -0.38 | -8.0 | 27% | -0.24 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeGarrette BlountRB | 10 | 62 | 6.2 | +2.3 | +0.23 | 60% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Brandon LaFellWR | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | +0.6 | +0.30 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Tom BradyQB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | +0.0 | -0.02 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Brandon BoldenRB | 5 | 15 | 3.0 | -0.7 | -0.15 | 40% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Shane VereenRB | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | -1.2 | -0.58 | 0% | -0.09 | 0 |
| Jimmy GaroppoloQB | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | -2.9 | -1.44 | 50% | -0.08 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon LaFellWR | 6 | 4 | 70 | 11.7 | +3.1 | +0.52 | 67% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Brian TymsWR | 6 | 4 | 39 | 6.5 | +1.4 | +0.23 | 50% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Shane VereenRB | 4 | 3 | 14 | 3.5 | +0.0 | +0.00 | 25% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Steve ManeriTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.44 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| James WhiteRB | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | -0.5 | -0.23 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Michael HoomanawanuiTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.56 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Timothy WrightTE | 3 | 1 | 15 | 5.0 | -2.1 | -0.72 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Brandon BoldenRB | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.4 | -1.21 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Danny AmendolaWR | 7 | 4 | 24 | 3.4 | -4.0 | -0.57 | 29% | -0.12 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen GostkowskiK | 3/3(24, 44, 35) | 44 | — | 4 | 2 | 9 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan AllenP | 4 | 174 | 43.5 | 38.0 | 51 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny AmendolaWR | 4 | 28 | 7.0 | 26 | 0 |