Bills
3–45
BUF @ SF
49ers
Final · Sun, Oct 7, 2012 · 2012 Week 5 · Candlestick Park
Ground Share
49ers dominated the field
Teams with this edge win 98% of the time
BUF 25%75% SF
27.7%GROUND81.9%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R.Fitzpatrick | 28 | -0.44 | 32.1% | 3.6% | -12.3 | 9.3 | 61.5% | 60.2% | +1.3 |
| A.Smith | 26 | +0.78 | 57.7% | 0.0% | +20.4 | 9.9 | 75.0% | 60.0% | +15.0 |
Team Stats
| Metric | BUF | SF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.29 | +0.49 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.44 | +0.75 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.05 | +0.46 |
| Success Rate | 35.6% | 62.7% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 17.8% | 44.8% |
| Yards / Play | 4.56 | 9.27 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.16 | +0.47 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 20.0% | 57.1% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.6 | 6.5 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.84 | 5.60 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 58.8% | 68.6% |
| Stuff Rate | 11.8% | 5.7% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 11.1% | 3.0% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 26.1 | 24.2 |
| Plays | 45 | 67 |
| Total Yards | 205 | 621 |
| Total EPA | -13.1 | +33.1 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 1 |
Special Teams
Bills won the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 63% of the time
BUF 68%32% SF
5.3 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS2.5 pts won
Biggest swing · D.Akers kicks 68 yards from SF 35 to BUF -3. L.McKelvin to SF 44 for 59 yards — BUF +2.2
Kickoffs · BUF +2.7Punts · SF +0.1Kicks · BUF +0.2
Player Stats
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan FitzpatrickQB | 28 | 16/26 | 117 | 4.2 | -12.3 | -0.44 | +1.3 | 32% | -0.11 | 0 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad SmithWR | 1 | 35 | 35.0 | +2.5 | +2.51 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Fred JacksonRB | 9 | 29 | 3.2 | -1.4 | -0.15 | 44% | -0.03 | 0 |
| C.J. SpillerRB | 7 | 24 | 3.4 | -1.9 | -0.28 | 29% | -0.05 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor GrahamWR | 3 | 2 | 28 | 9.3 | +3.5 | +1.17 | 67% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Fred JacksonRB | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | -0.6 | -0.56 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Brad SmithWR | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -1.2 | -1.24 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Steve JohnsonWR | 10 | 6 | 39 | 3.9 | -1.6 | -0.16 | 40% | +0.01 | 0 |
| C.J. SpillerRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.6 | -1.62 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Scott ChandlerTE | 6 | 4 | 40 | 6.7 | -2.9 | -0.48 | 33% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Donald JonesWR | 4 | 2 | 13 | 3.3 | -5.7 | -1.42 | 25% | -0.05 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rian LindellK | 1/1(31) | 31 | — | — | — | 3 |
| John PotterK | — | — | — | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn PowellP | 6 | 286 | 47.7 | 41.2 | 59 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leodis McKelvinCB | 1 | 59 | 59.0 | 59 | 0 |
| Brad SmithWR | 1 | 28 | 28.0 | 28 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leodis McKelvinCB | 1 | 28 | 28.0 | 28 | 0 |
SF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex SmithQB | 26 | 18/24 | 335 | 12.9 | +20.4 | +0.78 | +15.0 | 58% | +0.44 | 3 | 0 |
| Colin KaepernickQB | 2 | 1/1 | 9 | 4.5 | +0.6 | +0.28 | +33.6 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall HunterRB | 11 | 81 | 7.4 | +5.7 | +0.52 | 73% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Frank GoreRB | 14 | 106 | 7.6 | +3.6 | +0.26 | 64% | -0.04 | 1 |
| Alex SmithQB | 1 | 17 | 17.0 | +3.5 | +3.46 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Anthony DixonRB | 4 | 21 | 5.3 | +2.9 | +0.73 | 100% | +0.00 | 1 |
| Colin KaepernickQB | 3 | 37 | 12.3 | +0.5 | +0.17 | 67% | -0.09 | 1 |
| Bruce MillerFB | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.4 | +0.43 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Kyle WilliamsWR | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.1 | +0.15 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael CrabtreeWR | 7 | 6 | 113 | 16.1 | +8.5 | +1.21 | 86% | +0.12 | 1 |
| Vernon DavisTE | 7 | 5 | 106 | 15.1 | +5.5 | +0.79 | 57% | +0.16 | 0 |
| Kyle WilliamsWR | 2 | 2 | 50 | 25.0 | +5.1 | +2.53 | 100% | +0.13 | 1 |
| Mario ManninghamWR | 5 | 4 | 26 | 5.2 | +1.2 | +0.24 | 40% | -0.01 | 1 |
| Randy MossWR | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5.5 | +0.1 | +0.06 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Garrett CelekTE | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.1 | -0.05 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Kendall HunterRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.7 | -0.73 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David AkersK | 1/1(19) | 19 | 6/6 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy LeeP | 2 | 112 | 56.0 | 42.0 | 58 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle WilliamsWR | 2 | 45 | 22.5 | 28 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted GinnWR | 3 | 19 | 6.3 | 11 | 0 |