Bills
31–37
BUF @ NE
Patriots
Final · Sun, Nov 11, 2012 · 2012 Week 10 · Gillette Stadium
Ground Share
Bills controlled more of the field
Teams with this edge win 86% of the time
BUF 58%42% NE
60.9%GROUND44.7%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R.Fitzpatrick | 43 | +0.34 | +14.5 | 7.2 | 67.5% | 60.4% | +7.1 |
| T.Brady | 39 | +0.23 | +8.8 | 6.8 | 60.5% | 65.6% | -5.0 |
Team Stats
| Metric | BUF | NE |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.27 | +0.26 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.34 | +0.23 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.14 | +0.10 |
| Success Rate | 57.1% | 47.2% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 39.0% | 26.4% |
| Yards / Play | 6.25 | 4.82 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.18 | +0.20 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 57.1% | 61.5% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.9 | 6.2 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 4.46 | 2.91 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 60.0% | 44.8% |
| Stuff Rate | 12.0% | 31.0% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 7.8% | 9.7% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 21.0 | 29.4 |
| Plays | 77 | 72 |
| Total Yards | 481 | 347 |
| Total EPA | +20.5 | +19.1 |
| Giveaways | 3 | 0 |
Player Stats
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan FitzpatrickQB | 46 | 27/40 | 331 | 7.2 | +15.8 | +0.34 | +7.1 | 59% | +0.00 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. SpillerRB | 9 | 70 | 7.8 | +4.7 | +0.52 | 67% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Fred JacksonRB | 16 | 80 | 5.0 | +0.9 | +0.06 | 50% | -0.09 | 2 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve JohnsonWR | 9 | 6 | 86 | 9.6 | +7.5 | +0.83 | 67% | +0.15 | 0 |
| Donald JonesWR | 10 | 6 | 74 | 7.4 | +6.0 | +0.60 | 60% | +0.05 | 1 |
| Scott ChandlerTE | 8 | 5 | 65 | 8.1 | +5.6 | +0.70 | 63% | +0.04 | 1 |
| C.J. SpillerRB | 4 | 4 | 61 | 15.3 | +3.8 | +0.96 | 75% | +0.18 | 0 |
| Fred JacksonRB | 5 | 4 | 35 | 7.0 | +2.6 | +0.53 | 80% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Lee SmithTE | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | -0.4 | -0.39 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Brad SmithWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.9 | -0.89 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Trevor GrahamWR | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5.5 | -2.8 | -1.39 | 50% | -0.27 | 0 |
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 39 | 23/38 | 230 | 5.9 | +8.8 | +0.23 | -5.0 | 49% | +0.24 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevan RidleyRB | 22 | 98 | 4.5 | +3.2 | +0.15 | 41% | +0.06 | 1 |
| Danny WoodheadRB | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | +2.2 | +2.24 | 100% | +0.02 | 1 |
| Tom BradyQB | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | -0.1 | -0.06 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Shane VereenRB | 5 | 5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | -0.50 | 20% | -0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny WoodheadRB | 6 | 4 | 46 | 7.7 | +3.6 | +0.60 | 50% | +0.02 | 1 |
| Wes WelkerWR | 11 | 6 | 74 | 6.7 | +3.5 | +0.32 | 55% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Rob GronkowskiTE | 4 | 3 | 31 | 7.8 | +2.3 | +0.58 | 75% | +0.03 | 1 |
| Shane VereenRB | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +2.1 | +2.13 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Brandon LloydWR | 6 | 5 | 45 | 7.5 | +2.1 | +0.35 | 50% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Michael HoomanawanuiTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.44 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Stevan RidleyRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.54 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Deion BranchWR | 8 | 4 | 30 | 3.8 | -1.1 | -0.14 | 38% | +0.01 | 0 |