Panthers
44–38
CAR @ NO
Saints
Final · Sun, Dec 30, 2012 · 2012 Week 17 · Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Ground Share
Panthers controlled more of the field
Teams with this edge win 86% of the time
CAR 58%42% NO
64.4%GROUND47.2%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Newton | 36 | +0.13 | 38.9% | 2.8% | +4.5 | 12.7 | 48.5% | 55.4% | -7.0 |
| D.Brees | 45 | +0.28 | 48.9% | 4.4% | +12.5 | 8.8 | 67.4% | 63.0% | +4.5 |
Team Stats
| Metric | CAR | NO |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.29 | +0.16 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.16 | +0.28 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.45 | -0.18 |
| Success Rate | 46.7% | 45.3% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 36.0% | 25.0% |
| Yards / Play | 7.08 | 6.89 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.12 | +0.09 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 61.1% | 42.9% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.6 | 7.9 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 4.91 | 2.52 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 50.0% | 38.9% |
| Stuff Rate | 16.7% | 16.7% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 12.0% | 12.5% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 36.5 | 22.2 |
| Plays | 75 | 64 |
| Total Yards | 531 | 441 |
| Total EPA | +21.9 | +10.0 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 1 |
Special Teams
Panthers had the edge in the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 56% of the time
CAR 64%36% NO
12.3 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS6.9 pts won
Biggest swing · G.Gano 54 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right — NO +3.7
Kickoffs · CAR +6.5Punts · CAR +3.0Kicks · NO +4.0
Player Stats
CAR
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam NewtonQB | 36 | 16/33 | 257 | 7.1 | +4.5 | +0.13 | -7.0 | 39% | +0.17 | 0 | 1 |
| Derek AndersonQB | 1 | 1/1 | 12 | 12.0 | +1.3 | +1.32 | +41.9 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeAngelo WilliamsRB | 21 | 210 | 10.0 | +11.9 | +0.57 | 52% | +0.33 | 2 |
| Mike TolbertFB | 10 | 25 | 2.5 | +3.9 | +0.39 | 70% | +0.11 | 3 |
| Cam NewtonQB | 4 | 23 | 5.8 | +0.5 | +0.13 | 25% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Brandon LaFellWR | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.2 | -0.18 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon LaFellWR | 7 | 5 | 62 | 8.9 | +5.0 | +0.71 | 57% | +0.13 | 0 |
| Greg OlsenTE | 5 | 4 | 43 | 8.6 | +4.7 | +0.94 | 60% | +0.13 | 0 |
| Louis MurphyWR | 7 | 3 | 57 | 8.1 | +2.4 | +0.34 | 43% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Steve SmithWR | 9 | 3 | 73 | 8.1 | +1.8 | +0.20 | 33% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Mike TolbertFB | 3 | 1 | 22 | 7.3 | +0.2 | +0.06 | 33% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Richie BrockelTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.9 | -0.88 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| DeAngelo WilliamsRB | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.5 | -7.8 | -3.88 | 0% | -0.25 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham GanoK | 3/4(20, 31, 42 · missed 54) | 42 | 5/5 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad NortmanP | 2 | 101 | 50.5 | 41.0 | 54 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armond SmithRB | 1 | 25 | 25.0 | 25 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armanti EdwardsWR | 3 | 77 | 25.7 | 69 | 0 |
NO
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew BreesQB | 45 | 29/43 | 378 | 8.4 | +12.5 | +0.28 | +4.5 | 49% | +0.12 | 4 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris IvoryRB | 4 | 22 | 5.5 | +0.2 | +0.06 | 50% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Joseph MorganWR | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.5 | -0.51 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Mark IngramRB | 10 | 39 | 3.9 | -1.1 | -0.11 | 40% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Darren SprolesRB | 3 | 1 | 0.3 | -1.9 | -0.65 | 0% | -0.07 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance MooreWR | 6 | 4 | 121 | 20.2 | +5.1 | +0.85 | 67% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Marques ColstonWR | 8 | 5 | 52 | 6.5 | +4.5 | +0.57 | 50% | +0.13 | 2 |
| Darren SprolesRB | 9 | 8 | 79 | 8.8 | +3.6 | +0.40 | 44% | -0.04 | 1 |
| Jimmy GrahamTE | 16 | 9 | 115 | 7.2 | +3.0 | +0.19 | 50% | +0.01 | 1 |
| Devery HendersonWR | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | +0.8 | +0.75 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Joseph MorganWR | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +0.1 | +0.13 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Jed CollinsFB | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | -0.1 | -0.13 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Mark IngramRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.82 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett HartleyK | 1/1(53) | 53 | 5/5 | — | — | 8 |
| Thomas MorsteadP | — | — | — | 6 | 3 | 0 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas MorsteadP | 6 | 276 | 46.0 | 29.8 | 61 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren SprolesRB | 3 | 66 | 22.0 | 27 | 0 |
| Travaris CadetRB | 1 | 29 | 29.0 | 29 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren SprolesRB | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | -1 | 0 |